Snowlover11 Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 was coming over the Tappan Zee Bridge 45-50 mins ago and had literally 4-5 flurries. thought i was seeing s**t. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 18, 2022 Author Share Posted November 18, 2022 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 First snow squall warning of the day in Central PA as the bands take shape and head for our area this evening. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 I have a fair amount of experience with LE chasing and also trying to avoid heavy stuff because I needed to get somewhere. I typically have been in and around the tug because I had a camp east of there. Basically you can be unlucky and lucky at the same time: lucky to be in the band you came to see, unlucky because there are times when you just cannot drive. I have an HD truck which is pretty much set up with snow in mind and it usually comes down to viz issues. Cant see, cant drive. The truck will move no problem (within reason) but not if I go into a ditch or something because of viz its game ova. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 29 minutes ago, bluewave said: First snow squall warning of the day in Central PA as the bands take shape and head for our area this evening. Radar looking good for our area later . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 44 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I am actually really excited for this. Even being in Monmouth county I think with it coming down as hard as it looks like it may, it should be at least our first wintry precip here this season. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 Give me that cold white powder. My precious. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 First flakes of season tonight? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 14 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: First flakes of season tonight? Yes I'm excited 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Yes I'm excited You’re going to have to wait on this one as there is nothing currently reaching the ground from the Harrisburg area and I 81 on east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 18, 2022 Author Share Posted November 18, 2022 1 hour ago, JetsPens87 said: I am actually really excited for this. Even being in Monmouth county I think with it coming down as hard as it looks like it may, it should be at least our first wintry precip here this season. Yep looking forward to maybe seeing something. And welcome back. I haven't seen you post the past few winters 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 Does anyone know some 5”/hr or higher snowfall rates we’ve had in the region? maybe March 2018 #4, February 2013, and January 2011? Are there any others? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 Does anyone know some 5”/hr or higher snowfall rates we’ve had in the region? maybe March 2018 #4, February 2013, and January 2011? Are there any others?In MMU, maybe January 2021; March 6, 2018; Maybe January 2016; December 30, 2000; February 8, 1994.I’m sure others around this wide region could say Boxing Day.. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said: Does anyone know some 5”/hr or higher snowfall rates we’ve had in the region? maybe March 2018 #4, February 2013, and January 2011? Are there any others? Try the former largest ever NYC snowstorm of December 26, 1947 which had a period of 4"-5" of huge flakes you could choke on if you breathed them in. That storm had minimal conditions and little wind......just about 26" of vertically falling snowflakes. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 13 minutes ago, North and West said: In MMU, maybe January 2021; March 6, 2018; Maybe January 2016; December 30, 2000; February 8, 1994. I’m sure others around this wide region could say Boxing Day. . Feb 2006? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 44 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Yep looking forward to maybe seeing something. And welcome back. I haven't seen you post the past few winters Thanks! It has been a couple years. Major life events have really taken precedence. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 51 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said: Does anyone know some 5”/hr or higher snowfall rates we’ve had in the region? maybe March 2018 #4, February 2013, and January 2011? Are there any others? it was one of the big winters of 13/14 or 14/15 but we had a storm here that dropped 6 inches in one hour at BDR in Feb. It was the year that March ended up cold and dry... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 Feb 2006?Probably, but I can’t remember. My 11 year old self would be amazed that I can think of so many otherwise.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 unscientific but I feel in the past when we have had our first flakes in November is meant good things to come 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Intensewind002 said: Does anyone know some 5”/hr or higher snowfall rates we’ve had in the region? maybe March 2018 #4, February 2013, and January 2011? Are there any others? A snow squall on 12/24/13 dropped roughly 5” in Central Suffolk in about 40 minutes, a rate of 6-7” per hour. Unfortunately this is somewhat unofficial since ISP only recorded 1.7”, I was northeast of there. I’d never seen snow accumulate that rapidly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, Allsnow said: unscientific but I feel in the past when we have had our first flakes in November is meant good things to come I dunno man. Snowman bout to pull up some ENSO tweets to put you down. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Nibor said: I dunno man. Snowman bout to pull up some ENSO tweets to put you down. #tragic 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 A major lake effect snowstorm is raging in western New York State. Through 4 pm, Buffalo has seen 13.9". However, just south of the city, excessive snow has fallen. Excessive snowfall has also fallen downwind of Lake Ontario. Snowfall amounts include: Blasdell 2 SW: 48.0" Elma 3 SW: 48.0" Fort Drum 1 SSE: 42.0" Hamburg 1 NE: 43.0" Orchard Park: 54.0" Back in the New York City-Philadelphia region, flurries and snow showers are possible tonight before midnight. Afterward, a cold weekend will follow with the season's coldest air pouring into the region by the end of the weekend. Generally colder than normal weather will continue through at least early next week before it turns briefly milder. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.0°C for the week centered around November 9. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.67°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.93°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist into the winter. The SOI was +11.90 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.313 today. On November 16 the MJO was in Phase 4 at an amplitude of 0.693 (RMM). The November 15-adjusted amplitude was 0.753 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 70% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal November (1991-2020 normal). November will likely finish with a mean temperature near 49.4° (1.4° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 There are snow squalls moving east on a line from about Hazleton to Scranton. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mannynyc Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 12 minutes ago, Tatamy said: There are snow squalls moving east on a line from about Hazleton to Scranton. They appear to be weakening but we could certainly see something in our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 8 minutes ago, mannynyc said: They appear to be weakening but we could certainly see something in our area Activity is moving very rapidly to the east. Snow squalls currently in the Stroudsburg area near the Water Gap. Squall also moving through the Reading area. From radar I would guess that you would get no more than 5-10 minutes of snow in a burst when these move through. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 She’s a comin’! Currently 35 here and has been dropping pretty steadily 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 First flurries of the season in Somerset 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 19, 2022 Share Posted November 19, 2022 First flakes of the season here in Metuchen. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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