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November 2022 OBS/DISC


Baroclinic Zone
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4 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

I do like what I see in the weeklies and ensembles. Getting there. No walk backs yet. LOL.

That's cool.  I like the idea of a warm period to do even more yard work, and then when winter comes, it comes.  Best case scenario in my view, especially given that we've had a decent amount of cool weather recently...several nights in the 20s.

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3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Nobody said anytime soon…they said in 20-25 days. That was the call by some, which is very reasonable and looks about right at the moment.  

There has been mention of the pattern change taking place during the 11/10-11/15 timeframe......that is unlikely to occur.

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39 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

There has been mention of the pattern change taking place during the 11/10-11/15 timeframe......that is unlikely to occur.

I never saw anybody say 11/10, maybe I missed it? But in the 11/15-11/25 time frame sounds reasonable to me at this juncture…thats 2-3 weeks away, which isn’t all that soon, and very reasonable. 

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7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Def not fake if the non-rad spots freeze. That’s usually pretty chilly during daytime too on those airmasses. 

Less likely to get fake warmth out of those days too.  Not stretching the atmospheric tails on both ends, usually just low diurnal changes.

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