RogueWaves Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 10 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: I wonder what Canton got Feb 1, 2015? No direct report for Canton on the DTX list (that's why I used '05), but it was even bigger ofc than '05. Snow map combined with surrounding reports looks like it was a solid +/-14 incher here so I know it can snow here when it wants to. Looks like downriver again was the jack-zone perhaps with help from Lk. Erie? ANN ARBOR M 14.1 NORTHVILLE M 14.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 9 hours ago, mollydog said: Honestly, I do not like this year. I have seen all the outlooks and those analog years do NOT match up with this year overall. 2000-01 was wet and cold all year. Same with 76-77. Drought begets drought. I hate going into winter in a drought. Look at this system today. Just completely moisture starved as it headed for us. I know it wasn’t supposed to be much but it literally fizzled on arrival. Hope I am wrong! Good luck to you in Canton! Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk I'll give you those two. I thought all those juicy rain makers last autumn would yield some good systems in season but nope. Trying to see if the opposite can happen if we go into winter dry-ish, do we then flip wet when it matters for snow? I've seen both work out. In 81-82 cold & wet led into cold & snowy. In 13-14 first half of October was so mild it looked like winter didn't want to happen, then we got cold in Nov but the OHV was scoring snowstorms while we were sunny and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 13 hours ago, RogueWaves said: No direct report for Canton on the DTX list (that's why I used '05), but it was even bigger ofc than '05. Snow map combined with surrounding reports looks like it was a solid +/-14 incher here so I know it can snow here when it wants to. Looks like downriver again was the jack-zone perhaps with help from Lk. Erie? ANN ARBOR M 14.1 NORTHVILLE M 14.2 They never updated the map with final totals. But yes. THAT storm was downrivers best in our stretch of great winters. Wyandotte 16.5 DTW 16.7 Brownstown 17.0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 22 hours ago, mollydog said: Honestly, I do not like this year. I have seen all the outlooks and those analog years do NOT match up with this year overall. 2000-01 was wet and cold all year. Same with 76-77. Drought begets drought. I hate going into winter in a drought. Look at this system today. Just completely moisture starved as it headed for us. I know it wasn’t supposed to be much but it literally fizzled on arrival. Hope I am wrong! Good luck to you in Canton! Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk I understand concerns about drought. And honestly it's been a long time since we've had a dry year like this, so I guess you could say we were "due" . I always stand by the fact that Winter is a different season. Storm tracks and what not are different. While there's certainly no rhyme or reason, an interesting stat is that 6 of the 7 driest autumns on record were followed by wetter than average winters. But then, of the remaining 13 driest autumns that rounded out the top 20, only 1 additional was a wetter than normal Winter. Fwiw, this autumn will absolutely be on the top 7 driest. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 That Thanksgiving storm just hits a brick wall and can't gain any latitude on the 12z GFS, due to strong confluence in the northern tier and Canada. The 00z Euro had a much different type of setup though. We'll see what 12z has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 slp over klot with the rainer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 I'd be ok with that. Haven't even seen a legit rainer around here since Idk when?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 36 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Must have seen the new GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Just happy to have something to track. Even the pipiest of dreams beats having nothing going on at all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 25 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Must have seen the new GFS. I have not but going on a limb that Greenland blocking is doing it's work? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 36 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: Just happy to have something to track. Even the pipiest of dreams beats having nothing going on at all. She’s a beaut. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: i missed this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Just picked up about 6" of wet cement LES in about 3 1/2 hrs at my office in East Jordan. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: She’s a beaut. Big ole defo band just sits over N IL and pukes snow for 15 hours straight. Probably not happening but fun to see. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Snow area almost looks like that storm from November 2015. Models have been flopping around on this one though, so way too early to get a good idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hardypalmguy Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 33 rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 yeah rainer imby but i'll be west for the holidays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Euro seems to be saying not so fast to the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 14 minutes ago, WestMichigan said: Euro seems to be saying not so fast to the GFS. Yesterday's 12z Euro had a 965 mb low in the Lakes. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 hour ago, Baum said: i missed this. I was anxious to see his final call, but he already made it...rainer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 28 minutes ago, WestMichigan said: Euro seems to be saying not so fast to the GFS. easy toss 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 The Euro basically plunges all of the energy for our potential storm into Mexico, where it sits and spins away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 In the past that has been a bias with the Euro. Has that been fixed or is this still a problem? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 18z GFS wraps the warm tongue of death alllll the way around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 I'd really start believing in a continuation of my luck from last winter if this pans out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 That is one wacky ending to tonight's 00z GFS. There's a noreaster type system with snow on the east coast, with a hurricane getting picked up/kicked out to sea (yes, in December) by the trough associated with the east coast system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 zzzzzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 i liked it better when the siren was flashing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 Rainer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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