Sey-Mour Snow Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 another gfs run another different solution ... patience .. we have no idea what is going to happen next weekend.. I'd take cold with some scattered snow showers... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 Big rainstorm on the cmc 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 February is gonna rock!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 2 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 He kind a looks like Thomas the train. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 No disrespect people. I'm not sure why any of you are making any kind of forecasts lol. Yes we have an idea what could happen in the setups that are coming up. But like every other year, we have changes that happen within a week. Why the hell are any of you saying we're going to get something next week or not? You all know that we've had storms appear out of almost nowhere within three or four days of the actual event. And same is true with storms that have been on the maps for one to two weeks that don't come to fruition. The point is, no one is correct on here. No one's to blame on here. Let's just enjoy the weather and see what happens. I'm actually laughing over here reading some of these comments . People really do live and die off of a model run. Still.... Love you all though, that's why I come back every day in the winter. I'm as big a weather geek as anyone else on here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 41 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: That's awesome thank you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 7 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: No disrespect people. I'm not sure why any of you are making any kind of forecasts lol. Yes we have an idea what could happen in the setups that are coming up. But like every other year, we have changes that happen within a week. Why the hell are any of you saying we're going to get something next week or not? You all know that we've had storms appear out of almost nowhere within three or four days of the actual event. And same is true with storms that have been on the maps for one to two weeks that don't come to fruition. The point is, no one is correct on here. No one's to blame on here. Let's just enjoy the weather and see what happens. I'm actually laughing over here reading some of these comments . People really do live and die off of a model run. Still.... Love you all though, that's why I come back every day in the winter. I'm as big a weather geek as anyone else on here. There are certain times when we can say with high certainty we’re not getting a snowstorm in the next week. The post-Tday event is on life support but not 100% dead yet. Prob in another cycle or two we can call it dead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 32 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There are certain times when we can say with high certainty we’re not getting a snowstorm in the next week. The post-Tday event is on life support but not 100% dead yet. Prob in another cycle or two we can call it dead. It’s gone . She gone 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 Euro was close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 27 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’m gone . Long gone Beer ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro was close eh..through central PA / upstate NY. need some serious changes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Euro was close Euro had better confluence , gave CNE /NNE some snows but a flip as that tracked funky again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 11 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Beer ? Yup 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 Still running but pretty big difference between eps vs GEFS d11 in the pacific. Almost trying for the ridge bridge. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: There are certain times when we can say with high certainty we’re not getting a snowstorm in the next week. The post-Tday event is on life support but not 100% dead yet. Prob in another cycle or two we can call it dead. You are right. I do remember when we get those storms that almost seem gone, and then all of a sudden they're back. Later December through February. I love when that happens though. Everybody gets on the train and the excitement level is through the roof. It's a great feeling. May not happen this time, but I know it'll happen at least once this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 1 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 Cutters cut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 I like it - get the bad look out of the way early! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I only trust long range ensembles when they show a good pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 Just now, EastonSN+ said: I like it - get the bad look out of the way early! You will be saying the same thing in January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: I only trust long range ensembles when they show a good pattern. If you can even believe that will happen..I mean that’s 15 days away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 I don’t think that pattern is too bad. The pacific sucks but there is a lot of blocking which makes up for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, George001 said: I don’t think that pattern is too bad. The pacific sucks but there is a lot of blocking which makes up for it. That’s two plus weeks out…so who knows the way these have been so volatile? The blocking is east based(which isn’t the best for us)..but who knows at this point. A few weeks ago this period we are in now was forecast by the weeklies to be very mild/warm lol..it’s 38 here today. That didn’t work out to well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 Just now, WinterWolf said: That’s two plus weeks out…so who knows the way these have been so volatile? The blocking is east based(which isn’t the best for us..but who knows at this point. Yeah there is plenty of time for change for better or worse. Hopefully we see the blocking strengthen and become more west based as we get into December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 Take a moment and watch that gif. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 That’s not a good look George. I wouldn’t say a lot of blocking either. Need more ridging into the Davis Straits. It’s gonna come. That’s been modeled. Hopefully it improves after first week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That’s not a good look George. I wouldn’t say a lot of blocking either. Need more ridging into the Davis Straits. It’s gonna come. That’s been modeled. Hopefully it improves after first week. Are we at the Indiana Jones “don’t look” level/gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Are we at the Indiana Jones “don’t look” level/gif Looks that way… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Are we at the Indiana Jones “don’t look” level/gif Not yet haha. It’s not the worst pattern, but it’s not good. If the blocking showed up you could make chicken salad out of chicken shit……but verbatim we would need more blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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