bristolri_wx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: IBM hi res is dry 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Euro also ticked north by a good margin. GFS and Euro have been ticking north every cycle for last day or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: IBM hi res is dry It's wetter now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Actually 6z drier...but I think we rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 I’m thinking anything north of 95 is mainly light and spotty . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Could be a decent Rainer here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Gfs is suddenly pretty wet here. Most models .50+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 EPS soaks to the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: EPS soaks to the pike. Yeah… we gunna be wet I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah… we gunna be wet I think Winter pattern getting established. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 One more tick and it’s a sne soaker up to NNE border. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Kevin appears easily confused…. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Kevin appears easily confused…. Weather, sexuality...very confused. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: Kevin appears easily confused…. We’ve been over this numerous times.. when someone clicks a confuse on a post.. it means the poster who made the post is very confused. 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 First frost today, although I should post in Sept I spose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 12z NAM is a soaking tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 NAM floods 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 HRRR and IBM dry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 NAM is 2-3” south of Boston… 1”+ all of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Wonder if those confused faces will transfer to real life when it’s pouring tomorrow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 I'd like to see GFS and Euro nudge north one more time before believing NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Pardon that interruption but is this rain all from the Ian remnants? I only ask because a few days ago it didn’t look like it would get within a thousand miles of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 22 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Years ago on eastern (maybe 2007?), I made a list of required features to get advisory snows or greater in Boston in November (this would apply to October too), and one of the features always present was a high in Ontario or western Quebec.....you have to have the ageostrophic component more northwesterly (and actual sfc winds north or NNW)....if that wasn't present, then BOS got skunked every time and you'd see the accumulating snows limited to like 128 belt or 495 belt and N&W. Lack of that high placement doomed BOS in the 11/6-7/12 event and the Octobomb 2011 and even the 11/15/18 event....each time the high was more toward CAR/eastern Quebec/western Nova Scotia which was enough to screw the immediate coast....but even like 5-10 miles inland was fine. … Agreed. Ex, it’s one of the reasons why that 2003 December event was so prolific right down to the Bourne bridge almost. If one goes back and looks at the synoptics in the NCEP/library and check out the sfc pattern, that +PP could not have been more ideally placed. … Huge diabetic inclusion from the south running over normal to that low ageostrophic feed, with easterly components at 850 mbar… = smoked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Try to process this and keep it in mind also heading into the winter that the Nam has a northwest bias in the west and north west Atlantic cyclone routes and always has, for beyond the short term Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Nrn edge of precip right around here to Tolland still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Just now, CoastalWx said: Nrn edge of precip right around here to Tolland still. Nam guys just pumping and thrusting hips into it .. will get burned with gonorrhea just like winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 That’s quite impressive two day trend in both the EPS and GEFs … re the pacific relay into North America/circulation construct. And hopefully for cold weather enthusiast that happens next month and we get another snow in October … no doubt followed inevitably by a highly compressed fast sheared warmer than normal winter with maybe one snow storm to hang our hats on…(sardonic). In the meantime … if the CPC Tele connector does not come around to a stronger positive PNA analysis/computation by now then there’s something wrong with that system because there’s no way those mass fields in the ensemble means of either reflect a mere neutral PNA from D6 to 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Cmc bumped the heaviest stuff north. Also, icon with a big bump. We’ll see how it plays out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Stop pumping the bumps . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 29 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nam guys just pumping and thrusting hips into it .. will get burned with gonorrhea just like winter. You are one odd dude. Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Stop pumping the bumps . Bring the rain jacket for outdoor activities tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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