MJO812 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Black Friday Potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 From a lakes cutter to offshore on the EPS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 19 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said: lol, one of these days this is gonna happen...screw EOTR and hammer WOTR. Of course it won't be this storm, but... Dreams are euphoric…then we wake up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 There's definitely a signal for something but tracking it well over a week out is a little silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Would much rather track high heat and dews or a tropical threat at this lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Meanwhile, a rare SW-WSW flow may give the islands and outer cape some ocnl mixed ra/sn or perhaps straight shsn tomorrow into Sunday. That's pretty cool. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Black Friday Potential It started off as a cutter but is turning into a miller B on the models now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Meanwhile, a rare SW-WSW flow may give the islands and outer cape some ocnl mixed ra/sn or perhaps straight shsn tomorrow into Sunday. That's pretty cool. Couple chances for flurries/snow showers elsewhere too....two solid vort maxes move through. First one later tomorrow and then another on Sunday. So those who didn't get first flakes a couple nights ago have a chance this weekend. Could even see some today too, though the latter two days look better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Couple chances for flurries/snow showers elsewhere too....two solid vort maxes move through. First one later tomorrow and then another on Sunday. So those who didn't get first flakes a couple nights ago have a chance this weekend. Could even see some today too, though the latter two days look better. Yeah hopefully. Some guidance has shown some detached streamers coming by in certain areas too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 42 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: There's definitely a signal for something but tracking it well over a week out is a little silly. A complete shift on the eps from cutter to offshore a week out is a great sign that it won’t be at least cutting. Slider or up the coast are the most likely options at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 GEFS also shows the system.....D8 though so no use in getting too invested Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Couple chances for flurries/snow showers elsewhere too....two solid vort maxes move through. First one later tomorrow and then another on Sunday. So those who didn't get first flakes a couple nights ago have a chance this weekend. Could even see some today too, though the latter two days look better. Friday pm looks to me like it’s a ground whitener - 1” or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 hour ago, dryslot said: From a lakes cutter to offshore on the EPS I think some of you were already saying that a lakes cutter didn't seem as logical due to the ridge out west along with some other model guidances. So, I don't find this to be a surprise. I am not on board yet that we are going to see a major snow or sleet event, but I will say that both Bob Maxon ( WVIT ) and Gil Simmons ( WTNH ) are putting out there the possibility of " Something interesting " next Friday/Saturday. They even lowered the highs those days to low to mid 40's. Time will tell!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I think some of you were already saying that a lakes cutter didn't seem as logical due to the ridge out west along with some other model guidances. So, I don't find this to be a surprise. I am not on board yet that we are going to see a major snow or sleet event, but I will say that both Bob Maxon ( WVIT ) and Gil Simmons ( WTNH ) are putting out there the possibility of " Something interesting " next Friday/Saturday. They even lowered the highs those days to low to mid 40's. Time will tell!! The surprise is how bad the euro has become, That's the real story and is troubling i think. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: There's definitely a signal for something but tracking it well over a week out is a little silly. That’s what a weather forum is for though. Should we discuss today’s crisp cold air tickling the pope’s rectum instead? 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: The surprise is how bad the euro has become, That's the real story and is troubling i think. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Friday pm looks to me like it’s a ground whitener - 1” or so On what model? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 18 minutes ago, dryslot said: The surprise is how bad the euro has become, That's the real story and is troubling i think. Was it bad yesterday. Seems the low cut the cape has it had for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Was it bad yesterday. Seems the low cut the cape has it had for days. Its QPF was all over the place. Ended up being flaccid as the GFS showed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Was it bad yesterday. Seems the low cut the cape has it had for days. I thought the HRRR did well with this one, The Euro was eratic from run to run, Its was always known for subtle adjustments, Its gone away from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 I got ninja'd ha ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Models are going to swing a ton on a day 8-9 threat....why all the hand-wringing? We used to barely even look beyond D6 on deterministic solutions. GEFS def seemed to have the better idea over the EPS though on the pattern late next week. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: On what model? Has the look / set up with shortwave coming in tomorrow evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Models are going to swing a ton on a day 8-9 threat....why all the hand-wringing? We used to barely even look beyond D6 on deterministic solutions. GEFS def seemed to have the better idea over the EPS though on the pattern late next week. I think it's more of the pattern look. I was shocked to see the EPS changes starting so early and growing so large in the 6-10 day. Not even a sizeable change...just a complete flip out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Has the look / set up with shortwave coming in tomorrow evening I see. Good luck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: On what model? Beer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I think it's more of the pattern look. I was shocked to see the EPS changes starting so early and growing so large in the 6-10 day. Not even a sizeable change...just a complete flip out west. Yea. And if we extrapolate the error spread into weeks 2+, the weeklies have become practically useless. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. And if we extrapolate the error spread into weeks 2+, and the weeklies have become practically useless. To be fair it does happen...I guess color me surprised that's all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Beer BFS initialized by IPA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I see. Good luck! So you don’t see any snow tomorrow? Well to be fair when I posted last week that I was expecting 1-3” Tuesday night this week you also didn’t see that . Instead you mention OES rain showers lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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