Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 45 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: facts? we ain't got time for facts. i may be laughing at the premise of your posts that say November is a winter month-because it really isn't. plus like Will said above, March can produce way more snow. HOWEVER, i actually agree with this post of yours. November starts to get cold, starts to get that holiday vibe, which yes, eventually leads to snow. And March is the opposite. getting warmer, signs of spring, etc Exactly . Folks don’t seem to get it . Nov is dark and is supposed to cold and stormy and beery . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: How quickly forecasters forget. Ryan’s got sun next 5 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: I like snow in November too…especially the second half, but more times than not the weather doesn’t do what we want or feel it should…even if it is low sun angle and short days. Snow in Nov before the last week melts usually like March snow, only difference is March snows are more prolific and numerous and often add to depth from February. Reason why he averages 2 inches in Nov and over a foot in December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 20 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Interesting weather day here in NW MA. Flipping back-and-forth from bright sunshine to clouds and snow squalls all afternoon. Same out here. Just walking the dog at sunset. Couple of snow showers. Some mulch piles have coatings from earlier today 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Same out here. Just walking the dog at sunset. Couple of snow showers. Some mulch piles have coatings from earlier today Watch your step 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 GFS going to look just a bit different this time it seems.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: GFS going to look just a bit different this time it seems.... Cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 GFS never gets the cold airmass in here for Tday. That’s a requirement for any threat to produce winter wx. Looks almost like the euro from 3-4 runs ago when it never pressed the cold south and kept us mild for Tday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Yup, Ginxy mentioned that a couple days ago. I have a couple pictures from that outbreak in my phone still…amazing. Was that their 100 incher? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GFS never gets the cold airmass in here for Tday. That’s a requirement for any threat to produce winter wx. Looks almost like the euro from 3-4 runs ago when it never pressed the cold south and kept us mild for Tday. Were there big snow runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Boat leaving Nassau...offline for the night. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Difference between the 12z and 18z. Look north of us. Completely different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Were there big snow runs? They’re everywhere . EPS/ GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Boat leaving Nassau...offline for the night. Fffftttt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Difference between the 12z and 18z. Look north of us. Completely different. Went from a frozen turkey to hot turkey in 1 run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 16 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: GFS going to look just a bit different this time it seems.... Shocker Welcome to winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Just now, MJO812 said: Shocker Welcome to winter just another ensemble member at this time frame....hopefully GEFS mean still maintains the look 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Difference between the 12z and 18z. Look north of us. Completely different. Lol that’s pretty funny actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Lol that’s pretty funny actually. It’s like an 800 mile shift in the PV lobe. And that was before the storm. Only like 6 days out. I expect shifts at d6 but usually not that big. Lol. We’ll see what ensemble say in a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 13 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Went from a frozen turkey to hot turkey in 1 run Pass the gravy and cranberry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Bummer they moved the Buffalo game 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 37 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Lol that’s pretty funny actually. Op is an outlier compared to the gefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 More squalls today we whiten Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Op is an outlier compared to the gefs Not really. GEFS trended way north with the PV lobe too. Just not as much as the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Not really. GEFS trended way north with the PV lobe too. Just not as much as the OP. It’s a day 8 threat but still not great. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: It’s a day 8 threat but still not great. There’s some good members in there still. But whatever the OP saw at 18z, a decent number of the ensembles saw too. But it might mean nothing…one of the pet peeves I have is the ensembles sometimes follow the OP too much in the medium range. We’ll know a lot more in the next few runs. There’s a reason we see so few big snows in November. You need a lot of things to go right. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There’s some good members in there still. But whatever the OP saw at 18z, a decent number of the ensembles saw too. But it might mean nothing…one of the pet peeves I have is the ensembles sometimes follow the OP too much in the medium range. We’ll know a lot more in the next few runs. There’s a reason we see so few big snows in November. You need a lot of things to go right. Majority of the members are east of the op though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Not really. GEFS trended way north with the PV lobe too. Just not as much as the OP. Oh no, it’s over lol. Hot open turkey sandwich on T Day now at 18z, instead of Swansons Frozen Turkey TV Dinner from 12z. As usual the 18z crushes hopes more often than not. No worries, as Forky said nobody cares about snow during the Thanksgiving weekend anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Majority of the members are east of the op though Yeah but a lot of them have no cold air in place because that PV lobe never makes it south. There’s some members on the benchmark with a rainstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah but a lot of them have no cold air in place because that PV lobe never makes it south. There’s some members on the benchmark with a rainstorm. Yup. No lobe, no love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now