Allsnow Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Ggem 1-3 inches more lol. Doubtful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 For now, there are some breaks in the clouds and some sunshine in southern Westchester County, even as it continues to rain lightly. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 7 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Looks like the sun is trying to break out yay! Don, when was JFK's last 1" rainfall? I will check when I get home in a short while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 so cold today if i was going out i may wear a winters coat.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
binbisso Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Gfs, cmc and rgem With an additional inch plus through Tuesday. Nam is dry 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 16 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Looks like the sun is trying to break out yay! Don, when was JFK's last 1" rainfall? June 1. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, binbisso said: Gfs, cmc and rgem With an additional inch plus through Tuesday. Nam is dry Gfs is wet Wednesday too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, binbisso said: Gfs, cmc and rgem With an additional inch plus through Tuesday. Nam is dry Hopefully but as today proves, don’t count any rain this year until it’s in the bucket. Sun is out here in Long Beach. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 the models that busted last night's forecast are dry tuesday and vice versa. i have a better feeling about part two than part one 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 when its pouring outside i’ll believe it. Yuge bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 The sun is out here in SW Suffolk with just some drizzle. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 40 minutes ago, forkyfork said: the models that busted last night's forecast are dry tuesday and vice versa. i have a better feeling about part two than part one when i see you post i know it is bad news for fans of weather... aka rain or snow ... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 0.56" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, STORMANLI said: 0.56" 1.10” at my station on Fire Island at Cherry Grove. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scootmandu Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 .56 so far today in NW Suffolk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutCorRX Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 I'm supposed to get down to Avalon NJ for two weeks. Debating between leaving tonight orntomorrow AM. Any thoughts? Is there any chance at costal conditions being worse tomorrow and high tide? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 it's not a bust if there were models that showed it happening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Been steady drizzle last hour, not much on radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 8 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Been steady drizzle last hour, not much on radar How are the colors up there so far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 18z Nam still doesn't have anything for the NYC area tomorrow but the hi res Nam does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Most guidance had a break in the precipitation from late morning through the evening and it hasn't let up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 8 hours ago, forkyfork said: the models that busted last night's forecast are dry tuesday and vice versa. i have a better feeling about part two than part one You called it...the bust I mean. I mean that you said the models were going to bust... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Gale advisory up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Through 6 pm EDT, rainfall amounts are: Bridgeport: 0.36" Islip: 0.51" New York City-JFK: 0.87" New York City-LGA: 0.63" New York City-NYC: 0.58" Newark: 0.61" Philadelphia: 0.88" Westhampton: 1.38" (old record: 1.23", 1958) Additional light rain is possible tonight and tomorrow. From New York City and its nearby suburbs southward, a general 0.50"-1.50" storm total rainfall with locally higher amounts is likely tomorrow through Sunday. Most locations in that area will see the lower part of that range. The first 10 days of October will be much cooler than normal despite a brief warmup at the middle of next week. The overall temperature could average 3°-5° below normal during the October 1-10 period. Afterward, the pattern evolution will depend on the state of blocking and the influence of the cool ENSO Region 1+2 region. Since 1950, 15/21 (71%) of cases with an ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly of -0.75°C or below were warmer than normal in the Middle Atlantic region, including Philadelphia and New York City. 48% were 1° or more above average in New York City and 62% were 1° or more above average in Philadelphia. Just 14% were 1° or more below normal in New York City while 24% were 1° or more below normal in Philadelphia. One-third of cases in both cities saw a monthly mean temperature of 60° or above. October 1988 was the coldest exception. Overall, such ENSO conditions also favored warmth in the Central and Northern Plains, along with dry conditions in the Plains States. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.9°C for the week centered around September 21. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.73°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.95°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the fall. The SOI was +17.47 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.646 today. On September 29 the MJO was in Phase 4 at an amplitude of 0.608 (RMM). The September 28-adjusted amplitude was 0.367 (RMM). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Almost a inch of rain at JFK, reading some of these posts from that area you would think it was sunny all day 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 Euro has rain thru monday morning now. Half inch or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Euro has rain thru monday morning now. Half inch or so 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 2, 2022 Author Share Posted October 2, 2022 Picked up 1.12" of rain for the day. Current temp 59 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 .14 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 Extremely windy tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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