mattie g Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 5 hours ago, WxUSAF said: I’ve thought about tracking model snowfall as predicted at 24/48/72hrs through the season, but I’d do it manually and that’s a lot of work. Yeah...ton of work to do it manually. It would be a neat project though! 4 hours ago, MN Transplant said: You would have to apply some sort of weighting to it. Like, if a random GFS 18z run threw out 20” of snow at the 312 hour mark, but then took it away, you can’t seriously say that the GFS forecasted 20” of snow that never occurred. Exactly. You'd have to come up with a formula to weight the model output, then ideally connect to model output via API that would write to a table, then source from that table via some sort of code to get your own output. I think it would be a super cool thing to do, but like I said, I don't have nearly the technical chops to do it! Honestly, just coming up with the logic would be a big task! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted October 19, 2022 Author Share Posted October 19, 2022 25 minutes ago, mattie g said: Exactly. You'd have to come up with a formula to weight the model output, then ideally connect to model output via API that would write to a table, then source from that table via some sort of code to get your own output. You could just take every 0z run for a two day period then get another 0z and repeat so you don’t get far out fantasy storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 5 hours ago, MN Transplant said: You would have to apply some sort of weighting to it. Like, if a random GFS 18z run threw out 20” of snow at the 312 hour mark, but then took it away, you can’t seriously say that the GFS forecasted 20” of snow that never occurred. But Ji said... oh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 9 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Oh snap. I'm going up the the mountain the second week of November. Might have to pack some snowshoes. Change it to kuchera ratios and our tent will collapse under the weight of all that snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 1 hour ago, IronTy said: Oh snap. I'm going up the the mountain the second week of November. Might have to pack some snowshoes. Change it to kuchera ratios and our tent will collapse under the weight of all that snow. Going to DCL the first weekend in November. Fingers crossed we see some snow that weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 32 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Going to DCL the first weekend in November. Fingers crossed we see some snow that weekend. It's time to feast!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 1 hour ago, Chris78 said: Going to DCL the first weekend in November. Fingers crossed we see some snow that weekend. See you there! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted October 21, 2022 Share Posted October 21, 2022 1 hour ago, nj2va said: See you there! SoMD can have 55F and sunny all winter long,..honey badger don't care. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 21, 2022 Share Posted October 21, 2022 17 hours ago, midatlanticweather said: #jackpot IMBY 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 WB GEFS extended control. Day 18, first inland threat period??? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 5 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB GEFS extended control. Day 18, first inland threat period??? Only when it’s 384 hrs out, can we take it seriously 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 WB GEFS extended control. Day 18, first inland threat period???12z was kinda close, honestly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 Keeps showing up just location keeps jumping 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 Looking forward to multiple runs this year that maul South Carolina with 30" under 240 hours, only for the ultimate solution to be some wet snow in Garrett County. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 25 minutes ago, mattie g said: Looking forward to multiple runs this year that maul South Carolina with 30" under 240 hours, only for the ultimate solution to be some wet snow in Garrett County. Suppression and southern sliders will make my skin boil! LOL! I suspect we could see that DC snow hole! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted October 24, 2022 Author Share Posted October 24, 2022 1 hour ago, midatlanticweather said: Keeps showing up just location keeps jumping Gonna bullseye right over the DC metro corridor, source: trust me bro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 NSBTG. Figure it out lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 24, 2022 Share Posted October 24, 2022 10 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: NSBTG. Figure it out lol no snow before thanks giving which technically is one word but I'm here to help a brother out 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 25, 2022 Share Posted October 25, 2022 10 hours ago, leesburg 04 said: no snow before thanks giving which technically is one word but I'm here to help a brother out Thanks brother lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 Wraparound snows in early November. Always a lock. 2 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 6 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Wraparound snows in early November. Always a lock. I'm holding out for a Norlun trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: I'm holding out for a Norlun trough I'll take the 48-hour SWFE with precip falling into 20 degree air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 WB EURO Control November 30…. Lock it in!!! 3 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 29, 2022 Share Posted October 29, 2022 My CFS comment holds for control runs of any type. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 29, 2022 Share Posted October 29, 2022 14 hours ago, WxUSAF said: My CFS comment holds for control runs of any type. What’s the use of this thread if not to go full weenie? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 2, 2022 Share Posted November 2, 2022 Starts around 300 hours - might be the closest we’ve got so far? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted November 2, 2022 Share Posted November 2, 2022 Starts around 300 hours - might be the closest we’ve got so far?Different evolution… same timeline. First window watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted November 2, 2022 Author Share Posted November 2, 2022 17 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Different evolution… same timeline. First window watch Would be nice to delay that second setup a couple weeks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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