Season's first ...albeit minor, synoptic event late Tuesday in the Mid Atlantic ... New England on Wednesday

[TalcottWx]

  On 11/15/2022 at 3:48 AM, Ginx snewx said:

You have been on here a decade and you post that map? Woah

Expand  

16 years since freshman year high school but who is counting. 

[TalcottWx]

  On 11/15/2022 at 3:48 AM, Ginx snewx said:

You have been on here a decade and you post that map? Woah

Expand  

I've become more troll-like in my old age. I will behave. 

[amarshall]

  On 11/15/2022 at 10:40 AM, CoastalWx said:

28 here. Finally made it.

Expand  

28 crispy leaves.  Rock paper scissors for bus stop duty with the wife

[CoastalWx]

  On 11/15/2022 at 11:35 AM, amarshall said:

28 crispy leaves.  Rock paper scissors for bus stop duty with the wife

Expand  

That’s always me ha ha.

[bwt3650]

  On 11/15/2022 at 11:35 AM, amarshall said:

28 crispy leaves.  Rock paper scissors for bus stop duty with the wife

I lost


.

[UnitedWx]

  On 11/14/2022 at 11:19 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Simsbury is not snowy dude .. lol. It’s a valley town . NW of Hotford .. but enjoy the retention after screamers 

Expand  

Apparently you aren't too familiar with this area. In GENERAL it is a fairly snow area especially compared to the rest of the valley

[Snowcrazed71]

  On 11/15/2022 at 12:40 PM, UnitedWx said:

Apparently you aren't too familiar with this area. In GENERAL it is a fairly snow area especially compared to the rest of the valley

Expand  

I told him the same thing. 

[Snowcrazed71]

So.. it was 24.3 here.. now it is 26.3

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Touchy mid levels with weak primary going to W NY . Surface low also goes over SE SNE so milder side of envelope . Nam looks like less than advisory for those outside N VT on the maps I see (with exception of a couple N white mountain spots and the allegash of far N Maine and nam nails mid levels in these setups very well. Euro been pushing NW with mid level warming last few cycles . Clown maps are pointless in these set ups .

[CoastalWx]

  On 11/15/2022 at 1:08 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Touchy mid levels with weak primary going to W NY . Surface low also goes over SE SNE so milder side of envelope . Nam looks like less than advisory for those outside N VT on the maps I see (with exception of a couple N white mountain spots and the allegash of far N Maine and nam nails mid levels in these setups very well. Euro been pushing NW with mid level warming last few cycles . Clown maps are pointless in these set ups .

Expand  

Very meh solution on euro. That model is a mess.

[Spanks45]

18.9° this morning, setting the stage for at least the first flakes tonight. 12z HRRR has it's coldest run down here so far, at least a few hours of frozen precip, possibly even a slushy inch

[WinterWolf]

  On 11/15/2022 at 1:22 PM, CoastalWx said:

Very meh solution on euro. That model is a mess.

Expand  

ITS A POS now.  Sad. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 11/15/2022 at 1:22 PM, CoastalWx said:

Very meh solution on euro. That model is a mess.

Expand  

I would say the storm is a mess as well. Weak , no closed mid levels . Not that it was supposed to be strong but Nw ticks and weak= meh for most in NNE

[CoastalWx]

  On 11/15/2022 at 1:39 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I would say the storm is a mess as well. Weak , no closed mid levels . Not that it was supposed to be strong but Nw ticks and weak= meh for most in NNE

Expand  

It isn’t a big storm, but euro hasn’t been good with it. 

[UnitedWx]

  On 11/15/2022 at 1:22 PM, CoastalWx said:

Very meh solution on euro. That model is a mess.

Expand  

Such a shame, from King to gester

[CoastalWx]

  On 11/15/2022 at 1:51 PM, UnitedWx said:

Such a shame, from King to gester

Expand  

It's more about the QPF depiction. It's all over the place.

[dryslot]

  On 11/14/2022 at 9:06 PM, TalcottWx said:

Robot!! 

Expand  

Cat walking across the keyboard actually...................

[WinterWolf]

  On 11/15/2022 at 1:53 PM, CoastalWx said:

It's more about the QPF depiction. It's all over the place.

Expand  

It sucks. 

[dryslot]

Made it down to 19°F this am, Won't have any bearing as far as keeping the cold around today into tomorrow, Its a furnace aloft on models and just looks like maybe a mix of 1" or so.

[NW_of_GYX]

those 850 temps are torched. The globals never seem to be able to handle these warm tongues with any skill. Congrats Quebec City. 

[WinterWolf]

  On 11/15/2022 at 2:16 PM, dryslot said:

Made it down to 19°F this am, Won't have any bearing as far as keeping the cold around today into tomorrow, Its a furnace aloft on models and just looks like maybe a mix of 1" or so.

Expand  

That’s ok..N. Aroostook did well yesterday, and will do decent tomorrow it seems. These are from yesterday…They’re off and running

[dryslot]

  On 11/15/2022 at 2:45 PM, WinterWolf said:

That’s ok..N. Aroostook did well yesterday, and will do decent tomorrow it seems. These are from yesterday…They’re off and running

Expand  

I posted totals from up there yesterday, Madawaska received close to 6" with another 6-8" on tap for the county.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

  On 11/15/2022 at 2:49 PM, dryslot said:

I posted totals from up there yesterday, Madawaska received close to 6" with another 6-8" on tap for the county.

Expand  

Just another world up there .

[dryslot]

  On 11/15/2022 at 2:53 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Just another world up there .

Expand  

Totally.

[Lava Rock]

  On 11/15/2022 at 2:16 PM, dryslot said:

Made it down to 19°F this am, Won't have any bearing as far as keeping the cold around today into tomorrow, Its a furnace aloft on models and just looks like maybe a mix of 1" or so.

Expand  

call ch 6 and tell them to stop posting their ridiculous maps

[CoastalWx]

GFS is a nice initial thump for CT into ORH area. It's all about rates as we said earlier, if you want to grab 1-2. 

[met_fan]

  On 11/15/2022 at 2:53 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Just another world up there .

Well southern New England is closer to Richmond, VA than it is to Madawaska.

[WxWatcher007]

  On 11/15/2022 at 3:43 PM, CoastalWx said:

GFS is a nice initial thump for CT into ORH area. It's all about rates as we said earlier, if you want to grab 1-2. 

Expand  

Yeah, it looked surprisingly good. I'll take it. 

[wkd]

I asked this last few winters after all of the jokes about the Euro's previous supposed superior performance.  Do any of the mets know what the major objectives were for the changes in the model?  I'm pretty sure the primary objective wasn't in predicting northeast snowstorm totals 5 days out in the Conus. 

[tamarack]

  On 11/15/2022 at 2:16 PM, dryslot said:

Made it down to 19°F this am, Won't have any bearing as far as keeping the cold around today into tomorrow, Its a furnace aloft on models and just looks like maybe a mix of 1" or so.

Expand  

Was still breezy at 11 last evening when I was out with the dog, and evidently didn't calm down until too late, so the low here was 22, just 2° BN.  That's coldest of the season but we're the farthest into fall without seeing 20° or lower here, 25 years POR.  Not often we're 7° milder than IZG.  Yesterday the afternoon max was 34 with gusts to 30, feeling extra sharp after the muggy 60s.
Snow trend is moving in the wrong direction, too.  Yesterday afternoon Farmington was shown with 58% chance of 4"+.  This morning it's 24%.  I won't be surprised if the current 1-3" forecast turns out to 1/2" of gray mush.