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November 2022 OBS/DISC


Baroclinic Zone
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That N PAC gets worse each run. That’s starting to get dangerously close to a pig look. Right now it’s far enough west that it’s not a disaster…esp with the ATL blocking, but hopefully that doesn’t become a mainstay on the ensembles going forward. 

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7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

That N PAC gets worse each run. That’s starting to get dangerously close to a pig look. Right now it’s far enough west that it’s not a disaster…esp with the ATL blocking, but hopefully that doesn’t become a mainstay on the ensembles going forward. 

Oh dam…here comes 11-12 again.  Dam how fast things change…we going into the dumpster. 

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

F’ing GD pig. Rays 2nd half December to remember turning into December to go on long bender 

While Ginx train taking one up the rear ender 

 

 

 

 

 

I had a a serviceable SWFE type second half after a bleh first half. I had a good January.

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The pig making an appearance isn't the end of the world, though scary, yes. My sensible analog composite doubled up on 2001-2002, so that wouldn't suprise me. I am confident that it won't be a permanent fixture like it was that season, but I did call for a slightly positive seasonal EPO in the mean because those RNA periods have us playing with fire with respect to getting those lower heights in the vicinity of AK at times. 

I wouldn't worry too much, but those December 2009 calls by some were dumb IMO.

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The pig making an appearance isn't the end of the world, though scary, yes. My sensible analog composite doubled up on 2001-2002, so that wouldn't suprise me. I am confident that it won't be a permanent fixture like it was that season, but I did call for a slightly positive seasonal EPO in the mean because those RNA periods have us playing with fire with respect to getting those lower heights in the vicinity of AK at times. 
I wouldn't worry too much, but those December 2009 calls by some were dumb IMO.

This high solar flux isn’t as bad as 2001, so I wouldn’t expect that kind of carnage


.
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