Allsnow Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Cool and dry for days and days while Buffalo get 2-4’ of snow Bills play at home Sunday could be interesting weather wise 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Kind of interesting… as an aside despite passing through this pretty impressive negative EP over the next 3 to 4 days, the actual 850 mbar spread across the Canadian shield is not really that representative. I mean we benefit as cold enthusiast for actually getting transport from those regions but this EPO doesn’t seem to be loading as deeply - perhaps because it’s early in the season but I’m not sure. I mean the sun has set over the polar cap casting the 6 mo “eternal” darkness up there… I mean there should be plenty of cold genesis going on. Maybe this is one of those times were lacking cryo- does have a feedback? If that 0ZGFS is onto that next huge negative EPO burst out there in the extended… It’s also not modeled to have very impressive -850 mb anomalies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Kind of interesting… as an aside despite passing through this pretty impressive negative EP over the next 3 to 4 days, the actual 850 mbar spread across the Canadian shield is not really that representative. I mean we benefit as cold enthusiast for actually getting transport from those regions but this EPO doesn’t seem to be loading as deeply - perhaps because it’s early in the season but I’m not sure. I mean the sun has set over the polar cap casting the 6 mo “eternal” darkness up there… I mean there should be plenty of cold genesis going on. Maybe this is one of those times were lacking cryo- does have a feedback? If that 0ZGFS is onto that next huge negative EPO burst out there in the extended… It’s also not modeled to have very impressive -850 mb anomalies. I think if that does come to fruition, those -850’s will catch up(become more impressive) as we move forward in time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 25 here for a low. 2 hour walk last night late-sub freezing from start to finish but after 45 minutes you warm up from the exercise. Clouding up now-rainy and cold tomorrow. Aka November. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Yup…this one’s not ours, but ours is coming. Feels like early December out there…41 degrees and clouding up. Raw day for sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, White Rain said: Cold November day, 37F still at 1245pm, low was 26F. Feels very winter like the last two days. Looking forward to my "Cold November Rain". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 20 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Yup…this one’s not ours, but ours is coming. Feels like early December out there…41 degrees and clouding up. Raw day for sure. I think you have the chance of seeing flakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, White Rain said: Snow coming to a neighborhood in SNE soon, we hope. This one is a snoozer for us. You also probably see minor accumulations. Hey it's a start. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Just seeing flakes is a win this early. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think you have the chance of seeing flakes. Ya? I resigned myself to seeing just rain. But if there are some flakes, you’re right, it’s a start. I’m cool with that. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Ya? I resigned myself to seeing just rain. But if there are some flakes, you’re right, it’s a start. I’m cool with that. Well I'm not 100% confident lol...but just my hunch. Maybe a dusting if you're good. Haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well I'm not 100% confident lol...but just my hunch. Maybe a dusting if you're good. Haha. Oh I get it. Whatever comes, I’m good with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well I'm not 100% confident lol...but just my hunch. Maybe a dusting if you're good. Haha. A dusting of slush? Is that a slushting? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, metagraphica said: A dusting of slush? Is that a slushting? I think you just came up with a new word/term. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Old Post Road and the high peaks of Tolland, CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Epic LES this week. Last Nov big LES was in Nov 2014 just sayin... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/13/2022 at 9:25 PM, WinterWolf said: That doesn’t mean this one will if it’s cold on thanksgiving lol. of course not, just saying 2018 redux gives me ptsd. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Keep an eye out for sneak attack 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 59 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Keep an eye out for sneak attack When is this for? This Saturday night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 GEFS at 18z looked a tad bit hostile towards the end, except for a bit a ridging in Greenland. Hopefully just a blip and not a trend.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Keep an eye out for sneak attack 18z GFS shows it too. Pretty vigorous shortwave so widespread snow showers or even a steady period of light snow wouldn’t be shocking. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 33 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: GEFS at 18z looked a tad bit hostile towards the end, except for a bit a ridging in Greenland. Hopefully just a blip and not a trend.... Ahh dam, it’s over before it started . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 8 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ahh dam, it’s over before it started . I know right? Just thought it looked off, not trying to be "that guy".... Plenty of winter to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: I know right? Just thought it looked off, not trying to be "that guy".... Plenty of winter to go That better not happen. I just saw lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That better not happen. I just saw lol. I am no professional when looking at the long range ensembles, but that to my untrained eye did not look very good....reminded me a bit of that map you posted from 2011 a couple days back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: I am no professional when looking at the long range ensembles, but that to my untrained eye did not look very good....reminded me a bit of that map you posted from 2011 a couple days back. EPS luckily did Not look like that. But regardless we’ll probably relax to a point first 10 days maybe December? Give it take. If that blocking doesn’t happen, it will be mild. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 Just from an orbital perspective … it would be unlikely from this starting calendar time to sustain. Having said that … there’s been vacillating going on in that time range beyond Thanksgiving … which is fine and normal but … there are numerical telecons that favor colder looks. Modestly more confidence falls in that court. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowedin Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 12:50 AM, Torch Tiger said: hope you get 3" of ice I will embrace it fully when such a ridiculous anomaly finally happens, here on the moist coastal plain. As long as my damn leaves are raked in time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 Higher terrain in SNE may struggle to hit 40F for the next week after today. Full on winter in NNE...esp at elevation. Should be plenty of Tip's pond ice (albeit thin) by middle of next week. T-day and beyond still kind of a wildcard on model guidance. GEFS looks MUCH colder than EPS for Tday weekend. So we gotta see how that unfolds over the next few days on model guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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