winterwx21 Posted November 11, 2022 Share Posted November 11, 2022 16 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Looks like the rain will get more showery in nature moving forward. Lots of breaks in the radar south of the city Yep, but there's also some heavier downpours mixed in there too. Maybe we can get an inch of rain out of this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 11, 2022 Share Posted November 11, 2022 14 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yep, but there's also some heavier downpours mixed in there too. Maybe we can get an inch of rain out of this. Definitely can see that….up to .30 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted November 11, 2022 Share Posted November 11, 2022 Radar quite solid now with large mass of convective type storminess heading northeast towards NYC/LI. Rains today have been that distinct tropical type rains - small little droplets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted November 11, 2022 Share Posted November 11, 2022 1.15 inches of rain so far here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted November 11, 2022 Share Posted November 11, 2022 ~.55 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted November 11, 2022 Share Posted November 11, 2022 1.24 inches of rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 Rains associated with Nicole spread into the region today. Through 7 pm, rainfall totals include: Islip: 0.47" New York City: 0.81" Newark: 0.78" Philadelphia: 0.44" As expected based on the storm's track, more rain has fallen in eastern Ohio, western Pennsylvania, and western New York. Rainfall totals include: Buffalo: 1.36" (near the daily record of 1.40") Youngstown, OH: 2.18" (old record: 1.10", 1898) There will be additional periods of rain overnight as Nicole moves northward. A general 0.50"-1.50" rainfall with locally higher amounts is likely by tomorrow afternoon. Parts of the region could see strong thunderstorms, as well. In addition, as the system undergoes baroclinic deepening while heading toward upstate New York and northern New England, it could turn very windy late tonight into tomorrow. Parts of the region could see gusts of 50 mph. With the region's being in the storm's warm sector, the mercury could reach or exceed 70° tomorrow in parts of the area. Currently, Newark has 7 70° days this month. That ties the November record, which was set in 1975 and tied in 2020. JFK Airport has seen 5 70° days, which ties the November record set in 1975. Following the storm and cold frontal passage, much colder air will pour into the region tomorrow night. Minimum temperatures will dip into the 30s for the first time this season Sunday night or Monday morning at LaGuardia Airport (will be the 5th latest first occurrence) and Central Park (will tie 1946 as the 2nd latest first occurrence). Highs will recover to no higher than the upper 40s and perhaps lower 50s through the middle of next week. Beyond mid-month, Atlantic blocking could try to develop. Early indications suggest that the blocking won't be strong. Its duration, should it develop, remains uncertain. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.1°C for the week centered around November 2. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.71°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.90°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist into the winter. The SOI was +22.46 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.822 today. On November 9 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 0.961 (RMM). The November 8-adjusted amplitude was 1.239 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 76% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal November (1991-2020 normal). November will likely finish with a mean temperature near 50.1° (2.1° above normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 At 8 pm EST, #Newark reached 70 degrees. That’s the 8th 70-degree or above temperature this month. The old November record was 8 days. That record was set in 1975 and tied in 2020. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 At midnight, Newark had a temperature of 71 degrees. Newark has now seen its 9th 70-degree or warmer day in November. The old record of 7 days was set in 1975 and tied in 2020. 2022 is the only year that had more 70-degree days in November (9 days) than in October (7 days). Records go back to 1931. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 3 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: At midnight, Newark had a temperature of 71 degrees. Newark has now seen its 9th 70-degree or warmer day in November. The old record of 7 days was set in 1975 and tied in 2020. 2022 is the only year that had more 70-degree days in November (9 days) than in October (7 days). Records go back to 1931. I'll do you one better, they just tied their record high (at three in the morning)! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 2 hours ago, tmagan said: I'll do you one better, they just tied their record high (at three in the morning)! That was remarkable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 Newark tied the all-time highest November dewpoint of 68° Friday evening. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=155&network=NJ_ASOS&zstation=EWR&var=max_dwpf&threshold=100&hour=12&sdate=0101&edate=1231&month=nov&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 Currently 67F/61 DP/81% RH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 69 degrees at 7am on November 12th lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: 69 degrees at 7am on November 12th lol get this tropical crap out of here-- warm and dry is fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 23 minutes ago, bluewave said: Newark tied the all-time highest November dewpoint of 68° Friday evening. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=155&network=NJ_ASOS&zstation=EWR&var=max_dwpf&threshold=100&hour=12&sdate=0101&edate=1231&month=nov&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png yeah this is why I hate tropical weather, it makes me extremely sick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 Overnight, a surge of warmth east of Nicole's remnants sent the mercury soaring into the upper 60s and lower 70s. Numerous records were tied or broken: Bridgeport: 69° (old record: 67°, 2021) Islip: 68° (old record: 67°, 2014) New Haven: 73° (old record: 68°, 2021) New York City-JFK: 67° (old record: 66°, 2014 and 2021) New York City-LGA: 69° (tied record set in 2020 and tied in 2021) Newark: 74° (tied record set in 1938) Westhampton: 68° (old record: 66°, 2012) White Plains: 68° (old record: 65°, 2021) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: yeah this is why I hate tropical weather, it makes me extremely sick Today should be our last record warm 70s for a while as the record 5SD EPO block cools things down from mid to late November. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 Morning thoughts… The sun will return. It will be unseasonably warm. High temperatures will reach the upper 60s and lower 70s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 69° Newark: 72° Philadelphia: 70° Much colder air will press into the region tonight setting up an extended period with below normal temperatures. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 55.2°; 15-Year: 55.2° Newark: 30-Year: 56.2°; 15-Year: 56.4° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 57.2°; 15-Year: 57.1° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 29 minutes ago, bluewave said: Today should be our last record warm 70s for a while as the record 5SD EPO block cools things down from mid to late November. Dont mind the 70s as long as it is dry....just no more of these tropical systems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 14 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Morning thoughts… The sun will return. It will be unseasonably warm. High temperatures will reach the upper 60s and lower 70s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 69° Newark: 72° Philadelphia: 70° Much colder air will press into the region tonight setting up an extended period with below normal temperatures. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 55.2°; 15-Year: 55.2° Newark: 30-Year: 56.2°; 15-Year: 56.4° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 57.2°; 15-Year: 57.1° Don how close are NYC and JFK to most 70 degree highs in November? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 31 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Overnight, a surge of warmth east of Nicole's remnants sent the mercury soaring into the upper 60s and lower 70s. Numerous records were tied or broken: Bridgeport: 69° (old record: 67°, 2021) Islip: 68° (old record: 67°, 2014) New Haven: 73° (old record: 68°, 2021) New York City-JFK: 67° (old record: 66°, 2014 and 2021) New York City-LGA: 69° (tied record set in 2020 and tied in 2021) Newark: 74° (tied record set in 1938) Westhampton: 68° (old record: 66°, 2012) White Plains: 68° (old record: 65°, 2021) Wow Newark and New Haven! How does New Haven get warmer than all the NYC airports and NYC when they are to our north and east and on the Sound? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 last warm day for a while. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 46degs.(42/51) or -2. To get to Normal for the month need>>> -5.8 average starting today. To be the warmest Nov. ever>>> +2.1 Month to date is 61.0[+10.0]. Should be 54.7[+5.0] by the 20th. Still at a record pace if maintained for the full month. GFSens. is a bore. The OP goes into the 50's and 60's after the 22nd however. Realize that the 45 of Monday would need to be 40 on the 27th. to be as BN---but it isn't---ie. the average T drops 5 degrees across the range. Reached 64 here yesterday. Today: 67-70 early, wind w. to nw.-breezy, var. clouds, 51 tomorrow AM. {Low so far was 65* overnight} 67*(95%RH) at 6am. 68* at 9am. 67* at Noon. Reached 71* at 3pm. 65* 7pm-9pm. 64* at 10pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 12, 2022 Author Share Posted November 12, 2022 41 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Overnight, a surge of warmth east of Nicole's remnants sent the mercury soaring into the upper 60s and lower 70s. Numerous records were tied or broken: Bridgeport: 69° (old record: 67°, 2021) Islip: 68° (old record: 67°, 2014) New Haven: 73° (old record: 68°, 2021) New York City-JFK: 67° (old record: 66°, 2014 and 2021) New York City-LGA: 69° (tied record set in 2020 and tied in 2021) Newark: 74° (tied record set in 1938) Westhampton: 68° (old record: 66°, 2012) White Plains: 68° (old record: 65°, 2021) Are those today or yesterday? I saw JFK broke their record for today already Nevermind I see ewr was 74 at 3 am. Crazy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 19 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Dont mind the 70s as long as it is dry....just no more of these tropical systems The first 12 days of November are running +10 to +15 for high temperatures across the entire region.This is in par with December 2015 type extremes. But it won’t have the longevity for the entire month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 18 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Don how close are NYC and JFK to most 70 degree highs in November? I believe JFK is tied with its record. I will post them this evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: The first 12 days of November are running +10 to +15 across the entire region. This is in par with December 2015 type extremes. But it won’t have the longevity for the entire month. Looks like a big turnaround of the pattern....caused by Nicole? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 Just now, donsutherland1 said: I believe JFK is tied with its record. I will post them this evening. That record could be broken today then! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 12, 2022 Share Posted November 12, 2022 21 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Looks like a big turnaround of the pattern....caused by Nicole? Not really caused by Nicole. But Nicole is helping to pull the trough further east. The record EPO block is related to the EA and Pacific pattern. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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