MUWX Posted January 25, 2023 Share Posted January 25, 2023 48 minutes ago, JoMo said: The Euro with the ice? Yeah, lots of chatter about the possibility of a large storm. Saw a post that the NWS blend of models was showing over a half inch of ice early next week. Typically the NWS seems to rely pretty heavily on that model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozarkwx Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 Last night came through for Eureka Springs (6-10"), heavier to our south. The roads cleared right up, but yikes the power outages. Spending the night out of the home due to continuing power outage. Meanwhile this for mid next week, maybe..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWAflizzard Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 6 minutes ago, Ozarkwx said: Last night came through for Eureka Springs (6-10"), heavier to our south. The roads cleared right up, but yikes the power outages. Spending the night out of the home due to continuing power outage. Meanwhile this for mid next week, maybe..... Sorry to hear about your power. Safe to say that if the euro verifies for next week there may be more power issues. I love winter weather but I am not sure I want an ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 26, 2023 Share Posted January 26, 2023 I’m supposed to fly out of Tulsa to Florida next week for work. My flight leaves at 12:09 Monday, and it’s safe to say that I could be cutting it VERY close, and who knows about my return flight on Thursday. I don’t really love the idea of leaving my wife and daughter behind in an ice storm, and I don’t want to miss it,so part of me hopes the ice moves in earlier Monday AM so my flight gets canceled, and we just push the trip back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 The models seem to be all over the place in terms of timing and placement of waves of energy next week, along with precip type. What does look relatively consistent is that for most of us... whatever falls should be wintry. Lots to sort through this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 27, 2023 Share Posted January 27, 2023 It is looking like some freezing drizzle may impact the area on Sunday. Models don't pick up on that great and those events can sneak up on you and coat the roads quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 Awfully quiet in here with some icy weather potentially starting as early as tomorrow. I think Sunday might catch a lot of people off guard with freezing drizzle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 1 hour ago, StormChazer said: Awfully quiet in here with some icy weather potentially starting as early as tomorrow. I think Sunday might catch a lot of people off guard with freezing drizzle. I've seen some talk of freezing drizzle tomorrow but not from the NWS. Itll be interesting to see how it plays out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 1 hour ago, StormChazer said: Awfully quiet in here with some icy weather potentially starting as early as tomorrow. I think Sunday might catch a lot of people off guard with freezing drizzle. I agree with this sentiment. I am a bit concerned about the potential, too. It seems to be one of those events where weather offices are more reactive than proactive. I guess we will see what happens in their afternoon forecast packages. Meanwhile, each of these waves of energy this week seem to be handled differently by each model. Looks messy in terms of forecasting for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 8 minutes ago, Wx 24/7 said: I agree with this sentiment. I am a bit concerned about the potential, too. It seems to be one of those events where weather offices are more reactive than proactive. I guess we will see what happens in their afternoon forecast packages. Meanwhile, each of these waves of energy this week seem to be handled differently by each model. Looks messy in terms of forecasting for sure. Yeah, freezing drizzle events always seem to creep up and catch everyone off guard. Part of that I think is because they are hard to forecast, but also highly impactful, Mets play it safe by not sounding the alarm since models don’t pick up well. But I’ll be interested to see this play out. Huge messy forecast, not much agreement on models and just heavily leaving on the euro seems to be the play by everyone right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 28, 2023 Share Posted January 28, 2023 5 minutes ago, StormChazer said: Yeah, freezing drizzle events always seem to creep up and catch everyone off guard. Part of that I think is because they are hard to forecast, but also highly impactful, Mets play it safe by not sounding the alarm since models don’t pick up well. But I’ll be interested to see this play out. Huge messy forecast, not much agreement on models and just heavily leaving on the euro seems to be the play by everyone right now. I have been really looking at the SREF and ARW means as a general middle of the road approach. If they are even close to correct, the forecast will be much icier than currently advertised this week. Not sure what to think. GFS seems out to lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 27 and freezing drizzle . NWS winter weather advisory https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=MOZ105&warncounty=MOC153&firewxzone=MOZ105&local_place1=Dora MO&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory&lat=36.7768&lon=-92.2171 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 22 and pretty steady freezing drizzle here in north Tulsa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 NAM-12km has sleet/freezing rain at 33 hrs, with this cross section showing the warm and cold layers that could cause this (see radar in the corner) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 30, 2023 Author Share Posted January 30, 2023 Freezing drizzle making roads pretty bad out there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Back neighborhood roads here are completely iced over from freezing mist and fog all night. Looks/sounds like we get spared of freezing rain today and get sleet, tomorrow's waves of energy sound to be the same. Tulsa was mentioning snow possible too for interstate 412 and north tomorrow lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 The lightning and thundering sleet in Tulsa is incredible right now! Very heavy! Roads are covered at my location just a mile south of I-44 and Lewis. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 30, 2023 Author Share Posted January 30, 2023 1 hour ago, ouamber said: The lightning and thundering sleet in Tulsa is incredible right now! Very heavy! Roads are covered at my location just a mile south of I-44 and Lewis. Thunder sleet and freezing rain is pretty wild. I remember it doing that here a few years ago with a temp of like 12 degrees out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 Bentonville/Bella Vista getting hammered right now with heavy sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 1 hour ago, The Waterboy said: Bentonville/Bella Vista getting hammered right now with heavy sleet. Yes, and still coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 https://fb.watch/inP6Ci2bOe/?mibextid=ykz3hl https://fb.watch/inPrA8S_iq/?mibextid=ykz3hl 71st and Tulsa Hills is now closed. It's still pouring sleet! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 20.2 degrees and sleeting here and the roads are white with ice. Look Out folks! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 30, 2023 Share Posted January 30, 2023 When the sleet first moved in this morning we had thunder and small hail with it as well. Unfortunately, up here in Owasso we’ve been on the northern fringe of all of this, so haven’t gotten much. But since I work in Broken Arrow where they’ve been getting sleet all day, today and tomorrow are work from home days! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 It's pouring sleet and snow currently @ 19 degrees . Over and inch of accumulation . And still no sight of DOT.....Hmmmm? It looks like I'll have to chance and driving SLOWLY to the Dollar Gen three miles away to get some things tomorrow .. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 hour ago, Doramo said: It's pouring sleet and snow currently @ 19 degrees . Over and inch of accumulation . And still no sight of DOT.....Hmmmm? It looks like I'll have to chance and driving SLOWLY to the Dollar Gen three miles away to get some things tomorrow .. We got about a quarter inch of sleet here. I'm glad it wasn't all freezing rain! Sounds like the rest of these pieces of energy the next few days misses us to the south. Really beautiful out there but the roads are bad, even in the city. Of course here they don't plow the subdivisions lol. Be careful!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormChazer Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 NAM making things interesting on Thursday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 1.4" of sleet at Bentonville is an impressive storm report tonight when you've got 4 precip-type colors on radar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 I think people need to watch late tomorrow into Thursday... especially in NW AR. Models have been terrible this week at catching these waves. Temps are waaaaay overdone in my opinion. Good setup for a surprise overperformance of ice accumulations. Would not want to be in Central AR for sure these next 24-36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted January 31, 2023 Share Posted January 31, 2023 1/2" of snow today with some sleet . Huge burst of half dollar size flakes at the end Nice . DOT finally salted my road this morning so I was able to make a quick run to Dollar Gen before the short lived snow/sleet hit . The road out front is back to hazardous again. Some local talk of pending freezing rain event tomorrow night into Thursday Hmmmm? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lookingnorth Posted February 1, 2023 Share Posted February 1, 2023 It looks like the most recent runs of the NAM and HRRR have cut back somewhat on the precipitation amounts for the OKC area tomorrow night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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