IronTy Posted November 23, 2022 Share Posted November 23, 2022 Natural gas futures says something wicked this way comes. I'm making money all the way to the bank lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted November 23, 2022 Share Posted November 23, 2022 On 11/23/2022 at 5:58 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Legit concern. Seems in recent Nina's we are always at the mercy of the shred factory. Good post. Expand Just the recent ones? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted November 23, 2022 Share Posted November 23, 2022 On 11/23/2022 at 11:06 PM, IronTy said: Natural gas futures says something wicked this way comes. I'm making money all the way to the bank lol. What tickers are you following? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/23/2022 at 11:56 PM, WeatherShak said: What tickers are you following? Expand 3 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/24/2022 at 1:34 AM, H2O said: Expand I saw this one at a cidery in northern Virginia last Saturday ….we had a great conversation (granted I had hit 2 wineries and I was on my 5th hard cider), but mr. wooly worm said expect 2009-2010 again! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/23/2022 at 11:56 PM, WeatherShak said: What tickers are you following? Expand i got a hot tip on the orange crop report! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/24/2022 at 2:32 AM, mdhokie said: i got a hot tip on the orange crop report! Expand Clarence Beaks approves 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/23/2022 at 11:56 PM, WeatherShak said: What tickers are you following? Expand I work in the gas industry. We're very busy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 Looks like things are being pushed back or not looking as good as it was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/24/2022 at 3:50 PM, Ji said: Looks like things are being pushed back or not looking as good as it was Expand Ahhh, I was waiting for this. A sure sign we are in for a decent run. Happy Thanksgiving my Southern friends! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2022 Author Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/24/2022 at 3:50 PM, Ji said: Looks like things are being pushed back or not looking as good as it was Expand You know the drill with the LR guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 Looks like the thing that hasn't happened still hasn't happened even though the models say they will or won't happen. Happy Thanksgiving to all except one or two of you 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/24/2022 at 4:03 PM, CAPE said: You know the drill with the LR guidance. Expand I wouldn’t mind a can kick as long as we do get a supportive snow pattern eventually (which I do think will happen with that high latitude look plus MJO progression). Climo is so much better by Dec 15. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/24/2022 at 3:50 PM, Ji said: Looks like things are being pushed back or not looking as good as it was Expand 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/20/2022 at 4:04 PM, IUsedToHateCold said: A 2-4 week period of warmth in early December makes sense. I think we rock after that. Could see a repeat of what we saw this month with very warm temps followed by a crash, cold, and this time- snow. Expand Still think this. Totally fine with a crap pattern for the next few weeks. Then we reload. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 2 weeks is ok, would rather not be 4. That takes us to right before Xmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/24/2022 at 4:38 PM, WxUSAF said: I wouldn’t mind a can kick as long as we do get a supportive snow pattern eventually (which I do think will happen with that high latitude look plus MJO progression). Climo is so much better by Dec 15. Expand Bad news for the Debs, haters, and losers today. 12z GEFS back to winter D12+. 8 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/24/2022 at 6:23 PM, WxUSAF said: Bad news for the Debs, haters, and losers today. 12z GEFS back to winter D12+. Expand Glad to see the GEFS/GFS family of models throwing us some bones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 Looking good. This look makes me think there's some juice in the southern stream. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/24/2022 at 6:45 PM, Chris78 said: Looking good. Expand Hate that blob ridge near the Aluetians...."usually"......but with a ridge bridge from the EPO to NAO and a split flow coming onshore western n america, that can overcome the central PAC pig ridge. I like how said ridge (base state?) is feeding the EPO. We take. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/24/2022 at 6:45 PM, Chris78 said: Looking good. This look makes me think there's some juice in the southern stream. Expand Look at the precipitation charts. It’s not a cold/dry pattern. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 WB 12Z Ensembles: first period to watch is the Dec. 5-6 period. Happy and peaceful Thanksgiving to all! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted November 24, 2022 Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/24/2022 at 8:04 PM, Weather Will said: WB 12Z Ensembles: first period to watch is the Dec. 5-6 period. Happy and peaceful Thanksgiving to all! Expand @Bob Chill There's December 5th-6th, lolol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2022 Author Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/24/2022 at 6:48 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Hate that blob ridge near the Aluetians...."usually"......but with a ridge bridge from the EPO to NAO and a split flow coming onshore western n america, that can overcome the central PAC pig ridge. I like how said ridge (base state?) is feeding the EPO. We take. Expand It's a prominent feature of a Nina. Keeping it somewhat in check is a constant battle for our purposes. Ideally it would be more poleward over AK rather than broad and flat south of the Aleutians. What the models are depicting is a bit of both over the next 10 days or so, and the vortex near Okhotsk will continue to influence the character of that ridge. We need the -NAO to be legit and west based to counter the tendency for a trough out west and to keep the SE ridge flat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 24, 2022 Author Share Posted November 24, 2022 On 11/24/2022 at 8:09 PM, Maestrobjwa said: @Bob Chill There's December 5th-6th, lolol Expand Probably a little soon the way things look now. Maybe more towards the 10th. I agree with @WxUSAF that a bit of can kicking with peak RELOAD towards mid to late month wouldn't be a bad thing. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 25, 2022 Share Posted November 25, 2022 Not a bad look. Split flow. Plenty of NAO blocking. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted November 25, 2022 Share Posted November 25, 2022 Looks ok after the first 5 days or so in December. Hopefully the EPS comes around. Seems to want to hold the colder anomalies further west. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 25, 2022 Share Posted November 25, 2022 On 11/25/2022 at 2:42 PM, Chris78 said: Not a bad look. Split flow. Plenty of NAO blocking. Expand 2m temp anomaly looks ok. For mid Dec that could put us in an ok spot. Not sure how stable that NAO will be. Sometimes our biggest issue is never being in the game long enough to score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 25, 2022 Share Posted November 25, 2022 FYI re EPS On 11/25/2022 at 2:21 PM, ORH_wxman said: Also I think people get freaked out by the H5 maps on the EPS. They have a little more SE ridging than the GEFS but it’s still a cold pattern This H5 pattern Produces this temperature anomaly… Expand 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted November 25, 2022 Author Share Posted November 25, 2022 On 11/25/2022 at 3:10 PM, yoda said: FYI re EPS Expand Reposting stuff like this from the NE forum really doesn't add value to the discussion here tbh. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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