TalcottWx Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 16f/8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 5 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Heh. I see a month way above normal so far. Lol. Ha, right. Like +6 or +7 even with a week below normal. Just a huge sensible weather shift though. Like it’s 6F outside right now. Snowpack feeding back big time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 Big changes on the eps as we head into December. Looks like it tries to pop epo and pna ridge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 14° Terrible 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 7 minutes ago, binbisso said: Big changes on the eps as we head into December. Looks like it tries to pop epo and pna ridge. We’ll see if it holds going forward. There’s been a lot of volatility. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 14.5F. Refreshing Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 Here's the 5 day average. East based -nao and neg heights east of Hawaii could signal an active southern stream. If it holds that pattern can produce in early December. The best sign is no pig in Alaska Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 First teens of the winter . 19.3 and wind. Deep winter run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 18 to start here, first sub 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 Gfs still a fropa and euro is rain to Ottawa. Lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs still a fropa and euro is rain to Ottawa. Lol Ensemble approach . Ops tossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 1 hour ago, TalcottWx said: 16f/8 Sure is! And we have outdoor work today...gonna be brisk! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 Nice to see the change for better on EPS going into early December. Pretty nice look on the 00z run. Model volatility has been really high though, so hard to trust anything past D7-10 on the ensembles. It definitely looks like we relax back to warmer for at least several days in the 11/25-12/1 period. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 16F this morning. We are doing a Turkey trot this morning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 21, 2022 Author Share Posted November 21, 2022 22F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 13.6⁰, first morning the furnace had to kick on....wood stove couldn't keep the house warm enough overnight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 3.2 for a low here. Eek 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 21, 2022 Author Share Posted November 21, 2022 eff that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ensemble approach . Ops tossed That is the ensemble lol. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 Quite a difference in solutions on the models when you get the northern stream to phase with the s/w in the southern stream or it gets delayed when it doesn't phase but all these solution look warm outside of western elevations of the region if at all for any snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 21.9 None Of this fake stuff 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 Low of 4F. Hill is 0F with wind chills of -30F. Here come the heating bills. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 Even ACK 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 6.9° for the low. First single digits of the year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 Down to 15.3°F overnight, Stayed quite breezy so we didn't radiate like we could have. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: That is the ensemble lol. Isnt the standard we have noticed in recent years is the GFS in Ninas typically wins these battles due to the northern stream dominance usually playing into these differences at day 4-6. This one is maybe less so solely a result of that but would not shock me if GFS is correct, especially now that the ensembles agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Isnt the standard we have noticed in recent years is the GFS in Ninas typically wins these battles due to the northern stream dominance usually playing into these differences at day 4-6. This one is maybe less so solely a result of that but would not shock me if GFS is correct, especially now that the ensembles agree Would be better for ski areas because euro washes them away. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 So much for the big euro snow up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 On the road for the holiday... The 'Miami Rule' is in full effect this week. It's a standard measure/observation I've made over many years regarding the heights and the balanced geostrophic wind prior to the arrival of amplifying waves through ~ 100 .. 110 W over the mid latitudes. What happens is, the southern aspects of the trough exit region/jets enter into a negative feedback, because as the height falls approach ~ western TV ... against heights positive height anomalies - sometimes insidious in the latter sense, because the anomaly can be positive relative to the hemispheric footprint, which doesn't necessarily register as above normal in the scalar sense, in itself. These terminologies make all this sound more complex than it really is... but there's not a lot of other ways to describe this shit... lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2022 Share Posted November 21, 2022 Not surprised as this one is going the wrong way the last 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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