8th Annual Mid-Atlantic Snowfall Contest

[RodneyS]

It's time for the new and improved 8th annual Mid-Atlantic snowfall contest! Well okay, it's the same as last year, with only the administrator changing. PrinceFrederickWx has done a great job of running this contest, but I think figured he would have a better chance of winning it if he focuses exclusively on his proprietary PFWX Forecast Model.  As he noted last year, everyone is encouraged to play, including lurkers, new members, and people outside the region.
 
Please note that you are forecasting the total snowfall for the entire snow season (NOT just Dec/Jan/Feb) to the nearest one-tenth of an inch for the four major Mid-Atlantic airports: BWI International (BWI), Reagan National (DCA), Dulles International (IAD) and Richmond International (RIC).  Generally, snow does not fall after early April at any of these airports, and so the contest is usually finalized by early to mid-April.

For the tiebreaker, please choose one of the following two airports: Salisbury, MD (SBY) or Lynchburg, VA (LYH). Choose only one -- in the event of the tiebreaker, the difference at the airport you chose will be compared with the difference at the airport your opponent(s) chose. 

The winner will be the person who has the lowest combined absolute value departure for all four airports. For example, if you forecast:

BWI: 0.0"

DCA: 0.0"

IAD: 0.0"

RIC: 10.0"

And the actual seasonal totals turn out to be:

BWI: 2.5"

DCA: 2.5"

IAD: 2.5"

RIC: 2.5"

Your absolute value departures would be:

BWI: 2.5

DCA: 2.5

IAD: 2.5

RIC: 7.5

Thus, your total departure would be 15.0.

Please use the following format when posting your forecast, in this order:
BWI:
DCA:
IAD:
RIC:

Tiebreaker (SBY or LYH):

The deadline for entries is Thursday, December 1, at 11:59pm. You are welcome to edit your forecast as many times as you want until the deadline. If there's any accumulating snow before the deadline, please include that in your forecast as well. I think the best approach is to submit your forecast well in advance of the deadline and edit it if necessary, just in case you get tied up on December 1st.

The winner gets an E-trophy made of snow and an induction into the Hall of Fame with the previous winners:

2015-16: @Shadowzone

2016-17: @Stormpc

2017-18: @olafminesaw

2018-19: @olafminesaw (tiebreaker win against @Stormpc)

2019-20: @Prestige Worldwide

2020-21: @NorthArlington101

2021-22: @IUsedToHateCold

Good luck everyone!

[NorthArlington101]

Thanks for hosting! Early guess (edited Dec. 1)

BWI: 14.3"
DCA: 11.1”
IAD: 17.1"
RIC: 8.3"

Tiebreaker (SBY): 11"

[aldie 22]

BWI: 15.2"
DCA: 8.1"
IAD: 16.3"
RIC: 7.8"

Tiebreaker (SBY): 12.3"

[peribonca]

BWI: 19
DCA: 12
IAD: 24
RIC: 8

Tiebreaker (SBY): 5

[PrinceFrederickWx]

BWI: 5.9"

DCA: 4.1"

IAD: 9.3"

RIC: 3.2"

Tiebreaker (SBY): 2.8"

[katabatic]

BWI: 28.7
DCA: 19.9
IAD: 33.5
RIC: 17.1

 

SBY: 13.6

[a.salt]

BWI: 15.4"
DCA: 9.2"
IAD: 16.1"
RIC: 4.8"

SBY: 5.1"

[LittleVillageWx]

Hope I am dead wrong about these:

BWI:  4.4

DCA:  3.2

IAD:  5.9

RIC:  0.5

Tie breaker SBY:  1.5

[MillvilleWx]

Early Guess. Will update later in the month

BWI: 14.2"
DCA: 10.4"
IAD: 16.3"
RIC: 5.5"

Tiebreaker (SBY): 10.8"

[BristowWx]

BWI:  13.2

DCA:  2.7

IAD:  7.3

RIC:  4.3

Tie breaker SBY:  6.6

[Eskimo Joe]

BWI: 19"
DCA: 10"
IAD: 12"
RIC: 8"

Tiebreaker (SBY): 10"

[Wxdavis5784]

BWI: 24”
DCA:18"
IAD: 28"
RIC: 10"

Tiebreaker SBY: 11”

[Chris78]

BWI: 14.2"

DCA: 9.4"

IAD: 16.4"

RIC: 6.8"

Tie Breaker SBY: 10.6"

MBY: 20"

 

[nj2va]

BWI: 16.2"
DCA: 9.1”
IAD: 18.5"
RIC: 6.8"

Tiebreaker (SBY): 9”

 

Home:  12.2”

McHenry:  132”

[HighStakes]

BWI: 18.2

DCA: 13.7

IAD: 18.7

RIC: 11.2

Tiebreaker SBY: 11.3

[Roger Smith]

BWI: 29.1

DCA: 23.5

IAD: 31.1

RIC: 15.2

(LYH 26.4)

BUF: 2000000000000000000000000007

[Terpeast]

BWI: 15”
DCA: 11”
IAD: 17”
RIC: 6”

Tiebreaker (SBY): 7”

[toolsheds]

BWI: 33.2"
DCA: 23.1"
IAD: 28.3"
RIC: 14.8"

Tiebreaker (SBY): 11.4"

[biodhokie]

BWI: 21.2"
DCA: 18.4"
IAD: 20.1"
RIC: 16"

Tiebreaker (SBY): 6"

[jviper]

BWI: 23.5"
DCA: 7.0"
IAD: 18.5"
RIC: 12.0"

Tiebreaker (SBY): 8.5"

[midatlanticweather]

BWI: 17.9
DCA: 12.6
IAD: 23.4
RIC: 18.1

Tiebreaker LYH: 19.1

[Rhino16]

BWI: 15”
DCA: 13”
IAD: 12”
RIC: 18”

Tiebreaker LYH: 24”

[WEATHER53]

BWI 18.2

DCA 14.8

IAD::18.0

RIC: 12.6

 

tiebreak SBY 11.8

[Mordecai]

BWI: 12.2"
DCA: 10.5"
IAD: 14.1"
RIC: 7.8" 

Tiebreaker (SBY): 9.1" 

[nw baltimore wx]

BWI: 19"
DCA: 11"
IAD:  21"
RIC: 7"

Tiebreaker (SBY): 14"

[mattie g]

BWI: 15.5"
DCA: 10.7"
IAD:  16.5"
RIC: 7.9"

Tiebreaker (SBY): 8.2"

[GATECH]

BWI:  10.5”
DCA: 9” 
IAD: 13.5”
RIC: 5.5”

Tiebreaker: sby: 3.8”

[arlwx12]

BWI:  17.0
DCA: 14.0
IAD:  20.0
RIC: 7.0

Tiebreaker:  SBY 8.0

[North Balti Zen]

BWI - 13.8

DCA - 11.3

IAD - 18.6

RIC - 9

tiebreaker: SBY 5.9

[87storms]

BWI: 16.1"
DCA: 14.8"
IAD: 18.1"
RIC: 8.5"

Tiebreaker (SBY): 9.2"