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Upstate/Eastern New York-Into Winter!


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This thing is over me here and we are seeing three times the model predicted snowfall (easily a foot and maybe more, we had a forecast of 3-6 inches). Some model runs have had a sub-960 mb low over central ON and the trajectory looks perfect for another mega-squall event around BUF and wNY. On current guidance I would think 60-90 inches quite possible 24th-26th with extreme winds (although squall bands tend to do odd things with winds inside the heavy snow zones). Similar to mid-November, your seasonals are going to go through the roof. Is Buffalo scheduled to be  playing at home during any of this? There were events something similar to this in Nov 1970 and Jan 1971, that was quite a snow belt winter. 

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...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...A rapid switch from rain to snow with sharply falling
  temperatures into the teens will result in a flash freeze on
  Friday. From Friday afternoon through most of the weekend, very
  strong winds, heavy lake effect snow and significant blowing
  and drifting snow will be possible. Winds could gust as high as
  65 mph Friday into Friday night. Localized blizzard conditions
  are possible.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Erie, Genesee, Wyoming, Chautauqua,
  and Cattaraugus counties.

* WHEN...From Friday morning through Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel for the holiday weekend, including Friday,
  could be very difficult to impossible at times. Areas of blowing
  snow could significantly reduce visibility with whiteouts and
  localized blizzard conditions possible. The most persistent and
  worst conditions will be where lake effect snow is most
  widespread, which is still uncertain at this time. Winds this
  strong could cause tree damage and power outages. Cold wind
  chills as low as 10 to 20 below zero this weekend could cause
  frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes.
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