donsutherland1 Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 Morning thoughts… Morning fog will burn off and today will be partly to mostly sunny and very warm. High temperatures will reach the upper 60s and lower 70s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 69° Newark: 72° Philadelphia: 74° Unseasonably warm weather will continue through the weekend. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 57.9°; 15-Year: 58.0° Newark: 30-Year: 59.1°; 15-Year: 59.4° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 60.1°; 15-Year: 60.1° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 Ahead of another very warm November day, parts of the New York City region saw thick fog develop during the morning hours. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 Absolutely one of the most boring runs of weather we have ever seen. Hopefully just a fluke and not a sign of a 01/02 style winter incoming . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 47 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Absolutely one of the most boring runs of weather we have ever seen. Hopefully just a fluke and not a sign of a 01/02 style winter incoming . I respectfully disagree---can we have today's weather every day until May? Then transition to summer? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: I respectfully disagree---can we have today's weather every day until May? Then transition to summer? You can have that, just need to move. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 4, 2022 Author Share Posted November 4, 2022 Gfs still showing a decent rainstorm the end of next week before the cooldown Edit And now it's gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 1 hour ago, 495weatherguy said: I respectfully disagree---can we have today's weather every day until May? Then transition to summer? This, I'll much rather be outside doing activities than looking out the window Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 At noon, temperatures in the NYC area range from 58 at LaGuardia Airport to 69 at Islip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 1 hour ago, nyrangers1022 said: This, I'll much rather be outside doing activities than looking out the window A beautiful stretch of weather coming up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 1 hour ago, FPizz said: You can have that, just need to move. Seriously if you just want boring warm/hot weather then move to FL or southern California. I don't want 70s/80s in November, I already see that 7-8 months out of the year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 6 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Seriously if you just want boring warm/hot weather then move to FL or southern California. I don't want 70s/80s in November, I already see that 7-8 months out of the year. It’s not a question of boring, nor is it easy to move. Simply a request for a mild winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 3 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: Ahead of another very warm November day, parts of the New York City region saw thick fog develop during the morning hours. Good afternoon Don. Great photos and would fit well as an intro to an H P Lovecraft tale. As always …. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 52 minutes ago, nyrangers1022 said: This, I'll much rather be outside doing activities than looking out the window Perhaps this is a novel idea but you can go outside even if it’s cold. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 1 minute ago, Nibor said: Perhaps this is a novel idea but you can go outside even if it’s cold. It's way more miserable though. Dressing in layers sucks, not a fan of it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 1 minute ago, nyrangers1022 said: It's way more miserable though. Dressing in layers sucks, not a fan of it Have you tried wearing one very large layer? 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 Perhaps this is a novel idea but you can go outside even if it’s cold.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 38 minutes ago, Nibor said: Have you tried wearing one very large layer? I don't need to be looking like a sailboat. Plus most of my outdoor activities are enjoyable when it's warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 33 minutes ago, nyrangers1022 said: I don't need to be looking like a sailboat. Plus most of my outdoor activities are enjoyable when it's warm C’mon, peak style and warmth. 52 minutes ago, North and West said: . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 Revenge of the AO???? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 Newark moves into 5th place for the most November 70° days with a high of 73° today. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of NovClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Max Temperature >= 70 Missing Count 1 2020 7 0 - 1975 7 0 2 1994 6 0 - 1990 6 0 - 1953 6 0 - 1931 6 0 3 2015 5 0 - 2001 5 0 - 1982 5 0 - 1938 5 0 4 2005 4 0 - 1979 4 0 - 1973 4 0 5 2011 3 0 - 1974 3 0 - 1964 3 0 - 1956 3 0 - 1950 3 0 - 1949 3 0 - 1948 3 0 - 1945 3 0 - 1935 3 0 2022 3 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 Beautiful weather! Even better when soon to be adjusting to daylight savings time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 4, 2022 Share Posted November 4, 2022 Thick fog cloaked the coastal landscape during the early morning hours. Afterward, the sun burned away the fog and sent the mercury soaring into the upper 60s and lower 70s. High temperatures included: Albany: 71° Allentown: 71° Atlantic City: 74° Baltimore: 72° Boston: 72° Bridgeport: 67° Concord: 73° Hartford: 73° Islip: 72° New York City-JFK: 68° New York City-LGA: 71° New York City-NYC: 70° Newark: 73° Philadelphia: 73° Portland: 69° Poughkeepsie: 72° Providence: 72° Rochester: 73° Syracuse: 74° Washington, DC: 75° The November 1-7 average temperatures for select locations through November 4th 5 pm, along with the November 1-7 records are: Bridgeport: 57.8° (Record: 58.1°, 1975) Islip: 58.4° (Record: 58.1°, 1977 and 2015) New York City-JFK: 59.8° (Record: 60.9°, 2015) New York City-LGA: 62.4° (Record: 62.9°, 2015) New York City-NYC: 61.5° (Record: 62.4°, 2015) Newark: 62.0° (Record: 61.3°, 2015) Philadelphia: 61.1° (Record: 62.5°,1974) Across western New York, northern New England, Ontario and Quebec, some record high temperatures were set. Records included: Buffalo: 74° (old record: 73°, 1938 and 2015) Caribou: 67° (old record: 66°, 1982) Montreal: 68° (old record: 65°, 1956) Ottawa: 69° (old record: 66°, 1938) Quebec City: 61° (old record: 56°, 2015) Saguenay, QC: 67° (old record: 58°, 1997) Toronto: 69° (old record: 68°, 1987) More warmth lies ahead. The warmth will peak during the weekend into Monday. Afterward, it could become cooler. However, no exceptionally cold weather appears likely in the East through at least the first 10-14 days of November. Since 1869, there have been just 7 prior years with a November 1-7 average temperature of 60.0° or above in New York City: 1938, 1961, 1974, 1975, 1994, 2003, and 2015. All of those cases saw a warmer to much warmer than normal November with a mean monthly temperature of 50.3° (lowest: 48.2°, 1974; highest: 52.8°, 2015). On a standardized basis, 6/7 (86%) cases were 0.5 sigma or more above the 30-year moving average (implied 49.4° average for the most recent 30-year period) and 4/7 (57%) were 1.0 sigma or more above the 30-year moving average (implied 51.0° average for the most recent 30-year moving average). There was no clear seasonal snowfall outcome following such a warm start to November. Four cases saw less than 20" of seasonal snowfall (1961-1962, 1974-1975, 1975-1976, and 1994-1995); three cases saw more than 30" of seasonal snowfall (1938-1939, 2003-2004, and 2015-2016). The lowest seasonal snowfall occurred in 1994-95 when 11.8" fell. The highest amount was 42.6" in 2003-2004. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -1.0°C for the week centered around October 26. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.58°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.85°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist into the winter. The SOI was -2.36 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.041 today. On November 2 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 1.715 (RMM). The November 1-adjusted amplitude was 1.769 (RMM). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 5, 2022 Share Posted November 5, 2022 Through this evening, the first week of November has a mean temperature of 61.5° in New York City's Central Park. The record of 62.4° was set during 2015. That record will likely be surpassed this year. At present, it appears that the first week of November will wind up with a mean temperature ranging from 62.4° to 64.1° (central estimate near 63.2°). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 5, 2022 Share Posted November 5, 2022 74 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted November 5, 2022 Share Posted November 5, 2022 Potential east coast storm in about a week. The problem is it is a week away, so much can change. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 5, 2022 Share Posted November 5, 2022 62 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 5, 2022 Share Posted November 5, 2022 Morning thoughts… Morning clouds will give way to partly sunny and very warm conditions. High temperatures will reach the lower and middle 70s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 73° Newark: 76° Philadelphia: 78° Unseasonably warm weather will continue through the weekend. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 57.6°; 15-Year: 57.6° Newark: 30-Year: 58.7°; 15-Year: 59.1° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 59.8°; 15-Year: 59.7° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted November 5, 2022 Share Posted November 5, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 60degs.(54/67) or +11. Maybe two BN days in the next 10: Reached 67 here yesterday. Today: 71-75, wind s. to se., variable clouds, 66 tomorrow AM!! 62*(96%RH) here at 7am. 66* at Noon. Reached 67* at 2pm. Back to 66* at 3pm. 64* at 6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 5, 2022 Share Posted November 5, 2022 Several potential record high-tying or breaking minimum temperatures were recorded this morning. Islip: 60° (Record: 56°, 1988) New York City-JFK: 60° (Record: 60°, 1961 and 1984) New York City-LGA: 63° (Record: 61°, 1961) New York City-NYC: 64° (Record: 63°, 1938) Newark: 61° (Record: 61°, 1938 and 1961) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted November 5, 2022 Share Posted November 5, 2022 Already 70 here, should pass yesterday’s 75. Dreamy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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