Malacka11 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 11 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: rainer we are back in the cad, brief warmup, rainer cycle again Givver a chance Edit: Or do you really science dictates that it's likely gonna be a rainer? As of now it seems to be an even spread on all the models in terms of position but obviously I know very very little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 i get the fantasy range caveat but looks like a rainer across the board friend, not sure what i'm missing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 8 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: i get the fantasy range caveat but looks like a rainer across the board friend, not sure what i'm missing I guess you're not missing anything, I'm just biased towards the fantasy range caveat. It only takes one or two blizzard runs for me to be hopeful . That's the issue with having little real forecasting knowledge outside of looking at models 24/7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 15, 2022 Share Posted November 15, 2022 29 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: rainer we are back in the cad, brief warmup, rainer cycle again i'm still trying to figure out when we have been cold and dry so far. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 15, 2022 Author Share Posted November 15, 2022 58 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: Givver a chance Edit: Or do you really science dictates that it's likely gonna be a rainer? As of now it seems to be an even spread on all the models in terms of position but obviously I know very very little. Alek's already set the narrative with the futility record call. Now it's all about justifying it at every turn, even though it's only November. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 zzzzzzzzz 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted November 16, 2022 Share Posted November 16, 2022 3 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: zzzzzzzzz Unfortunately also in my case this, starting Sat the wx turned to absolute s*** and what do I get out of this? Just two inches (of snow) as of right now when patterns like this in the snow belt should yield colossal amounts like 1-2 feet. Same story every year when we get a cold snap in Nov. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 Nice burst of SN/+SN just rolled through. Feels like mid-January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 yeah ready 2 squall, event of the season incoming confirmed, quality squall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 I got 4 inches of snow from yesterday’s and last night’s lake effect event. The big winners were about a half hour north of me where 13 inches fell. I also saw a report of 8 inches about 45 minutes south of me. Currently seeing flurries. The lake should help boost the squalls going through Chicagoland. Thinking I could get another inch tonight before all the lake snows stay north of the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 On 11/15/2022 at 4:00 PM, Malacka11 said: I guess you're not missing anything, I'm just biased towards the fantasy range caveat. It only takes one or two blizzard runs for me to be hopeful . That's the issue with having little real forecasting knowledge outside of looking at models 24/7. I don't think anyone has better insight at fantasy range. Sometimes models keep clowning right up into 12 hours before the event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 17, 2022 Author Share Posted November 17, 2022 Getting a bit gusty in these snow showers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted November 17, 2022 Share Posted November 17, 2022 A few passing snow showers today. Nice mood flakeage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 kinda surprised by more SHSN this evening. Much drier fluffly dendrites than the SNeet last evening. FIrst biting WC's in the teens makes it seem quality Dec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 nasty snow squalls today and now the melted snow has frozen on the roads and sidewalks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 Snow showers/squalls in the area much of the afternoon/evening today, but much of it missed ORD and home.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 woke up to covering of white on all surfaces. We have officially put the "the pavements still to warm " caveat to bed pre-Thanksgiving this year. The table is ready..... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 Extended is brutal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said: Extended is brutal A December to remember....again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 If this morning is any indication of how our tax dollars are being spent here in the 312, it’s going to be a long winter of slick slippery roads. It’s like they didn’t even try to work the roads, haven’t seen a single plow yet. what a city! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: Extended is brutal 300hrs with no accumulation is less than desired Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 2 hours ago, Baum said: A December to remember....again And I was going to run the mower out of gas and bring out the snowblower. Guess there's plenty of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 LES regions of the lakes getting hammered. Ironwood, MI area reporting 24" this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 18, 2022 Author Share Posted November 18, 2022 3 hours ago, SchaumburgStormer said: 300hrs with no accumulation is less than desired It's November 18. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 Flurries have been falling pretty much constantly the last 2 days, along with a few snow showers. Had a light dusting last night of 0.1" but due to the flow was missing the 1-3 inch accumulations that hit North of Detroit. Like I said in the Buffalo thread, I can't stand missing an inch of snow by a few miles. I'd be on suicide watch for missing a few feet lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 15 minutes ago, Hoosier said: It's November 18. If there's anything that puts the nail in the coffin on December, it's gotta be the ever so accurate day 13-16 on the op GFS. Sarcasm aside, the models really are struggling. Hoping the goods do come after a mild 1st week of the month as was alluded to by some recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 On 11/14/2022 at 11:02 AM, hardypalmguy said: torch is coming back for december. looking good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 18, 2022 Author Share Posted November 18, 2022 20 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: If there's anything that puts the nail in the coffin on December, it's gotta be the ever so accurate day 13-16 on the op GFS. Sarcasm aside, the models really are struggling. Hoping the goods do come after a mild 1st week of the month as was alluded to by some recently. If we get to ~December 10 with it being mild and no change on the horizon, then I'd be concerned about the remainder of the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted November 18, 2022 Share Posted November 18, 2022 38 minutes ago, Hoosier said: It's November 18. Can’t a man dream about wall to wall snow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted November 18, 2022 Author Share Posted November 18, 2022 1 minute ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Can’t a man dream about wall to wall snow? Sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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