TWCCraig Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 34 already, should freeze easily tonight. Will be the first freeze of the season 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 A prolonged period of below normal temperatures has now set in. Highs will recover to no higher than the upper 40s and perhaps lower 50s through the week. A storm will likely bring a cold rain to the region tomorrow night into Wednesday. A few interior sections could briefly see some frozen precipitation. An accumulating snowfall is likely across parts of upstate New York and northern New England. Beyond mid-month, Atlantic blocking could develop. Early indications suggest that the blocking won't be strong (with the AO staying mainly above -1.000). Its duration remains uncertain. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.0°C for the week centered around November 9. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.67°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.93°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist into the winter. The SOI was +0.82 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.336 today. On November 12 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 0.559 (RMM). The November 11-adjusted amplitude was 0.713 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 67% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal November (1991-2020 normal). November will likely finish with a mean temperature near 49.6° (1.6° above normal). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 34. First official freeze will happen tonight locally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 18 minutes ago, Allsnow said: 34. First official freeze will happen tonight locally Been sitting at 33 for a while here. Haven't had a freeze yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Down to 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 31 at home, 39 at the nearest reliable station in the bronx 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 37 here in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzLuv Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 32 here currently. My cacti have officially come inside for the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 15, 2022 Author Share Posted November 15, 2022 32 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: 32 now Same. 32 now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Same. 32 now Jumped to 35.8 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 8 minutes ago, Rjay said: Jumped to 35.8 here Same. 32.2 to 36.1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 First 20s shortly, already down to 30F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 first freeze here down to 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 5 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Ensembles looking pretty decent for December. Notice -AO trending stronger everyday Could be a few mild days in there too. Agree with snowman that snowy pattern will have to wait until AO blocking materializes. It’s going to get mild the tail end of this month, then the question becomes what happens after this? I’ll believe -NAO/-AO blocking when it moves forward in time and doesn’t stay in the long range. We’ll see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 First 20's of the season here. Current temp is 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 First freeze here also. 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 I’m all in 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Very cold but no freeze here just yet! 37 degrees Saw a woodpecker pecking at the roof of my neighbor's house yesterday.... gorgeous creature! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 30 here currently. High temp yesterday was 44. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 34 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Bottomed out at 27 here overnight. Current temp 36 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 36 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Morning thoughts… Sunshine will give way to increasing clouds. A cold rain will overspread the region late in the day or during the evening. Some interior sections could see a brief period of snow or sleet at the onset of the precipitation. High temperatures will reach the upper 40s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 46° Newark: 48° Philadelphia: 48° Colder than normal temperatures will last through the week. A very cold weekend is likely. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 54.2°; 15-Year: 54.2° Newark: 30-Year: 55.1°; 15-Year: 55.3° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 56.1°; 15-Year: 56.1° 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 32 here. Low of 30. First freeze. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 Not quite the first teens of the season with a low of 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 29 was the low here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 23 minutes ago, Cfa said: 32 here. Low of 30. First freeze. 29 was my low 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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