TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 Congrats to the Moose up near the Canadian border, they are the only ones that have a shot with this 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 Just now, WinterWolf said: That’s a lil different than what you said yesterday afternoon, when you said “the bad look is coming…it’s been modeled.” Not trying to be a jerk or anything, Just trying to make sure I understand your reasoning that’s all. So this morning you’re not quite sure if it’s an all out torch/or hostile pattern, because it’s(longer range ensembles) waffling again? It’s still not a good look. I never it’s a torch either….but the pacific does look crappy. I can’t really get specific two weeks our other than saying it looks meh. If the blocking happens then maybe we can sneak something in. If it does not happen, then we will be milder and probably rather quiet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Would you say seasonal? Probably AN on average. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It’s still not a good look. I never it’s a torch either….but the pacific does look crappy. I can’t really get specific two weeks our other than saying it looks meh. If the blocking happens then maybe we can sneak something in. If it does not happen, then we will be milder and probably rather quiet. Ok fair enough. Like Hub Dave said…perhaps it’s just a seasonable lol for late November/Earky December? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 I sense some are worried that we may not get off to a very good start for winter once again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 It is just absolutely dumping. We've picked up several inches at the mountain, and looks like even out in the valley the very rare ASOS M1/4 visibility +SN. This is true whiteout stuff. METAR KMVL 201330Z AUTO 00000KT M1/4SM +SN FZFG VV007 M03/M05 A2981 METAR KMVL 201325Z AUTO 00000KT M1/4SM +SN FZFG VV006 M03/M05 A2981 KMVL 201324Z AUTO 00000KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV006 M03/M05 A2981 RMK AO2 P0000 T10331050 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I sense some are worried that we may not get off to a very good start for winter once again. It’s been like a decade or more since we’ve had a good start to winter here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It’s been like a decade or more since we’ve had a good start to winter here lol The last few years we've lost December up here, That's never good, As it really does a number on the seasonal avg that's tough to make up, Will have to wait to see how it plays out this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 We def were spoiled with the Decembers of the 2000s. We paid back the piper in 2010s. I feel like only 2013 and 2017 were really good…2020 was decent but that grinch storm with 100 knot winds from Cuba really put a damper on it. We’re due for a really good December. But being “due” doesn’t make it more likely. I wish it did. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ok fair enough. Like Hub Dave said…perhaps it’s just a seasonable lol for late November/Earky December? My guess it averages AN. But given how early it is, you’d want to have a better airmass vs what is modeled. Maybe you get lucky and sneak something in with a serviceable airmass inland as long as we have some blocking. I think people are getting a little antsy and not looking at the calendar too. It’s really early folks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 21 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Light snow in Templeton. Yep. Little squall line rolling through. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: My guess it averages AN. But given how early it is, you’d want to have a better airmass vs what is modeled. Maybe you get lucky and sneak something in with a serviceable airmass inland as long as we have some blocking. I think people are getting a little antsy and not looking at the calendar too. It’s really early folks. People just need to take solace in fact their snow climo in sne kinda blows for a true weenie . Then a calming depressed emotion can settle over them. Bc many keep rooting for that Epic year every winter and they look for a earlier start Which would help because they are not praying for average . I think that is a piece of the puzzle for some . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 54 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Surprised to see GEFS so vastly different than OP for next Saturday . Ya - not a snower for Boston , and maybe it goes poof but interesting to me It’s unlikely it snows in my area but I wouldn’t rule it out. 2 feet, no but I guess there’s an outside shot at a slushy foot. Hell even Metfan is still tracking the storm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: My guess it averages AN. But given how early it is, you’d want to have a better airmass vs what is modeled. Maybe you get lucky and sneak something in with a serviceable airmass inland as long as we have some blocking. I think people are getting a little antsy and not looking at the calendar too. It’s really early folks. There it is .. the dreaded calendar post that comes every year . It’s only December.. it’s early.. and then wait til January when it’s Climo .. and then .. well typically we get snowy in Feb… and March always has a doozy … as Tip is taking the temperature of his car seat with a reactal thermometer 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There it is .. the dreaded calendar post that comes every year . It’s only December.. it’s early.. and then wait til January when it’s Climo .. and then .. well typically we get snowy in Feb… and March always has a doozy … as Tip is taking the temperature of his car seat with a reactal thermometer It’s not even December. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s not even December. Ya I get what he’s saying..but to a point. We still do have 10 days left to November, so it is extremely early for SNE with regards to chances for snow in our area. Here’s the problem, I think the bottom line is everybody hates to see a hostile(or somewhat hostile look) as we enter into the beginning of our climatological wheelhouse for snow chances in SNE in December. It gives a bad vibe, which can lead to a bad start, and that is bothersome and irritating for winter enthusiasts. Mixed signals as we approach early December…I guess we gotta see what happens on the modeling this last 10 days of November. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s not even December. Its like the movie Groundhog day with some of these comments. Can't wait for that one storm that gets all their minds off the doom and gloom lol. I find every moment to be fascinating even when it's boring. This is weather, this is what it's like. Hasn't really even begun yet and some people are already calling for it to be over. It's comical 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ya I get what he’s saying..but to a point. We still do have 10 days left to November, so it is extremely early for SNE with regards to chances for snow in our area. Here’s the problem, I think the bottom line is everybody hates to see a hostile(or somewhat hostile look) as we enter into the beginning of our climatological wheelhouse for snow chances in SNE in December. It gives a bad vibe, which can lead to a bad start, and that is bothersome and irritating for winter enthusiasts. Mixed signals as we approach early December…I guess we gotta see what happens on the modeling this last 10 days of November. As Larry Cosgrove once said, deal with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 54 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That’s a lil different than what you said yesterday afternoon, when you said “the bad look is coming…it’s been modeled.” Not trying to be a jerk or anything, Just trying to make sure I understand your reasoning that’s all. So this morning you’re not quite sure if it’s an all out torch/or hostile pattern, because it’s(longer range ensembles) waffling again? You new to this board? Scooter knows every 12 hrs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 Next weekend still looks interesting for New England. Eps has some interesting members 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Next weekend still looks interesting for New England. Eps has some interesting members With 51 members I’m sure they’ll always be some interesting members. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You new to this board? Scooter knows every 12 hrs. When should I gas up the snow blower? You have me worried about this train. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 Weenie fight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 20, 2022 Author Share Posted November 20, 2022 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Weenie fight flaccid one atm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: When should I gas up the snow blower? You have me worried about this train. You totally didn't read my posts about the pattern change. No where was snow mentioned. Smart enough to know climo. But I am sure Ski areas and mountain men are loving it. 6Z EPS smokes them again. Keep tossing its nice to see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You totally didn't read my posts about the pattern change. No where was snow mentioned. Smart enough to know climo. But I am sure Ski areas and mountain men are loving it. 6Z EPS smokes them again. Keep tossing its nice to see. I tossed the op which shows a tropical system. I better get break and milk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: flaccid one atm Everything is flaccid. Except Bruins and Celtics. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: flaccid one atm 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Weenie fight When you are on top they come at ya with everything they got. Lol j/k I just think being the New England forum not the AEMATT forum there should be a definite interest in next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I tossed the op which shows a tropical system. I better get break and milk. Definitely can see this being another winter where you whine yourself right into an epic storm. Happens pretty much every year. Lots of cheese with your wine. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2022 Share Posted November 20, 2022 Weenies always get defensive when Mets say something doesn’t look great. I wish it did as much as anyone, but just calling it as I see it. Hopefully the Atlantic cooperates. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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