Typhoon Tip Posted November 14, 2022 Share Posted November 14, 2022 There's something there ... 23-28th... take your pick of which ensemble member, about 2/3rds of them carry the membership on something during those days.. But ( duh ) they vary quite a bit. There's limited next to N/S in figuring out what "that" will be, with range between cutters, to Del Marva bombs. I'm willing to side a bit more with Will on the NAO. Though whether it's orienting west or eastern limb, not withstanding... The co-lateral polar index mode (the conjunction of the AO and NAO) is in fact negative and continuing to slide - albeit -1 SD by then. But the trend line's established in that range now for few days of consistency. The AO counterpart is the intriguing aspect, as it has coincided with the MJO extended out look along their correlative handshake. The problem is...the MJO is not being very consistent - last nights Euro suite sort of stymied stem-wound it again in 7 and lost that unfurled look heading into the phase 8. It's like there's an epic battle between the AO and the subordinate WPO-EPO-NAO indexes versus the ENSO ...which they are in pretty much a direct competing phase state right now/thru these next couple of weeks. Not sure what to do about that...I feel if the ENSO wasn't interfering so negatively we be doing a 1995er. No ...neither of these index modes cause a storm... The idea here is is that one state detracts from potential, the other adds... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/14/2022 at 10:49 PM, ORH_wxman said: @Damage In Tolland 18z GFS shows how to get it more wintry for Tday. Nice sleet bomb on this depiction Expand Kielbasa look at that ...it ends as 4-7" after a light rain --> moderate icing --> heavy sleet. It's a full spectrum fantasy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/14/2022 at 11:30 PM, Typhoon Tip said: There's something there ... 23-28th... take your pick of which ensemble member, about 2/3rds of them carry the membership on something during those days.. But ( duh ) they vary quite a bit. There's limited next to N/S in figuring out what "that" will be, with range between cutters, to Del Marva bombs. I'm willing to side a bit more with Will on the NAO. Though whether it's orienting west or eastern limb, not withstanding... The co-lateral polar index mode (the conjunction of the AO and NAO) is in fact negative and continuing to slide - albeit -1 SD by then. But the trend line's established in that range now for few days of consistency. The AO counterpart is the intriguing aspect, as it has coincided with the MJO extended out look along their correlative handshake. The problem is...the MJO is not being very consistent - last nights Euro suite sort of stymied stem-wound it again in 7 and lost that unfurled look heading into the phase 8. It's like there's an epic battle between the AO and the subordinate WPO-EPO-NAO indexes versus the ENSO ...which they are in pretty much a direct competing phase state right now/thru these next couple of weeks. Not sure what to do about that...I feel if the ENSO wasn't interfering so negatively we be doing a 1995er. No ...neither of these index modes cause a storm... The idea here is is that one state detracts from potential, the other adds... Expand Perhaps side with Kev? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 12:06 AM, Typhoon Tip said: Kielbasa look at that ...it ends as 4-7" after a light rain --> moderate icing --> heavy sleet. It's a full spectrum fantasy. Expand Full spectrum Fantasy’s are the best…we take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 12:18 AM, WinterWolf said: Full spectrum Fantasy’s are the best…we take. Expand Fantasy’s and Keilbasa. A true Tip novel. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/14/2022 at 10:49 PM, ORH_wxman said: @Damage In Tolland 18z GFS shows how to get it more wintry for Tday. Nice sleet bomb on this depiction Expand Just like Thanksgiving 1985 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 12:23 AM, CoastalWx said: Fantasy’s and Keilbasa. A true Tip novel. Expand Lmao, Ya, where the F*#k did Kielbasa come from? Must be some twisted part of his cosmic Dildo ideas . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Hey…why not us? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 1:04 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: Hey…why not us? Expand I don’t want 41” at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 who pays attention to the weather on thanksgiving? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/14/2022 at 8:52 PM, ORH_wxman said: Lol, ninja'd....your pattern recognition in the last few years has improved exponentially. Expand Got busy and just seeing this. Makes sense and thanks to both you and Ray! I like that kind of pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Very little snow in Jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 1:08 AM, forkyfork said: who pays attention to the weather on thanksgiving? Expand It’s only the busiest travel weekend of the year….now that’s science. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 This was a special day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 1:08 AM, forkyfork said: who pays attention to the weather on thanksgiving? Expand We do snow removal, I always try to stay ahead of the game, this site believe or not is awesome. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 1:27 AM, WinterWolf said: It’s only the busiest travel weekend of the year….now that’s science. Expand enjoy your planes i'll be busy with beaujolais 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 1:36 AM, BrianW said: This was a special day... Expand Don’t remember that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Cold night incoming. Already down to 30.6°. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 2:17 AM, CoastalWx said: Don’t remember that one Expand Why is there no names on who did the write up? I assume an Upton Met? Someone spent a lot of time analyzing it and writing the report. Why not sign your name on it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 1:05 AM, mreaves said: I don’t want 41” at this time. Expand No, but that would be one hell of a base though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 2:19 AM, WxWatcher007 said: Cold night incoming. Already down to 30.6°. Expand Im at 32, grass is frosty, wood stove is cooking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 2:28 AM, DavisStraight said: Im at 32, grass is frosty, wood stove is cooking. Expand Yeah, with the current oil prices, there is going to be some diligent wood burning at my house. 27/19 with a living room temperature of 74. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 12:49 AM, WinterWolf said: Lmao, Ya, where the F*#k did Kielbasa come from? Must be some twisted part of his cosmic Dildo ideas . Expand Uh. Wiener … weenie? Didn’t think it was that difficult 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 31.2 here... Chilly already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmcginvt Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/11/2022 at 10:39 PM, powderfreak said: Ha that works. Definitely don’t remember that one. Probably from still being in BTV and not Stowe. There was a good looking 4-week period mid Feb to mid March. Expand I recall so much snow it was unreal! I dont recall the skiing. But thats at 850' and I loved it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/14/2022 at 1:42 PM, ORH_wxman said: You can see the AO/NAO trying to ramp up on the EPS. We lose the PNA ridging out west but at least we still have cross-polar flow via the -WPO. This pattern isn't super cold, but it's not warm either. Prob a lot of chances in that type of pattern if it holds into December. Expand Wow 1995 deja vu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowedin Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Yeah pardon my sensible weather bias right now but let’s try and keep some of that nasty, frozen slop away for at least another couple weeks or so. There’s still another round or two of dreaded leaf cleanup to take care of around these parts. Thankfully the biggest bunches are out of the way but those last dozen or so loads can be a real pain in the ol rump with frozen shizzle added into the equation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 5:36 AM, Snowedin said: Yeah pardon my sensible weather bias right now but let’s try and keep some of that nasty, frozen slop away for at least another couple weeks or so. There’s still another round or two of dreaded leaf cleanup to take care of around these parts. Thankfully the biggest bunches are out of the way but those last dozen or so loads can be a real pain in the ol rump with frozen shizzle added into the equation. Expand hope you get 3" of ice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 20.4F. Coldest of the season so far 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 10:11 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: 20.4F. Coldest of the season so far26F here. Hilltops no fun for coldSent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now