moneypitmike Posted October 22, 2022 Share Posted October 22, 2022 27 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Few winter storm warnings for the Berkshires this winter? PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA 1017 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2022 ...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE-BOSTON WILL TEST NEW EXPERIMENTAL WINTER STORM WARNING SNOWFALL CRITERIA FOR THIS SEASON... THIS WINTER, THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN BOSTON/NORTON WILL SLIGHTLY MODIFY ITS WINTER STORM WARNING SNOWFALL CRITERIA. THIS CHANGE WILL AFFECT THE SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES AND WILL ALIGN SNOWFALL CRITERIA FOR WINTER STORM WARNINGS MORE CLOSELY WITH CLIMATOLOGICALLY-BASED IMPACTS. THERE WILL BE NO CHANGES TO WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA. PREVIOUSLY, WARNING DECISIONS WERE BASED ON CONSIDERATION OF 6 INCHES OCCURRING IN 12 HOURS AND THE EXPECTED IMPACTS. THE NEW CLIMATOLOGICALLY-BASED THRESHOLD IS CHANGING TO 7 INCHES FOR THE EAST SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES, BUT WE WILL STILL TAKE INTO ACCOUNT EXPECTED IMPACTS WHEN MAKING A WARNING DECISION. THE ONLY ZONES IMPACTED ARE... WESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY (UGC ZONE MAZ002)... 7 INCHES. WESTERN HAMPSHIRE COUNTY (UGC ZONE MAZ008)... 7 INCHES WESTERN HAMPDEN COUNTY (UCG ZONE MAZ009)... 7 INCHES Pete will survive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 22, 2022 Share Posted October 22, 2022 16 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Maybe more?? I'm excited to go 8 for the mountains up here. And we ditch the silly 12 or 24 hour criteria distinction. The idea was to come up with criteria that more or less averaged out to about 4 or 5 warnings per year in each zone. You mean like how J.Q. Cop has to get his quota of 5 tickets per month ha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 22, 2022 Share Posted October 22, 2022 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: You mean like how J.Q. Cop has to get his quota of 5 tickets per month ha. It would be fun if at the end of the month we had to fire off 3 warnings in a row just to make quota. But as we well know, it's the cry wolf syndrome. Let's make our warnings more meaningful (but in realty for the vast majority of the board nothing changes). 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted October 22, 2022 Share Posted October 22, 2022 19 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: 32 low 72 high 40! ... highest diurnal spread in years. CEF was 29 to 69. Not sure if they touched 70 between hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted October 22, 2022 Share Posted October 22, 2022 2 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: The warmth and sun are bringing large numbers of Asian lady beetles to the front of my house. We had thousands of them when we first bought our house in the late 1990s. They haven’t been as bad since but they are showing up today I hate them I golfed in Leicester this past week and there were a ton of lady bugs around, I kept brushing them off my clubs and golf bag. They'll be in my house soon, not sure how they get in but they do. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 22, 2022 Share Posted October 22, 2022 1 minute ago, DavisStraight said: I golfed in Leicester this past week and there were a ton of lady bugs around, I kept brushing them off my clubs and golf bag. They'll be in my house soon, not sure how they get in but they do. They do bite and they will secrete some gross liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 22, 2022 Share Posted October 22, 2022 30F to 72F at MVL… but I’m down in ALB where it’s only 70F, ha. A tick warmer up in Stowe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 22, 2022 Share Posted October 22, 2022 11 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: None at all other than the lawns. Leaves will be done by Nov15 here. There you’ll be cleaning up well into Dec . Yikes ! The science suggests you should leave some leaves on the lawn to enhance spring’s growth via composting. It shouldn’t bother you since the lawn will be under deep snow all winter right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 22, 2022 Share Posted October 22, 2022 12 minutes ago, weathafella said: The science suggests you should leave some leaves on the lawn to enhance spring’s growth via composting. It shouldn’t bother you since the lawn will be under deep snow all winter right? Not if we have the winter I’m expecting . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 22, 2022 Share Posted October 22, 2022 2 hours ago, OceanStWx said: Maybe more?? I'm excited to go 8 for the mountains up here. And we ditch the silly 12 or 24 hour criteria distinction. The idea was to come up with criteria that more or less averaged out to about 4 or 5 warnings per year in each zone. I love the getting rid of the time criteria. Makes it much more cleaner. BTV already said they were switching it up. My question for you… with no time criteria though do you issue Warnings now for the backside upslope zones all the time? I mean you get a 3-6” synoptic system and then wrap around puts down another 3-6” giving 6-12” over like 30 hours? With no time criteria, it’ll be interesting how it’s handled. The mountains here or J.Spin can get to 7”+ “storm total” at 2-3 inches every 10 hours from snow showers. Or is that where impacts come in? Despite a 3 day total of 12” there were never any real bad impacts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted October 22, 2022 Share Posted October 22, 2022 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: I love the getting rid of the time criteria. Makes it much more cleaner. BTV already said they were switching it up. My question for you… with no time criteria though do you issue Warnings now for the backside upslope zones all the time? I mean you get a 3-6” synoptic system and then wrap around puts down another 3-6” giving 6-12” over like 30 hours? With no time criteria, it’ll be interesting how it’s handled. The mountains here or J.Spin can get to 7”+ “storm total” at 2-3 inches every 10 hours from snow showers. Or is that where impacts come in? Despite a 3 day total of 12” there were never any real bad impacts. Essentially there is an agreement locally that we should at least have a period where 6 inches falls in 12 hours, to really hit the impacts aspect (it always boils down to rates). Because the technical directive would be "events" can be up to 48 hours, which would lump in a ton of upslope events that aren't always warning level impacts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Not if we have the winter I’m expecting . Are you envisioning warm and stein? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Are you envisioning warm and stein? Most of Jan and Feb I think are mainly mild and dry relative to normal. If there’s going to be winter , I think it’s from late Nov till early Jan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Most of Jan and Feb I think are mainly mild and dry relative to normal. If there’s going to be winter , I think it’s from late Nov till early Jan I’m not a fan of another the nina but I don’t have much of a lean this season. Give me a long awaited big dawg and I couldn’t care less what else transpires. It’s not how you like it but I’ve become uncomfortably numb missing 18+ events since 2011…it’s time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 23, 2022 Author Share Posted October 23, 2022 32.9/66 today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 Nice picture of TBOS driving through the old airbase today. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 36 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 32.9/66 today Same here. 33/66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 8 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: The warmth and sun are bringing large numbers of Asian lady beetles to the front of my house. We had thousands of them when we first bought our house in the late 1990s. They haven’t been as bad since but they are showing up today I hate them Same up here. We keep getting swarms hatching and then getting in the house. I suck them up in a hand vacuum and then go across the street and empty them out. Thwy are soooo annoying!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 25 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Same up here. We keep getting swarms hatching and then getting in the house. I suck them up in a hand vacuum and then go across the street and empty them out. Thwy are soooo annoying!!! When you empty them, are they still alive? Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 33 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Same up here. We keep getting swarms hatching and then getting in the house. I suck them up in a hand vacuum and then go across the street and empty them out. Thwy are soooo annoying!!! Add me to the list. About a dozen seem to find their way indoors every mild sunny afternoon. I remember as a kid it was this time of year, my father had already removed the screens for winter storage. It was unseasonably warm/hot so I opened windows in my bedroom. I came back hours later to every walk and the ceiling just covered in ladybugs. Like hundreds of them. I remember my dad bringing up the ShopVac and being like “knock yourself out, have fun” and I spent the next hour sucking them off the walls. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 5 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Not if we have the winter I’m expecting . Do like I've seen them do in LA. Put a faux snow cover made of some cottony material on the lawn. You go into neighborhoods during the holidays and they used to be all over the place. They kind of lost their luster after a few rainy xmas eve's made them all shrivel up and look ridiculous...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 4 hours ago, WinterWolf said: When you empty them, are they still alive? Lol. Most are 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 10 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’m not a fan of another the nina but I don’t have much of a lean this season. Give me a long awaited big dawg and I couldn’t care less what else transpires. It’s not how you like it but I’ve become uncomfortably numb missing 18+ events since 2011…it’s time. People often say this......but we know it's not true. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 Plenty of boring in the forecast. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 12 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’m not a fan of another the nina but I don’t have much of a lean this season. Give me a long awaited big dawg and I couldn’t care less what else transpires. It’s not how you like it but I’ve become uncomfortably numb missing 18+ events since 2011…it’s time. I was totally satiated last winter after 14 hrs of pure whiteout and feet of snow. Really didn't care after that. Number 2 on my all timer list and that's saying a lot for my 65 plus years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 Drove by a couple of reservoirs yesterday. Still very low. I was shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: I was totally satiated last winter after 14 hrs of pure whiteout and feet of snow. Really didn't care after that. Number 2 on my all timer list and that's saying a lot for my 65 plus years. You’ve had a lot of biggies too. That’s all I want these-days. Sure any event is enjoyable and the kids love it regardless of how much falls…but this big kid wants the upper echelon conditions and totals for the memory bank. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 28 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Drove by a couple of reservoirs yesterday. Still very low. I was shocked. Down 9 to 12 inches of rain last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Drove by a couple of reservoirs yesterday. Still very low. I was shocked. Yeah, short term is fine but we still need more rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 23, 2022 Share Posted October 23, 2022 It's way out there ... 288 hours and such, but without even looking at the rest of the GFS's panel of products, this can't be happening without an EPO dive. It spikes downward, and the flow follows suits. 516 dm hydrostates to Montana is redic for November 4 even for their standards.. It's just some to eye candy - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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