Lava Rock Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Over 5” near Yarmouth ME? doubt it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: doubt it Radar says yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Stations near or over 4” there so definitely localized higher amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Stations near or over 4” there so definitely localized higher amounts. no kidding. Line of sight, we're not far from yarmouth, that's why I questioned it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Lava Rock said: no kidding. Line of sight, we're not far from yarmouth, that's why I questioned it. Yeah it was a wicked gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah it was a wicked gradient. Few decent cells ripped thru around midnight with thunder, Frequent lightning and heavy rain rates, Up to 1.43". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 2.10" as of 7A, puts us at 4.98" since Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Was just a pure deluge here at Devens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 0.2" since yesterday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 0.13" system total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: 0.13" system total Didn’t Tblizz say he was heading that way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 No kidding… you know the euro has never liked a clean ridge to date, re that mid ext range And in fact the GFS isn’t altogether very clean either. They both it keep building these over/top high-pressure systems that drill cold llv flow into the foundation of the higher heights. It’s an aspect oft seen in spring handling … great! We get to butt bang April’s in the same year… The sun is feeble and getting feebler by day. This late in the sol season … a SE-NE equation of state flow injecting under ridging overhead … you don’t get two be warm from ridging over head. Fleetly different universe up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 2 hours ago, Whineminster said: Was just a pure deluge here at Devens Yeah, Greenfield had about an hour of moderate to heavy rain around 8 PM. Still plenty of epic foliage around though even though some trees are now bare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, dendrite said: 0.13" system total You should be happy if your area gets those totals this winter seeing you no longer care for snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 1.59" last night and today, 2.80" last week, Its quite wet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Rivers and creeks are running extremely high after 6"+ fell last Friday over the mountains and foothills up here along with whats falling today over some of the same areas. Flood Watch National Weather Service Gray ME 1057 AM EDT Tue Oct 18 2022 MEZ008-009-013-014-020-021-025-026-182300- /O.EXA.KGYX.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-221019T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Sagadahoc-Lincoln- Including the cities of Coburn Gore, Davis, Oquossoc, Rangeley, Avon, Kingfield, Phillips, New Portland, Brassua, Long Pond, Moosehead, Pittston Farm, Seboomook, Bingham, Jackman, Farmington, New Sharon, New Vineyard, Temple, Wilton, Chesterville, Jay, Athens, Cornville, Skowhegan, Palmyra, Pittsfield, Embden, Madison, Greene, Lewiston, Sabattus, Wales, Minot, Turner, Auburn, Livermore Falls, Augusta, Sidney, Windsor, Vassalboro, Waterville, China, Palermo, Arrowsic, Bath, Phippsburg, Bowdoinham, Topsham, Bowdoin, Whitefield, Dresden, Alna, Bremen, Bristol, Damariscotta, Newcastle, Boothbay Harbor, Wiscasset, and Waldoboro 1057 AM EDT Tue Oct 18 2022 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be possible. * WHERE...Portions of south central, southwest, west central, and western Maine, including the following areas, in south central Maine, Kennebec, Lincoln, Sagadahoc and Southern Somerset. In southwest Maine, Androscoggin. In west central Maine, Central Somerset. In western Maine, Northern Franklin and Southern Franklin. * WHEN...Through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Storm drains and ditches may become clogged with debris and fallen leaves. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Saturated soils from recent rainfall and additional locally heavy rain forecast through tonight. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. && $$ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 4 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Radar says yes Tallest cocorahs report is 2.87" at Pownal, about 15 miles north of PWM. There's pretty good density of recorders in that part of the state, though a small but intense cell from last night's TS show might've snuck between all the stations. Had 1.23" thru 7 AM, with 45 minutes of dog-scaring thunder (none particularly close), from 1:45 to 2:30 AM. At least another 1/2" since with RA- and mid 50s currently. This storm plus 3.37" from last week's has October above 5", though there's still a few more tenths to hit the 5.63" average. Wettest month since July of last year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: No kidding… you know the euro has never liked a clean ridge to date, re that mid ext range And in fact the GFS isn’t altogether very clean either. They both it keep building these over/top high-pressure systems that drill cold llv flow into the foundation of the higher heights. It’s an aspect oft seen in spring handling … great! We get to butt bang April’s in the same year… The sun is feeble and getting feebler by day. This late in the sol season … a SE-NE equation of state flow injecting under ridging overhead … you don’t get two be warm from ridging over head. Fleetly different universe up there Euro/GFS trying to create a closed low beneath the building ridge. Wonder if that signal gets stronger as we get closer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, tamarack said: Tallest cocorahs report is 2.87" at Pownal, about 15 miles north of PWM. There's pretty good density of recorders in that part of the state, though a small but intense cell from last night's TS show might've snuck between all the stations. Had 1.23" thru 7 AM, with 45 minutes of dog-scaring thunder (none particularly close), from 1:45 to 2:30 AM. At least another 1/2" since with RA- and mid 50s currently. This storm plus 3.37" from last week's has October above 5", though there's still a few more tenths to hit the 5.63" average. Wettest month since July of last year. I was going by the stations on weatherunderground, but I'm sure some big totals existed in a narrow area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 12z GFS has the raging nor’easter off a single closed isohypses up to eastern seaboard now too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 18, 2022 Author Share Posted October 18, 2022 34 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 12z GFS has the raging nor’easter off a single closed isohypses up to eastern seaboard now too Can't help but wonder how this abundance of baroclinicity due to the jet fuel SSTs around the hemisphere is going to play out this cold season. Should be fun if we can introduce some arctic airmasses into the fray. Maybe celebrate the 30th anniversary in style. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 32 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 12z GFS has the raging nor’easter off a single closed isohypses up to eastern seaboard now too Hmmm interesting…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Can't help but wonder how this abundance of baroclinicity due to the jet fuel SSTs around the hemisphere is going to play out this cold season. Should be fun if we can introduce some arctic airmasses into the fray. Maybe celebrate the 30th anniversary in style. A colder version please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 18, 2022 Author Share Posted October 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: A colder version please. Just edge it east 100mi and we'd be nude for days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just edge it east 100mi and we'd be nude for days. I've been less upset at breaks up with long term relationships compared to that storm. What a rip your heart out event that was for me. All the hype from media, NWS, my parents telling me this would be a storm they had growing up etc. And watching 6" of paste melt while 6 miles NW had 18" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Almost Halloween....time to give Scooter nightmares. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 42 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Can't help but wonder how this abundance of baroclinicity due to the jet fuel SSTs around the hemisphere is going to play out this cold season. Should be fun if we can introduce some arctic airmasses into the fray. Maybe celebrate the 30th anniversary in style. Yeah. Could be fun. Of course… let’s get the pattern right. I mean if it turns out to be some kind of compressed shit show flow so fast nothing can really mix or anything it doesn’t really matter. We’ll end up with that dry mild winter everyone has self soothing horse blinders for. Recall, we did talk about this in the tropical thread though but how the low ACE might make things interesting in that regard - hypothetically speaking 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 I actually have to extend that 20" contour further northeast to near Ray's current location (Groveland coop had over 20" from that event). I noticed it a few years ago but never updated it. Also have to extend it SE past my current area. The really tight gradient is near Walpole/Franklin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 18, 2022 Author Share Posted October 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah. Could be fun. Of course… let’s get the pattern right. I mean if it turns out to be some kind of compressed shit show flow so fast nothing can really mix or anything it doesn’t really matter. We’ll end up with that dry mild winter everyone has self soothing horse blinders blinders for. Recall, we did talk about this in the tropical thread though but how the low ACE might make things interesting in that regard - hypothetically speaking Yea, baroclinicity only helps if the upper levels allow the system to avail of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Almost Halloween....time to give Scooter nightmares. We’ve obviously beaten this horse 1000 times over the years but I still can’t get over that snow shadow in the Connecticut River Valley… I mean can you imagine if that storm hit with like 1.5°C colder through the column? I mean even if that thermally requires a slightly lower PWAT we’d still be talking about astronomical stack heights. We wouldn’t have had those big gaps like that in lower elevations either. some of course. Yup as awesome as that storm was -one of the greats of all time ……it left something on the table. They all do. Although actually… I’ve always thought that December 23, 1997 as having the highest efficiency I’ve ever seen. Which is interesting because I don’t even know if that registers in a lot of people’s personal annals. Went from a 3 inches of wet snow ending as light drizzle in the interior forecast to 23.5 inches of powder… Doing so in pretty much less than six hours… Skirted by a large area that easily got an excess of a foot with pretty much the same forecast in place…? Certainly that is a strong argument for maximizing efficiency and really for all intents and purposes NOT leaving anything on the table 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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