LibertyBell Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: This has been the best foliage in years and a combo of mild weather & lack of major windstorms should keep it going for some time. There's some kind of ground growth that's fiery red already. I wonder what it is. It looks like some kind of ground growing vine that's also made it up onto fences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 2 hours ago, winterwx21 said: What a stretch next week after the showers for Halloween. Looks like a bunch of 70 degree days. It's going to be spectacular for November. Next week could easily pass for the first week of October, which ironically was way chillier. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 52 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: There's some kind of ground growth that's fiery red already. I wonder what it is. It looks like some kind of ground growing vine that's also made it up onto fences. Poison Ivy usually turn that red in the fall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 5 minutes ago, FPizz said: Poison Ivy usually turn that red in the fall Yep, that sounds like poison ivy. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 Another nice day, 65 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 Just checked my records. 2015,2016 and 2018 were cooler in October than 2022 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 4 minutes ago, psv88 said: Just checked my records. 2015,2016 and 2018 were cooler in October than 2022 here Not too far from you and agree with your statement. This month does not stand out as being cold 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 it's nice to have weather to look forward to again 3 1 6 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 4 hours ago, LibertyBell said: wow nice for the marathon and for peak foliage viewing! Fingers crossed, my only fear of running the marathon has been the weather lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 A few notes: So we had Wednesday show up with some junky weather, including bit of rain-drizzle, minor... CoCoRaHs attached. Also attached the 4 day totals. You'll note amounts on one day do not up on a subsequent day. I think that is in part due to lack of data from the CoCoRaHs observer (inconsistent daily reporting or a programming problem). So beneficial amounts were observed but no 4" in our area. The beneficial amounts translated into the drought monitor attached and you can see slow drought shrinkage between the weeks reports of the Oct 25 left and Oct 18 right. Finally NYC reservoir info started reporting again and now about 3% below normal (attached), a vast improvement from 6-8 weeks ago. The future: Rain late Sunday and Monday in bands. Then how soon does it go away. Does it linger a bit for Tue? Thereafter next weekend (11/5-6): jury out in the midst of the big ridge aloft. Still may need to contend with a frontal boundary in the area and possible RRQ of upper level jet - overrunning from the weakening midwest trough? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: it's nice to have weather to look forward to again Extreme cold & snow to follow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 5 hours ago, LibertyBell said: wow nice for the marathon and for peak foliage viewing! 70 (if that verifies) It’s quite warm for a marathon. 50s is ideal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 8 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Ewr is going to be around -1 which would the coldest October in 13 years That's insane lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 Captain Reno and Benteen arrive on the 11th. Too bad neither can read a topo map and will probably get lost. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 A cold front moved across the region earlier today. In its wake, slightly cooler air moved into the region. Overnight, it will turn much cooler. Tomorrow will be partly sunny and cool. Temperatures will stay in the 50s in most of the region. The weekend will also begin with cooler than normal readings but temperatures will be moderating by Sunday. Unseasonable warmth will return early next week. November could begin with warmer than normal temperatures. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.8°C for the week centered around October 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.42°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.83°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the fall. The SOI was +21.01 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.082 today. On October 25 the MJO was in Phase 7 at an amplitude of 1.839 (RMM). The October 24-adjusted amplitude was 1.887 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 92% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.9° (1.0° below normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 19 hours ago, Roger Smith said: I think the winter may turn out like 1974-75, the current situation is similar, after a generally cold early October it turned very mild late in the month, hit 80 on Nov 1st and then stayed dull but mild all through Nov-Dec, January 1975 quite mild too, February mild with heavy rainfalls, March turned colder with some below normal intervals, and the first half of April 1975 was unusually cold with a big snowstorm across the Great Lakes that was the latest real blizzard I experienced in my years living in Ontario. Then May 1975 turned scorching hot and very dry. That sort of winter can open up a few brief intervals for a coastal event of some kind, I can vaguely recall a snowfall over eastern Ontario and southern Quebec that was heavy but melted right away in Dec 1974 but in the Toronto area that missed and the month was generally snow-free. By the way, Don you'll be interested in this, as you probably know, the huge positive temperature anomalies run up over this western region (WA, BC) suddenly switched sign a few days ago and we are eroding that near-record value down towards maybe +4F outcomes, it has been cold enough for snow in my area all week, although we only got a brief dump that has melted. But with that unusual warmth, we are still left with a lot of leaf cover locally and the fall colors are quite vibrant, normally this would end mid-October with winds and rain that we just haven't seen at all so far this month (inland, they have seen rain on the coast). There was one moderate snowstorm in the region on 2/12/75. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 39 minutes ago, Tatamy said: There was one moderate snowstorm in the region on 2/12/75. Dec 74 had a wild storm to start the month. Ice and Central park's highest wind gust ever recorded (at least until sandy) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 The first week of November continues to look exceptionally warm, especially in parts of Ontario, Quebec, and New England. The New York City area remains on track for a much warmer than normal November 1-7. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 Morning thoughts… Today will be partly sunny and cool. High temperatures will reach the upper 50s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 57° Newark: 58° Philadelphia: 61° Tomorrow will e noticeably cooler. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 60.2°; 15-Year: 60.9° Newark: 30-Year: 61.6°; 15-Year: 62.2° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 62.7°; 15-Year: 62.8° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 My Facebook post from 10 years ago. . I started full time at my job the day of landfall. Worked through the night cutting trees out of the roadways while hearing more crashing down. Our shop got a couple feet of water from the storm surge from the Hudson River 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 Big time frost here this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 9 minutes ago, FPizz said: Big time frost here this morning. 45 here. Climate difference this year is crazy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: 45 here. Climate difference this year is crazy I got down to 37. I was surprised to see it honestly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 fist time i wore my winter coast since last spring felt good... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 The last 5 days of October are averaging 55degs.(50/61) or +2. Month to date is 57.5[-1.1]. October should end at 57.2[-0.7]. Reached 66 here yesterday. Today: 55-58, wind e., scattered clouds, 52 tomorrow AM. While officially the odds say that this year you only have to risk $1.38 to win $1.00---if you want to bet on an AN Winter---compared to last year's $4.25 to win $1.00---in other words while AN is still the most likely outcome---it is 3X less certain this season. No evidence of a BN avalanche yet here: 47*(65%RH) here at 7am. 49* at 9am. 53* at 11am. 56* at Noon. 59* at 1pm. 61* at 3pm. Reached 62* at 4pm. 55* at 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 5 minutes ago, nycwinter said: fist time i wore my winter coast since last spring felt good... We've had colder mornings & days this month 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 Looks like rain for trick or treating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 7 minutes ago, TriPol said: Looks like rain for trick or treating. Models have very little now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted October 28, 2022 Share Posted October 28, 2022 45 minutes ago, nycwinter said: fist time i wore my winter coast since last spring felt good... Winter coats suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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