Dark Star Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 3 hours ago, forkyfork said: orange and darker is immediate imo Would you dare draw a circle around where "similar" weather conditions occur, pertaining to Manhattan (winter conditions of course)? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Gulfport, MS will be colder than coastal nyc metro lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Rjay said: Gulfport, MS will be colder than coastal nyc metro lol. It's terrible I live in the worst area 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 4 hours ago, BxEngine said: Of course. Theres also a big difference in every day weather between manhattan college parkway and beach 35th street. But that doesnt change definitions. If people are discussing the city and urban NE nj, say that. Im closer to central park than all of suffolk county. Suffolk is not in the "metro" for weather purposes. When you read an AFD by Upton there is usually a distinction between the NYC Metro, NW and LI. Geographically/politically, the entire area is the NYC metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Growing season ends tonight for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Won't be surprised to have some frost in my area tonight and or tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: It's terrible I live in the worst area 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 56 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 2 hours ago, psv88 said: Suffolk is not in the "metro" for weather purposes. When you read an AFD by Upton there is usually a distinction between the NYC Metro, NW and LI. Geographically/politically, the entire area is the NYC metro. Putnam doesn't vote the same as the rest of the Metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 Despite partly sunny skies, readings were largely confined to the 50s in much of the region. Tomorrow will be another chilly day following a frosty start in many suburban areas with temperatures again peaking in the 50s. Moderation is possible during the weekend. There will be a risk of precipitation. Chicago could see the mercury reach 32° for the first time this season tomorrow morning. Last year, Chicago's first freeze occurred on November 2. The last freeze at least as early as the one that is forecast occurred on October 13, 2018. Afterward, with the MJO in Phase 6 at a high amplitude and the Arctic Oscillation forecast to go positive for the closing week of the month, the closing week of October could feature above normal temperatures. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -2.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.8°C for the week centered around October 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.87°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the fall. The SOI was +16.24 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.403 today. On October 16 the MJO was in Phase 6 at an amplitude of 1.452 (RMM). The October 15-adjusted amplitude was 1.686 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 69% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.6° (1.5° below normal). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 I should probably know this, but is there somewhere that captures when a first frost and freeze actually occurred for towns/counties in our area? Tons of websites out there listing average first frosts and freezes, but havent seen what I'm asking about. Based on the NWS map, I would assume Sussex/Warren and the Poconos have already had their first freezes, since they're not included in the freeze warnings (they don't get issued after the first freeze, which marks the end of the growing season; not sure if frost advisories get reissued after the first frost and before the first freeze, though). TIA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 Down to 41 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 17 hours ago, gravitylover said: Yup. Cold right now is really just using heating oil unnecessarily and killing the last fresh veggies out of the garden. I'd be fine with it if it didn't get much below 40 until it's about to snow. Thats the good part about being on the south shore- extended growing seasons. We've only had October freezes a couple of times in the entire time I've been here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 8 hours ago, RU848789 said: I should probably know this, but is there somewhere that captures when a first frost and freeze actually occurred for towns/counties in our area? Tons of websites out there listing average first frosts and freezes, but havent seen what I'm asking about. Based on the NWS map, I would assume Sussex/Warren and the Poconos have already had their first freezes, since they're not included in the freeze warnings (they don't get issued after the first freeze, which marks the end of the growing season; not sure if frost advisories get reissued after the first frost and before the first freeze, though). TIA. It's already been in the 20s in my other house in the Poconos. It feels like December over there lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 13 hours ago, MJO812 said: It's terrible I live in the worst area You like early season freezes for some odd reason. The growing season doesn't mean much to you? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 18 hours ago, forkyfork said: orange and darker is immediate imo Forky, can I get a link for this-- I want to check out what it is for my other home in the Poconos and transpose it atop a light pollution map. Obviously the higher the population density the higher the levels of light and air pollution. I need to find an air pollution map of the country too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 19 hours ago, Nibor said: Bro, how many times we gotta go over this. Rockland County might as well be Canada. Yes it's been years since I've been that far north. I have to make sure my passport is up to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 18 hours ago, forkyfork said: big difference in UHI between queens and nyack and also in light and air pollution. I'm in the orange lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 43 here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 33F near New Brunswick 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 Morning thoughts… Today will be partly cloudy and unseasonably cool. High temperatures will reach the lower and middle 50s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 54° Newark: 56° Philadelphia: 56° Tomorrow will be another cool day. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 63.3°; 15-Year: 64.0° Newark: 30-Year: 64.8°; 15-Year: 65.8° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 66.0°; 15-Year: 66.6° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 34 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 41° here in SW Suffolk with some frost only on the roofs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 34 here frost on rooftops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 Currently 29 in Yazoo City, MS this AM. A balmy 38 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 33 in Muttontown & 34 in Syosset this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 57degs.(51/64) or +1. Month to date is 57.5[-2.7]. Should be 57.3[-1.6] by the 27th. Reached 60 here yesterday. Today: 50-54, wind w.-breezy, variable clouds, 46 tomorrow AM. 44*(69%RH) here at 7am. 47* at 9am. 50* at Noon. 53* at 1pm. 55* at 3pm. Reached 56* at 5pm. 52* at 7pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 got down to 34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 Down to 32 here last night and on the way to 56 or so. Gradual warm up starts Thu (10/20) with a much warmer Fri / Sat (10/22) where some areas will touch 70. Ridge in the east but undercut by low backing into the Northeast by Sunday night with clouds Sunday and some showers / rain Mon (10/24) and Tue (10/25). If we clear Wed (10/26) another shot at 70s before a brief cool down in the Thu (10/27) . Looks warm to end the month in time for Halloween with te next front coming in around the start of the month. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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