Damage In Tolland Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 12 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: We flip hard then unflip ... There’s more SE ridging and relative warmth coming back Tgiving week into early Dec. This is unfortunately temporary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: It's wild that the picnic tables had their first snow of an inch or two back on October 8th... and then will go a month+ without seeing snow again this time of year, ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 Media not on the Tropical Storm yet. Signs increasing for a substantial hit with prolonged east winds into Florida from our stout high. Nice fetch development 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: It's wild that the picnic tables had their first snow of an inch or two back on October 8th... and then will go a month+ without seeing snow again this time of year, ha. Wouldn't you want it this way. Just flip and go winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 22 minutes ago, weathafella said: Salem can be a sneaky good snow spot. We can clean up on some of those cold Nor’easters with OES assist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 26 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Media not on the Tropical Storm yet. Signs increasing for a substantial hit with prolonged east winds into Florida from our stout high. Nice fetch development Should be nasty there with the king tide coinciding. I’m hoping for a nor’easter type deal here so I can get all the leaves down lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 13 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Should be nasty there with the king tide coinciding. I’m hoping for a nor’easter type deal here so I can get all the leaves down lol. Hopefully something happens..beginning to think I live in San Diego. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 46 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Wouldn't you want it this way. Just flip and go winter. Yeah wasn't complaining, just musing. We can't control it so just go with the flow and enjoy whatever comes. Been a great weekend to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 23 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Should be nasty there with the king tide coinciding. I’m hoping for a nor’easter type deal here so I can get all the leaves down lol. You know how I like full moon goons for big storms. Blood moon eclipse at like 5 in the morning as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Hopefully something happens..beginning to think I live in San Diego. We want it quiet then boom. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 11/16-11/18 period keeps showing up for a potential winter threat. Early season caveats apply of course…NNE or interior elevations most likely to see anything that early. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: We want it quiet then boom. Ya I hear ya…but it’s been so quiet for so long, it’s time to go boom. Let’s kick it into gear with a nor’easter/hybrid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 11/16-11/18 period keeps showing up for a potential winter threat. Early season caveats apply of course…NNE or interior elevations most likely to see anything that early. At least something is showing up…I’m appreciative of that alone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 GFS has 90 knots into Port St Lucie Jupiter area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 Just looked at the radar didn't even know it was going to rain today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Just looked at the radar didn't even know it was going to rain today It’s those November tropical downpours we are used to seeing here in New England lol… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: There’s more SE ridging and relative warmth coming back Tgiving week into early Dec. This is unfortunately temporary Our very best months of December for a lot of SNE have some se ridging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 1 hour ago, weathafella said: Salem can be a sneaky good snow spot. Nice N shore CJ spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 5 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Violence on the models. Snow too. Writing a risk assessment is giving fits this week .. jesus christ. I mean, there's measurable impacts, but also intangibles here, due to acclimation concerns. Civility, steeped in complacency from weeks of non-impact, warmer than normal abandon ... gets hit by hemispheric anchored winter Week-2. Ranging to the Energy markets - how to impress to them that meters are about to spin fast enough to drill holes through the homes they're attached to. But that's also the rub because ... this pattern that arrives on the heel of next weekend's ?near miss tropics? ( I mean if that were not enough?!), but sure bet frontal wind/squall whip, could either bring impact cold, or just seasonal cold. Which? Either way, the abruptness is a uniquely interesting aspect in itself. Typically, we don't go from 80F ( or 70 for that matter)...directly to cryo supportive air masses. This is attempting to do so... Usually, there is an interceding step in there. You know? Like, it goes from continental whack-job heat, to an intermediate half way for a couple days or even a week... then, a deeper polar front comes in... two days later, first snow. This is attempting to go from 77 to 42... 30s in the high country, immediately. In a pattern that is rife with clipper snow shots. I mean, lots of vectors of uncertainty going on in all that 'violence' as you say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 I think anyone inside of I 495, at least, should be rooting for some element of SE ridging this December....SWFE are how you get it done near the coast during normal seasons, nvm with these exotic positive SST anomalies this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 Congrats. All-Time November max temp back to 1882. Never been higher in 140 years. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 28 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 11/16-11/18 period keeps showing up for a potential winter threat. Early season caveats apply of course…NNE or interior elevations most likely to see anything that early. by the 20th... ( not a condescension wink - just in deference to last week) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 12z GFS is a buzz kill... man. I rather liked the subtle split flow evidenced by prior cycles...leaving some meandering disturbances in the S to zygote storms. This 12z run is attempting to transition from ...whatever this screwy thing is, directly into a compressed N-stream storm suppressor pattern. Heh. I dread this in January actually... if perhaps a warmer version of it. But for now, hoping that's just the GFS being the GFS at D6-11 ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 Lol Tip all pumped and the GFS crushed his hopes of some fun…back to reality I guess. No fun for you( or us)Tippy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol Tip all pumped and the GFS crushed his hopes of some fun…back to reality I guess. No fun for you( or us)Tippy. I don't even look until we fire the subscription up. Still long term mode for one more week, then vaca before I come back and flip to medium range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 44 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Our very best months of December for a lot of SNE have some se ridging. Not with the trough out west and -PNA like long range guidance is bringing back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bwt3650 Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: You on board yet.? Last week you were saying just not record highs change. We flip hard. It's looking like a great call when there was big pushback of the 15-25th being too early. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Not with the trough out west and -PNA like long range guidance is bringing back More to it than that....what is the NAO doing, how close by and pervasive is cold source, etc. Its not going to be record RNA like last December. Its like calling for another blizzard of 78 every time a snowstorm is modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 Just now, bwt3650 said: It's looking like a great call when there was big pushback of the 15-25th being too early. Yep. Weenie tip to Steve. Many times the pattern change is rushed but it appears to be working out. But I do caution that it may revert back later in November to a point. Obviously not like now lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 6, 2022 Share Posted November 6, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yep. Weenie tip to Steve. Many times the pattern change is rushed but it appears to be working out. But I do caution that it may revert back later in November to a point. Obviously not like now lol. I’ve been cautioning same thing . This is a short lived pattern change . Not some pattern that will allow for winter threats for weeks 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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