George BM Posted November 1, 2022 Share Posted November 1, 2022 Forecast Discussion Wednesday, November 23, 2022 11:58AM EST NWSGeorgeBMHeadquarters A very strong and compact mid/upper level-low will continue to move ENE-wards into our region during the afternoon and into the evening. Currently ahead of it much of the area is experiencing light drizzle. Temperatures have slowly climbed to around 40F or so across the immediate Greater Washington Metropolitan region with low/mid 40s in southern and eastern MD and mid/upper 30s in far north and western regions. The Greater Metropolitan region should peak in the lower 40s over the next few hours. Afterwards, by early/mid afternoon (18z-20z) heights will fall very dramatically (500mb height falls: 12-15 dam/ 6hrs) as the compact system moves in. This will create very strong lift through a deep-layer of the atmosphere resulting in two significant things taking place. 1. Heavy precipitation will develop leading to dynamic cooling of the column allowing a quick changeover from rain to snow. With some elevated instability some elevated thunderstorms may develop, especially near the leading edge of this area of strong lift. Some small hail may even be possible with the most intense storms. But, more importantly, the snowfall rates will be very heavy. Although the system should be in and out within 6 hours there could be 1.5”+ of liquid equivalent precip within that time, much of it falling as snow. Therefore, snowfall rates could be in excess of 3”/hr. Current snow totals look to be in the 8-14”+ range. The snow will be high in moisture content (~8-10:1 ratios) leading to the potential of power outages. 2. In response to this strong mid/upper level system a surface low will rapidly strengthen over the southern Chesapeake Bay and move NE-wards across the Delmarva and into the western Atlantic through the evening as it continues to deepen. This will result in winds increasing throughout the region. Northerly wind gusts as high as 35 mph will be possible. With the very heavy snowfall rates coupled with the gusty winds, visibility will fall to below a quarter mile. A Winter Storm Warning is in effect for the region. Winds won’t be quite strong enough for Blizzard Warning issuances. Nonetheless, it will certainly seem blizzard-like throughout the late afternoon/evening. Overall, this will be a quick hitting and high impact event with snow departing the region by 3z tonight. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 1, 2022 Share Posted November 1, 2022 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 1, 2022 Share Posted November 1, 2022 Today, Holiday Traditions replaced 40s Junction on Sirius/XM Channel 71. We like listening to 40s Junction during dinner sometimes, but we gotta hold off on the Christmas stuff for at least a few more weeks. We could just go with Siriusly Sinatra instead... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted November 1, 2022 Share Posted November 1, 2022 I've already heard Mariah Carey once today. It's going to be a long holiday season isn't it? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 2, 2022 Share Posted November 2, 2022 I’m putting up our Christmas decorations (outside and inside) the weekend before Thanksgiving. Since we are hosting Thanksgiving in Deep Creek, would rather get it done before Thanksgiving, than after. We did it the same way last year since we traveled to Long Island for Thanksgiving. Holding off on music until then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 2, 2022 Share Posted November 2, 2022 Caps goaltending is much improved this year. Unfortunately the rest of the team is a year older and/ or injured currently. Not enough Fire power / skill to consistently score. Hurts missing Wilson,Oshie,Backstrom, Carlson,Brown 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 2, 2022 Share Posted November 2, 2022 1 hour ago, Chris78 said: Caps goaltending is much improved this year. Unfortunately the rest of the team is a year older and/ or injured currently. Not enough Fire power / skill to consistently score. Hurts missing Wilson,Oshie,Backstrom, Carlson,Brown Our injuries right now are crazy. If we had even a few of them back now, I’d feel better. But yeah, our age isn’t helping us. our goaltending is night and day from last year though! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted November 2, 2022 Share Posted November 2, 2022 17 hours ago, RickinBaltimore said: I've already heard Mariah Carey once today. It's going to be a long holiday season isn't it? FFS, can’t they keep it off until Thanksgiving? Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 2, 2022 Share Posted November 2, 2022 9 hours ago, nj2va said: Our injuries right now are crazy. If we had even a few of them back now, I’d feel better. But yeah, our age isn’t helping us. our goaltending is night and day from last year though! I love Charlie. Very confident with him in the net. But we are a bit of a slog on the offensive side. I almost hope they split the two goalies a bit ala Al Jensen and Pat Riggin. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted November 2, 2022 Share Posted November 2, 2022 13 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: I love Charlie. Very confident with him in the net. But we are a bit of a slog on the offensive side. I almost hope they split the two goalies a bit ala Al Jensen and Pat Riggin. Chuckie Sideburns was a folk hero in St. Louis last season. Looked good when he had to come in for a few games last year. Really hope Oshie gets better for the Caps too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 2, 2022 Share Posted November 2, 2022 10 hours ago, nj2va said: I’m putting up our Christmas decorations (outside and inside) the weekend before Thanksgiving. Since we are hosting Thanksgiving in Deep Creek, would rather get it done before Thanksgiving, than after. We did it the same way last year since we traveled to Long Island for Thanksgiving. Holding off on music until then. We're having a big get together for the US-England World Cup match on Black Friday, so putting up the lights the day before Thanksgiving might not be a terrible idea! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 2, 2022 Share Posted November 2, 2022 Commanders! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 2, 2022 Share Posted November 2, 2022 Explore lololololol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 2, 2022 Share Posted November 2, 2022 49 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Commanders! We can only hope. My concern is it's just for a minority stake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 2, 2022 Share Posted November 2, 2022 2 hours ago, Chris78 said: We can only hope. My concern is it's just for a minority stake. at this point i could care less why they sell, just get Snyder out of there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 2, 2022 Share Posted November 2, 2022 I agree. He needs to go. I just hope he sells the team completely and doesn't sale 49% so he's still in control. He had 3 other minority owners that owned I believe about 40 % of the team. They sold out and now he owns 100%. Earlier reporting said it was unclear if he was actually completely selling the team or selling a minority stake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted November 2, 2022 Share Posted November 2, 2022 Oh it gets better: https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/34934158/sources-us-attorney-office-investigating-commanders-alleged-financial-improprieties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 3, 2022 Share Posted November 3, 2022 This was predictable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 Is bunting banned in MLB these days? I'm a Phillies fan when local teams stink and couldn't believe they didn't tell the #9 hitter to bunt with 1st and 3rd, one out. The game was lost on the difference in fielding (Houston made their plays, Philly had some bobbles and errors). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5-4-3DP Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 10 hours ago, mdhokie said: Is bunting banned in MLB these days? I'm a Phillies fan when local teams stink and couldn't believe they didn't tell the #9 hitter to bunt with 1st and 3rd, one out. The game was lost on the difference in fielding (Houston made their plays, Philly had some bobbles and errors). No but bunting is pretty much old baseball. They worry about launch angle and home runs now. Small ball is gone. I hate the shift and love that mlb is doing away with it but ffs when Chris Davis was up with nobody out and the third baseman is playing shallow right field any pro player should have been able to bunt for a base hit down the line. Home runs are overtly coveted now. I love bunting, hit and runs, small baseball and great defense will win over the launch angle saber metric stuff all day In my opinion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted November 5, 2022 Share Posted November 5, 2022 Snow in Texas 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted November 5, 2022 Share Posted November 5, 2022 14 hours ago, 5-4-3DP said: No but bunting is pretty much old baseball. They worry about launch angle and home runs now. Small ball is gone. I hate the shift and love that mlb is doing away with it but ffs when Chris Davis was up with nobody out and the third baseman is playing shallow right field any pro player should have been able to bunt for a base hit down the line. Home runs are overtly coveted now. I love bunting, hit and runs, small baseball and great defense will win over the launch angle saber metric stuff all day In my opinion. I think the Cleveland Guardians (my home town team!) is one of the only teams that actually plays mostly small-ball these days. They don't have a lot of HR power, so this is kind of by design. This season they were quite good at getting runners on base and moving them around, not relying on the home run for everything. Even though they didn't win the ALDS vs. the Yankees, you could see how effectively they used that in that series, and they certainly gave the Yanks a scare! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 5, 2022 Share Posted November 5, 2022 Not snow, but puking leaves here now. Accumulating rapidly, despite my removal efforts. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted November 5, 2022 Share Posted November 5, 2022 1 hour ago, CAPE said: Not snow, but puking leaves here now. Accumulating rapidly, despite my removal efforts. Heavy Leaf Warning for areas east of the Chesapeake Bay Leaf rates of 250-300/hr Total Accumulation: 1000-2000 leaves plus 2 Aleve 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted November 5, 2022 Share Posted November 5, 2022 6 hours ago, CAPE said: Not snow, but puking leaves here now. Accumulating rapidly, despite my removal efforts. Be sure you measure at 6 hour intervals and do NOT slant-rake! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted November 5, 2022 Share Posted November 5, 2022 4 hours ago, MillvilleWx said: Heavy Leaf Warning for areas east of the Chesapeake Bay Leaf rates of 250-300/hr Total Accumulation: 1000-2000 leaves plus 2 Aleve What's the wind criteria for a leaf blizzard warning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted November 5, 2022 Share Posted November 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: What's the wind criteria for a leaf blizzard warning? Sustained 20-30 mph winds, reduced visibility to your own picket fence, with blowing and drifting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted November 5, 2022 Share Posted November 5, 2022 48 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: What's the wind criteria for a leaf blizzard warning? The spruce forest to our west funnels the winds down to the ground much like what happens in cities. The result is we wind up with legit "leafnadoes" or "leaf devils" spinning through the pasture. The winds today are strong enough but are from the wrong direction. They are doing a nice job of getting the leaves off the stubborn pin oaks, however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 Caps are not playing well. Lots of injuries. Orlov injured now. Being out played by the freaking coyotes in the 3rd. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 11 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Caps are not playing well. Lots of injuries. Orlov injured now. Being out played by the freaking coyotes in the 3rd. It was like watching young legs vs. Old legs. 3rd goal was terrible starting with kuzy taking 3 d-men that somehow turned into a 3-1 break the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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