donsutherland1 Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 21 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: I'm curious if this overperforming warmth will end the negative anomalies in the city too. On Long Island it looks like it's close to a 0.0 departure now. JFK will probably come in close to normal perhaps a few tenths of a degree above. LGA, NYC, and EWR will be below normal, though LGA might wind up within 0.5° of normal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 5 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: JFK will probably come in close to normal perhaps a few tenths of a degree above. LGA, NYC, and EWR will be below normal, though LGA might wind up within 0.5° of normal. Just as you wrote that the sun broke fully through the clouds, Don and the temperatures here are now in the 70s! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 Given how warm the first half of November will be, I think when the pattern changes we'll go right into winter. Unless of course the warm weather locks in like 2011 but I don't think it will. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Just as you wrote that the sun broke fully through the clouds, Don and the temperatures here are now in the 70s! It would be even warmer were there fewer clouds. Up in Quebec, record highs are widespread. Yesterday, Montreal hit 77°, its latest such temperature on record. Through 1 pm, it has a daily record 72° today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 It is now partly cloudy here and beautiful out, temperature 71 degrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 72 degrees here right now, and it feels a little muggy with the dewpoint at 65. As others have pointed out, the long range looks very warm. More 70 degree weather to come in early november. Looks as if I'll be picking tomatoes and peppers for quite awhile since there's no sign of a freeze in the long range. Maybe even into mid november, which would be the longest growing season here that I can remember. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 22 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: 72 degrees here right now, and it feels a little muggy with the dewpoint at 65. As others have pointed out, the long range looks very warm. More 70 degree weather to come in early november. Looks as if I'll be picking tomatoes and peppers for quite awhile since there's no sign of a freeze in the long range. Maybe even into mid november, which would be the longest growing season here that I can remember. Looks warm for a while after this (coolish) weekend. Weeklies (bun me now) flip the script at the end of the month into December. I don’t mind the warmth now if that means we get something more favorable when climo is better for us in December. November 2019 is a perfect example of having a great pattern to early. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scootmandu Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 This week's storms gave us .92" of rain, with 5.68 for the month (after 5.99 in September). It is a pretty humid 66 degrees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 beautiful day. hope it lasts right through march 2 2 2 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 Today’s basically yesterday but with more intermittent cloud cover. High of 76. Low of 63. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 Minor measuring out here in Sussxx County during mid afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 Currently sitting outside enjoying this beautiful warmth. Almost perfect, except for a couple mosquitoes, but def does not spoil it 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 Almost 1 tenth inch in ~1 hour in Wantage NJ ending around 445P. Walt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 Absolute peak color today in mid/southern Westchester. About two weeks earlier than last year. Cooler/drier air moving in feels good this evening 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 How’s first week of November looking temp wise? Running nyc marathon the 6th 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 3 hours ago, forkyfork said: beautiful day. hope it lasts right through march This! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 10 minutes ago, nycsnow said: How’s first week of November looking temp wise? Running nyc marathon the 6th +10 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 24 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: +10 they laugh 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 51 minutes ago, forkyfork said: they laugh Let’s put this on repeat until April! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 4 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: Let’s put this on repeat until April! We have an energy crisis. The warm weather is good for everyone especially Europe. But if you're a winter lover then at least the crappy pattern is happening in November vs when it matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 26, 2022 Share Posted October 26, 2022 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: they laugh We mow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 29 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: We have an energy crisis. The warm weather is good for everyone especially Europe. But if you're a winter lover then at least the crappy pattern is happening in November vs when it matters. Precisely. A warm winter for the USA and abroad would be welcome. A warm snowless winter would be helpful to a lot of people Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 6 hours ago, winterwx21 said: 72 degrees here right now, and it feels a little muggy with the dewpoint at 65. As others have pointed out, the long range looks very warm. More 70 degree weather to come in early november. Looks as if I'll be picking tomatoes and peppers for quite awhile since there's no sign of a freeze in the long range. Maybe even into mid november, which would be the longest growing season here that I can remember. 2001 was the longest growing season but this seems to be similar so far. The record from yesterday was from 2001 too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 Brookhaven National Labs on Long Island has had 1 year at or below normal the past 25 years. The previous 25 years had 13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: they laugh Dejavu all over again. Reminds me of the Yankees postseasons over the last 13 years lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 8 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: Precisely. A warm winter for the USA and abroad would be welcome. A warm snowless winter would be helpful to a lot of people Meanwhile in the Swiss Alps, which contain 75% of the world's freshwater, the glaciers are projected to be completely gone by 2031. Scientists there are laying white blankets on the snow there to make it melt at a slower rate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 +10 on November 6th is only 68. Not like we're talking 80s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: +10 on November 6th is only 68. Not like we're talking 80s we'll get a few of those <3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 Tomorrow will be partly sunny and somewhat cooler. Readings will return to near normal or somewhat below noral levels to end the week. However, more warmth will likely return to start next week. With the MJO in Phase 6 at a high amplitude and the Arctic Oscillation forecast to be positive for the closing week of the month, the closing week of October could feature above to much above normal temperatures. November could begin with warmer than normal temperatures. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.8°C for the week centered around October 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.42°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.83°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the fall. The SOI was +0.71 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.558 today. On October 24 the MJO was in Phase 6 at an amplitude of 1.890 (RMM). The October 23-adjusted amplitude was 1.860 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 90% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.9° (1.0° below normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 27, 2022 Share Posted October 27, 2022 Meanwhile in the Swiss Alps, which contain 75% of the world's freshwater, the glaciers are projected to be completely gone by 2031. Scientists there are laying white blankets on the snow there to make it melt at a slower rate. While most of this is correct it’s more like .75% of the words fresh water. 75% would be Antarctica. Looks like the early ski season is going to suck. We need a flip late month.We can have a cold snowy winter and Europe a warm winter. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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