stormdragonwx Posted January 4, 2023 Share Posted January 4, 2023 Well the majority of this month looks depressing (and boring)... so much for winter. Hopefully February sticks to its historical standard and delivers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 It is really going to have to pick up in the second half of January and February or most of these long range forecasts were waaaay off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itryatgolf70 Posted January 6, 2023 Share Posted January 6, 2023 1 hour ago, Wx 24/7 said: It is really going to have to pick up in the second half of January and February or most of these long range forecasts were waaaay off. I agree. We have a strong jet, more typical of strong El niño so it will be tough. Our best chance imo is with the SSW event if we get one but there are alot of if's with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 9, 2023 Author Share Posted January 9, 2023 The end of Jan into Feb should be a return of winter per typical La Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 11, 2023 Share Posted January 11, 2023 May be a quick burst of snow for some overnight tonight into tomorrow morning across Kansas and Missouri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 12, 2023 Author Share Posted January 12, 2023 -EPO starts building in 9-10 days and the more sustained cold will come after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 15, 2023 Share Posted January 15, 2023 Lock it in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 16, 2023 Share Posted January 16, 2023 At hour 8,982,336 there is a massive blizzard for the area... some 60+" of snow. I know it is that far out, but that's when winter will really start. (This is sarcasm... merely frustrated at how uneventful this winter has been. It is really going to have to be backloaded to live up to its hype.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 16, 2023 Author Share Posted January 16, 2023 8 hours ago, Wx 24/7 said: At hour 8,982,336 there is a massive blizzard for the area... some 60+" of snow. I know it is that far out, but that's when winter will really start. (This is sarcasm... merely frustrated at how uneventful this winter has been. It is really going to have to be backloaded to live up to its hype.) We've cashed in on like 200" of snow so far on the models. 12z Euro looked great. Too bad it'll change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 Maybe another quick burst of snow Sunday morning? Hoping something comes of the 25th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockchalk83 Posted January 18, 2023 Share Posted January 18, 2023 39 minutes ago, StormChazer said: Maybe another quick burst of snow Sunday morning? Hoping something comes of the 25th. Looks like models give N OK 1-2" of snow Saturday night into Sunday. Not sure what to make of the storm aoa the 25th. Each model shows the range of possibilities with this. Upper lows that dig south across the Rockies are tricky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2023 Author Share Posted January 19, 2023 9 hours ago, StormChazer said: Maybe another quick burst of snow Sunday morning? Hoping something comes of the 25th. Yeah, the 2nd system seems more interesting around the 24-25th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Surprised there isn’t more talk about next week. Latest Gfs and Canadian are very similar at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 BIG fan of that Euro run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockchalk83 Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 20 minutes ago, StormChazer said: BIG fan of that Euro run. Color me intrigued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 I'll take it. Lock... it... in... lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted January 19, 2023 Share Posted January 19, 2023 Still so far apart.... where that low tracks is HUGE! GFS tracks north and east, Euro goes south, and Canadian is sort of in the middle. Hmmmmm interesting! Canada: American: Euro: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 I think I'd be a little more excited with a strong HP in the northern plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockchalk83 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Just glanced at the 18z Euro Ensemble and it trended stronger and more northerly with the 25th system. Would be a decent hit for most here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 00z GFS and Canadian look fun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormdragonwx Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 00z Euro and UKMET also going all gung ho with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 20, 2023 Author Share Posted January 20, 2023 Track of the system, when it pivots and temps will be really crucial, but it pretty much always is in this area. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 All three major players are now in agreement of this storm dropping significant snowfall in our area for this storm 4 days out, can’t get much better if you’re a snow lover at the moment. still have to refine the track of the low, which inevitably means someone will go from excited to disappointed, but will that be someone to the south, north or east or west? Either way. Feeling good about this at the moment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Definitely will be more excited by later in the weekend, if all trends hold (they rarely do)... but at least there is something to watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 The 06Z Euro run doesn't go out past 90 hours, so can't tell anything yet on the operational. However, the control run of the 06Z Euro goes out 144 hours. FWIW, the control run of the 06Z euro puts down more snow and has the storm track slightly further north than the control run of the 00Z Euro. So we will see if that trend is reflected in the 12Z operational run today. Might be a sign of the models consolidating even more. Here is what I'm talking about. 00Z Euro Control 06Z Euro Control Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 This GFS run is going to have some HIGH totals in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 20, 2023 Author Share Posted January 20, 2023 12z GFS is nice. Man, if only this was 48 hours from happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 Here's the GFS to drool over. The lift this run generates is off the charts. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockchalk83 Posted January 20, 2023 Share Posted January 20, 2023 I have a hard time buying a foot plus to the I-44 corridor with marginal temps like the GFS is trying to sell. It's trying to do produce 3 inches of snow here in SC KS tomorrow with temps of 34-37 degrees. That said, dynamic cooling is an equalizer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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