TPAwx Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 Hefty band passing thru. Max gust so far 53 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 hand-picked observations from 0650z to 1050z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 Looks like we finally have rotating cells beginning to come onshore. Also the water is pretty high as we head to low tide here in Charleston, I worry this evening as we head for another high tide at 9 PM that we have quite a bit of inundation as the beaches are really worked over from Ian already. Looks like a giant excavator rolled through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockem_sockem_connection Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 quiet around here but that's good since if no one is interested in talking the storm must not have killed anyone or damaged much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 Will the storm enter the gulf for a brief period? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AChilders Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 Anyone else noticing the NAM is dropping 16" of rain on the Appalachians in NC. Tropical Depression Fred dropped a similar amount just last August on the same area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 really lame storm this wasn’t a hurricane at landfall 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 Has anyone checked to see if Turtlehurricane is ok? I can't imagine the dissapointment. Storm underperformed my expectations....agree this was not a cane at landfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 So Nicole packed a little more punch than I anticipated here in EC FL. We had 2-3 hours of intense winds overnight and flooding rains. Definitely more punch than other late season storms (like Josephine in ‘95 or Gabrielle in ‘01) that were similar strength.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 Lots of erosion here. Said my goodbyes to Reynolds Wolf as they are now leaving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 Between Ian and Nicole, my Royal Palm is looking pretty sad. Just pulled the shutters back, suns out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 Almost 25% of consumers in Brevard are without power per Brevard emergency management. Some other photos/videos from local social media pages: cocoa_beach_11_10_22_AM.mp4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted November 10, 2022 Author Share Posted November 10, 2022 By looking at the county by county power outage map, one can get a good idea of where the highest winds were. In FL going up the coast, significant numbers of outages don't start til Indian River county, where Nicole made landfall. The next county up, Brevard, has by far the highest number and percentage in the state with 25% out (as mentioned above). Significant outages go as far north as St. John's (8%) in NE FL. Even way up here in SAV, my power was out for a couple of hours and just came back on. In stark contrast, SE FL (which was on the weak side of the eye) has only a very low % out (under 2% St. Lucie county southward). Although well inland, Orange county (Orlando) has 6% out and Marion county has 9% out. In NW FL, Madison county at 19% has the second highest percentage out! Does anyone know why? Overall, for a minimal hurricane, Nicole has been pretty impactful on the strong side of the eye. I'm pretty sure that most minimal hurricanes haven't had this much impact overall. This was aided by a strong gradient due to the big high that was to the north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 First building damage I've heard of - Andretti Thrill Park in Melbourne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 nice^ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted November 10, 2022 Author Share Posted November 10, 2022 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Nicole Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172022 400 PM EST Thu Nov 10 2022 ...CENTER OF NICOLE STRADDLING THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION... ...POTENTIAL CONTINUES FOR STORM SURGE, STRONG WINDS, AND HEAVY RAINS... SUMMARY OF 400 PM EST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.4N 83.2W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SE OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM NNW OF TAMPA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 2 hours ago, NeffsvilleWx said: First building damage I've heard of - Andretti Thrill Park in Melbourne Were there any reports of hurricane force sustained winds on land? I'm assuming probably not. What about gusts 75+ kts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 As to Nicole not being a 'cane at landfall, probably true near the center, but if you noted that report from the space center further north (100 mph gusts above the surface), I think what happened was that strongest winds decoupled from the core when the storm straddled the coast, and were ejected north. So there was a hurricane aspect to the landfall, but very non-classical as to location of that remnant. How are storm surge outcomes north of the Cape? That might be another aspect that was better anticipated from hurricane Nicole than TS Nicole designations. It's sort of like the Sandy landfall in that what the storm was named could mislead some vulnerable coastal residents, in hindsight many thought that Sandy should have been retained as a hurricane to landfall. Some in storm surge situations might have (wrongly) surmised that Sandy wasn't even a hurricane any more, and let their guard down. This was widely discussed IIRC in the days after landfall. Also a storm with a 16' storm surge and 90 mph wind gusts could safely be called a hurricane for a few extra hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 30 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said: Were there any reports of hurricane force sustained winds on land? I'm assuming probably not. What about gusts 75+ kts? Here are some reported gusts. I believe cocoa had several 70+ mph gusts. The 100 was at 120 ft elevation as has been reported. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 3 hours ago, GaWx said: By looking at the county by county power outage map, one can get a good idea of where the highest winds were. In FL going up the coast, significant numbers of outages don't start til Indian River county, where Nicole made landfall. The next county up, Brevard, has by far the highest number and percentage in the state with 25% out (as mentioned above). Significant outages go as far north as St. John's (8%) in NE FL. Even way up here in SAV, my power was out for a couple of hours and just came back on. In stark contrast, SE FL (which was on the weak side of the eye) has only a very low % out (under 2% St. Lucie county southward). Although well inland, Orange county (Orlando) has 6% out and Marion county has 9% out. In NW FL, Madison county at 19% has the second highest percentage out! Does anyone know why? Overall, for a minimal hurricane, Nicole has been pretty impactful on the strong side of the eye. I'm pretty sure that most minimal hurricanes haven't had this much impact overall. This was aided by a strong gradient due to the big high that was to the north. Orange County looked to peak at several hours of sustained TS (35-38 mph) with gusts to mid 50s. I heard transformers popping this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 4 hours ago, Rockem_sockem_connection said: quiet around here but that's good since if no one is interested in talking the storm must not have killed anyone or damaged much At least 2 people died in Orlando related to electrocution of a fallen power line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 43 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: As to Nicole not being a 'cane at landfall, probably true near the center, but if you noted that report from the space center further north (100 mph gusts above the surface), I think what happened was that strongest winds decoupled from the core when the storm straddled the coast, and were ejected north. So there was a hurricane aspect to the landfall, but very non-classical as to location of that remnant. How are storm surge outcomes north of the Cape? That might be another aspect that was better anticipated from hurricane Nicole than TS Nicole designations. It's sort of like the Sandy landfall in that what the storm was named could mislead some vulnerable coastal residents, in hindsight many thought that Sandy should have been retained as a hurricane to landfall. Some in storm surge situations might have (wrongly) surmised that Sandy wasn't even a hurricane any more, and let their guard down. This was widely discussed IIRC in the days after landfall. Also a storm with a 16' storm surge and 90 mph wind gusts could safely be called a hurricane for a few extra hours. This doesn't make any sense. Having 100 MPH flight level winds does not make a storm a hurricane. The lack of sustained 60+ MPH winds anywhere near the coast suggests this did not have 75 MPH sustained surface winds. It is possible for a storm to be stronger aloft and weaker at the surface. It is also possible for a storm to have weaker flight level winds and have the winds mix down better. Nothing I am saying here downplays Nicole as a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 10, 2022 Share Posted November 10, 2022 interesting tweet that I saw retweeted by Jim Cantore 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted November 11, 2022 Share Posted November 11, 2022 1 hour ago, Normandy said: This doesn't make any sense. Having 100 MPH flight level winds does not make a storm a hurricane. The lack of sustained 60+ MPH winds anywhere near the coast suggests this did not have 75 MPH sustained surface winds. It is possible for a storm to be stronger aloft and weaker at the surface. It is also possible for a storm to have weaker flight level winds and have the winds mix down better. Nothing I am saying here downplays Nicole as a storm. What you describe is true of every tropical storm. Very rarely do rated winds verify, at least consistently. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted November 11, 2022 Share Posted November 11, 2022 Hell of a change since noon today. Temp was 63° with a few of 63°, now we’re sitting at 73°/73° with an E wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted November 11, 2022 Author Share Posted November 11, 2022 Way up here, I had two two hour+ long outages today. I've been getting bands of heavy showers this evening accompanied by very gusty winds as higher dewpoint air has displaced the wedged in air. There's been almost no thunder. We're under a tornado watch til 1AM. Charleston surge was up from 2 feet during yesterday morning's high tide to 2.6 at this morning's high tide. The projected peak surge was 2-4 feet. So, it verified in the lower part of the range though there still was a good amount of surge flooding. Ft. Pulaski's high tide this morning included a surge of 2.9 feet that lead to Highway 80 and Tybee having a notable amount of flooding. That should end up the highest tide for this storm. I'm near 1.5" for this storm, the third this season to give me rain/wind. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted November 11, 2022 Share Posted November 11, 2022 22 hours ago, TradeWinds said: 1935 - Miami (Nov 4) 1985 - Kate (Cat 2 into Panhandle Nov 21) Thank you 1935 was an extreme one I think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted November 11, 2022 Author Share Posted November 11, 2022 1 hour ago, WEATHER53 said: Thank you 1935 was an extreme one I think? 1935 was extreme track wise as this was the so called "Yankee Hurricane" that moved SW from off NC to FL and hit as a cat 2: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted November 11, 2022 Share Posted November 11, 2022 1 hour ago, GaWx said: 1935 was extreme track wise as this was the so called "Yankee Hurricane" that moved SW from off NC to FL and hit as a cat 2: Yes and #3 being the monster from that year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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