Lava Rock Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: All ponds are frozen solid with black ice . 48 hours of below freezing will do it you first. you didn't crack 32 yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 A balmy 37 here in the E CT low lands; off a low of 18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We'll take it Would you call that Scandinavian ridging, or an EAST based -NAO in that depiction? Or a lil of both? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Would you call that Scandinavian ridging, or an EAST based -NAO in that depiction? Or a lil of both? Probably more east based -NAO as ridging poked the east side of Greenland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Probably more east based -NAO as ridging poked the east side of Greenland. More importantly is the low height anomalies are in a great spot there near 50/50 region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: More importantly is the low height anomalies are in a great spot there near 50/50 region. For sure. Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 57 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I would love to see Snow in my Birthday 12/3. I believe two or three years back, we had a good storm on my birthday for the day before. It was a big sleep fast and then it turned to snow. We had about 12 inches where we are. 2019. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We'll take it I love that look....very active. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 46 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: All ponds are frozen solid with black ice . 48 hours of below freezing will do it I hope you're not the part-time Tolland safety officer. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 2019. Yes exactly. We bought the our house in early September 2019. I remember taking pictures of the house with all the wreaths and decorations. It was that first year. Thanks man! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I love that look....very active. -PNA/-NAO is one of my favorite patterns provided the PNA isn’t taking a dip on the beaches of Cabo San Lucas. This version on the ensembles is solid. SE ridge is modest with good confluence to our north. Unfortunately I expect to see plenty of shifts on the ensembles but as long as we keep the Atlantic blocking and avoid full blown AK piggies, I’ll roll the dice. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: -PNA/-NAO is one of my favorite patterns provided the PNA isn’t taking a dip on the beaches of Cabo San Lucas. This version on the ensembles is solid. SE ridge is modest with good confluence to our north. Unfortunately I expect to see plenty of shifts on the ensembles but as long as we keep the Atlantic blocking and avoid full blown AK piggies, I’ll roll the dice. Agree. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 59 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Yes exactly. We bought the our house in early September 2019. I remember taking pictures of the house with all the wreaths and decorations. It was that first year. Thanks man! That was my only significant bday storm in my memory of 75 birthdays. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I love that look....very active. A lot of the great winters of yore had that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 11 minutes ago, weathafella said: That was my only significant bday storm in my memory of 75 birthdays. 50 birthdays since moving to Maine and 7.0" in 2001 is tops. We drove down to CON that day, and that area had 10"+. Can't recall any b'day snowstorms from my NNJ days, though we had 24" storms on 3/18-19/1956 and 3/20-21/1958. 1st was powder, 2nd was paste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 Just now, tamarack said: 50 birthdays since moving to Maine and 7.0" in 2001 is tops. We drove down to CON that day, and that area had 10"+. Can't recall any b'day snowstorms from my NNJ days, though we had 24" storms on 3/18-19/1956 and 3/20-21/1958. 1st was powder, 2nd was paste. You have a more favorable date I think. Mine is a stretch in sne and even less frequent in NNE. Steve has the best one-2/10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 To bad the air mass is garbage up here, GFS is turning the weekend system into more of a SWFE for the 28th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 49 minutes ago, weathafella said: You have a more favorable date I think. Mine is a stretch in sne and even less frequent in NNE. Steve has the best one-2/10. I was born April 2nd so not sure I can count the April Fools storm, my father said the day I was born was an ice storm. Maybe why I like winter weather so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 30 minutes ago, dryslot said: To bad the air mass is garbage up here, GFS is turning the weekend system into more of a SWFE for the 28th. This weekend is also really trending as tho it was heavily a magnification fantasy …seeing some minoring perturbation through the “model horizon lensing” I mean normally we can assume some 20 or 30% over sell but geesh. Some of these trends are really extrapolating toward less. I think it’s a flat NJ model type low. Warm version for now .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: This weekend is also really trending as tho it was heavily a magnification fantasy …seeing some minoring perturbation through the “model horizon lensing” I mean normally we can assume some 20 or 30% over sell but geesh. Some of these trends are really extrapolating toward less. I think it’s a flat NJ model type low. Warm version for now .. Almost looks more appropriate for November now. A cold rain for many on that type of solution where maybe the interior hills in N ORH county and monadnocks end as brief 34F noodles and places like VT/N NH mountains end as 3” of paste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 6 hours ago, Heisy said: "Gotta give the GFS credit it sniffed burying the energy before rest of the models" Actually, the Ukie was the one leading the way yesterday that it would be a dud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/11/21/thundersnow-lightning-wind-turbines-newyork/ Who knew ? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 18 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: This weekend is also really trending as tho it was heavily a magnification fantasy …seeing some minoring perturbation through the “model horizon lensing” I mean normally we can assume some 20 or 30% over sell but geesh. Some of these trends are really extrapolating toward less. I think it’s a flat NJ model type low. Warm version for now .. The bomb scenario that the models had earlier is off the table now as the southern stream s/w gets left behind by all guidance and comes in as two pieces, One with the northern stream as a weak wave on Friday, And the other with the southern stream s/w that was left behind and ejects into the NE off of NJ late weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Probably more east based -NAO as ridging poked the east side of Greenland. with the 50-50 and strength of the western ridge, does that east nao retrograde and bridge the ridges? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcglups Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 5 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I did see ice! This is Cherry Pond in Jefferson NH, picture taken around 2pm on 11/20. I would think with the cold last night and today, the entire pond is likely frozen over. In nearby news from the evening walk, it is cool to see the ice formations already underway on the creeks and tributaries to the Androscoggin River. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 43 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: with the 50-50 and strength of the western ridge, does that east nao retrograde and bridge the ridges? I suppose it could, but verbatim it’s not there yet. That’s not the easiest thing to do…..all we need is a little ridging on each side. We don’t necessarily need an Uber ridge from the NPAC to Greenland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 3 hours ago, weathafella said: A lot of the great winters of yore had that. It's a 1960s look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It's a 1960s look. No it’s not lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 Looks like the 18z GFS has a torch for SNE to end the month thru the first several days of December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted November 22, 2022 Share Posted November 22, 2022 Barring the summer-like warmth recently, it seems like things are progressing like a typical mid-late fall would. It's too early for big snow storms despite the model fantasies. I would actually like to see a couple decent rainy nor'easters before we start talking snow. That feels like November. If we can get into a pattern where the storms can develop despite being wet vs. white, it's a harbinger of better things later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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