SnowenOutThere Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 BWI: 10/27 IAD: 10/27 DCA:10/28 RIC: 10/28 Peak October Temp at DCA: 79 F What can go wrong using the good ole CFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 BWI: 10/25 IAD: 10/22 DCA: 10/31 RIC: 11/02 Peak Oct temp at DCA: 78F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 BWI - 11/12 IAD - 11/4 DCA - 11/12 RIC - 11/15 Peak October temp at DCA - 79 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted October 7, 2022 Share Posted October 7, 2022 BWI: 10/30 IAD: 10/21 DCA: 11/1 RIC: 11/2 Max temp at DCA 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 11, 2022 Author Share Posted October 11, 2022 Spreadsheet with all entries. Next Tuesday-Thursday continues to look like a legit chance for IAD and BWI at least. Monthly high of 81F so far at DCA. 2022 First Freeze Contest.xlsx 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 12, 2022 Share Posted October 12, 2022 14 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Spreadsheet with all entries. Next Tuesday-Thursday continues to look like a legit chance for IAD and BWI at least. Monthly high of 81F so far at DCA. 2022 First Freeze Contest.xlsx 18.9 kB · 12 downloads Damn...I honestly thought I had entered 10/19 for BWI and IAD. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted October 12, 2022 Share Posted October 12, 2022 Current GFS also puts RIC in the possibility category for the next week (it has an even lower temperature than BWI for Wed morning) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 12, 2022 Share Posted October 12, 2022 53 minutes ago, IUsedToHateCold said: Current GFS also puts RIC in the possibility category for the next week (it has an even lower temperature than BWI for Wed morning) Pretty sure that, in years past, I've often gone with RIC hitting freezing at around the same time as, or earlier than, BWI. Didn't this time, so I hope they miss! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 2am on 19th for IAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 14, 2022 Author Share Posted October 14, 2022 Think it’s possible IAD freezes Tuesday, RIC Wednesday, and then BWI Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 24 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Think it’s possible IAD freezes Tuesday, RIC Wednesday, and then BWI Thursday. you mean the week of halloween right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 3 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Think it’s possible IAD freezes Tuesday, RIC Wednesday, and then BWI Thursday. I don t think IAD can do it Tuesday morning or night so most likely early Wed morning BWI and RIC should be really close between 31-33 and DCA 35/36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 17, 2022 Author Share Posted October 17, 2022 Chances the next 3 days look lower than it did before. I still think IAD has a good chance, but BWI and RIC may come up short. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted October 17, 2022 Share Posted October 17, 2022 Freeze warnings out to down Alabama with this airmass. I’m biased, but this is going to overperform Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 18, 2022 Author Share Posted October 18, 2022 Not very close today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Not very close today IAD disagrees. 33F so far there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Freeze warning for Richmond tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 On 10/14/2022 at 12:27 AM, WEATHER53 said: 2am on 19th for IAD 2am might be an early call unless it’s clear by 10pm kinda misdiagnosis in text of NWS until today as this isn’t Canadian high pressure forcing down the cold but rather intense low spinning in northern Great Lakes funneling down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 LWX stingy on the freeze warnings as usual. No way IAD doesn’t freeze. Probably BWI and RIC too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 19, 2022 Author Share Posted October 19, 2022 Looks like we’re going 0-fer tonight. IAD down as low as 33, so maybe still reaches on an intrahour temp before morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 14 hours ago, IUsedToHateCold said: LWX stingy on the freeze warnings as usual. No way IAD doesn’t freeze. Probably BWI and RIC too. I’m wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 Anyone have the roundup on lows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 1 hour ago, midatlanticweather said: Anyone have the roundup on lows? Looks like 33 for IAD, 34 for BWI, and 38 for both DCA and RIC. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 3 hours ago, midatlanticweather said: Anyone have the roundup on lows? BWI 33 and Andrews 32 but none of contest made it. Maybe tonight but the southerly component didn’t help last night and unless calm Thur morning for 2/3 hours it will hurt again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 I think IAD makes it tonight If DCA hits the NWS predicted low of 33 I will eat the fallen leaves and all other stations would be 29/30. I think DCA will bottom at 37. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 3 hours ago, WEATHER53 said: I think IAD makes it tonight If DCA hits the NWS predicted low of 33 I will eat the fallen leaves and all other stations would be 29/30. I think DCA will bottom at 37. Agree. IAD does great on good radiational cooling nights, while my location (elevation) and DCA do not (river, urban). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 Things can change and they will have to because right now temp and Dp about 3F above last night same time i really though IAD was a lock during this stretch Any southerly component throws a wrench into DC area.we need wnw or more northerly. Dews were 28-30 this time last night and that’s doesn’t allow much evap chilling if this had been Canadian high moving in we would have had those 24/25 dews and IAD would have made it easy and maybe others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 20, 2022 Author Share Posted October 20, 2022 My chances of winning the contest just imploded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 Did all the stations come up short? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: Did all the stations come up short? Yup 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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