psv88 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Thunder and heavy rain. Nice storms developed right over head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 minute ago, bkviking said: Sudden crash of thunder followed by lightning here in Smithtown. Wasn’t paying attention to radar past hours or so but it held together quite nicely … As Rjay said, favoring typical areas. Poured in Babylon, few drops in brightwaters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Thunder and heavy rain. Nice storms developed right over head. So not fair! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Forks should be in for some fun later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 .27 for the day here, .26 of it this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 About .25" here too. The warmup starting on Saturday looks like it is worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted October 18, 2022 Author Share Posted October 18, 2022 Picked up 0.28" of rain for the day yesterday. Current temp 49 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Morning thoughts… Today will be partly cloudy and unseasonably cool. High temperatures will reach the middle and upper 50s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 56° Newark: 59° Philadelphia: 58° Tomorrow will be another very cool day. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 63.6°; 15-Year: 64.4° Newark: 30-Year: 65.2°; 15-Year: 66.2° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 66.4°; 15-Year: 67.0° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Heading into our next cool down behind the cold front. Back to the 30s tonight for the usual colder spots. Then we warm up near 70° for the warmer spots over the weekend into next week. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 57degs.(51/64) or +1. Month to date is 57.9[-2.5]. Should be 57.6[-1.4] by the 26th. Throwing in the last 6 days of October at 65degs.(60/70) or +11!, October would actually end near +1.0----having completely wiped out the the negative 45 degree head start. The 22nd. still looks like the trip point and has for 10 days. NB. The EURO has about 4" of rain next Mon/Tues, so maybe something in the atmosphere gets shuffled. DUBIOUS: Meanwhile......Back at the Ranch......Where Is My Cold Air? Reached 69 here yesterday. Today: 56-59, wind w., clearing by Noon, 44 by tomorrow AM. 49*(47%RH) here at 7am. 53* at Noon. 57* at 3pm. Reached 60* at 4:30pm. 53* at 7pm. 49* at 11pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Expecting a freeze tonight. No reason why cold won't over perform with light winds, clear skies & dry air mass. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Rainfall .54" from late afternoon / evening showers. Moderate to heavy at times. No thunder or lightning observed. Two day event total = .63". Cold morning. Low temperature 36. Dipped to freezing or just below at usual Sussex County cold spots. Looks cold tonight with widespread frost. Frost Advisories and Freeze Warnings posted over most of NJ. Metro and L.I. left out but think some frost L.I. cold spots in play. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 Attached: Event total for yesterday, and the combined two event totals late last week and yesterday. Click for clarity. Final batch of heavier rain was further east (E LI) where its still raining a bit at this time with only T-.05 NJ coast NYC overnight. Yesterday: Yankee evening game was rained out, lightning here and there and a few reports of small hail but rainfall not quite as heavy as expected. Still decent. Onward to what may or may not happen late Sunday-Monday in our NYC subform. OKX has responded in its early morning forecast with a 30% chance of showers. That's all you need right now to permit stakeholder consideration of uncertainty. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: Expecting a freeze tonight. No reason why cold won't over perform with light winds, clear skies & dry air mass. Unbelievably I was .7F away from my first freeze at inland Toms River at the beginning of the month. Tempest recorded 32.7. Wondering if we’ll meet or exceed that, but I do notice a pattern since I got my Tempest last winter that we meet or exceed the forecasted lows in my location especially following cooldowns. Also, what’s the early thinking for November? I’m almost inclined to say let it torch if it means we’ll be in a better position for a good pattern DJF. Most of our Novembers the past few years have been cool, this year would be an interesting flip of October and November assuming the rest of October doesn’t overcome the BN anomaly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 19 hours ago, Rmine1 said: We’re still predominantly green still on the south shore It depends on the tree. Some of mine switched in September and started dropping leaves back then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, CIK62 said: The next 8 days are averaging 57degs.(51/64) or +1. Month to date is 57.9[-2.5]. Should be 57.6[-1.4] by the 26th. Throwing in the last 6 days of October at 65degs.(60/70) or +11!, October would actually end near +1.0----having completely wiped out the the negative 45 degree head start. The 22nd. still looks like the trip point and has for 10 days. NB. The EURO has about 4" of rain next Mon/Tues, so maybe something in the atmosphere gets shuffled. DUBIOUS: Meanwhile......Back at Ranch......Where Is My Cold Air? Reached 69 here yesterday. Today: 56-59, wind w., clearing by Noon, 44 by tomorrow AM. 49*(47%RH) here at 7am. 6.10" inches of rain here?!-- you know thats WRONG I would apply the 1/6 rule lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 14 minutes ago, wdrag said: Attached: Event total for yesterday, and the combined two event totals late last week and yesterday. Click for clarity. Final batch of heavier rain was further east (E LI) where its still raining a bit at this time with only T-.05 NJ coast NYC overnight. Yesterday: Yankee evening game was rained out, lightning here and there and a few reports of small hail but rainfall not quite as heavy as expected. Still decent. Onward to what may or may not happen late Sunday-Monday in our NYC subform. OKX has responded in its early morning forecast with a 30% chance of showers. That's all you need right now to permit stakeholder consideration of uncertainty. They should have played through the rain, that was not enough rain to cancel a baseball game lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, MANDA said: Rainfall .54" from late afternoon / evening showers. Moderate to heavy at times. No thunder or lightning observed. Two day event total = .63". Cold morning. Low temperature 36. Dipped to freezing or just below at usual Sussex County cold spots. Looks cold tonight with widespread frost. Frost Advisories and Freeze Warnings posted over most of NJ. Metro and L.I. left out but think some frost L.I. cold spots in play. Metro wasnt left out. I have a frost advisory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 51 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Metro wasnt left out. I have a frost advisory. Immediate NYC burbs are not under and frost / freeze product. Nyack further north is covered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 55 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Metro wasnt left out. I have a frost advisory. Bro, how many times we gotta go over this. Rockland County might as well be Canada. 3 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 31 minutes ago, Nibor said: Bro, how many times we gotta go over this. Rockland County might as well be Canada. It's a different world Living near the coast ftl 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 37 minutes ago, MANDA said: Immediate NYC burbs are not under and frost / freeze product. Nyack further north is covered. Immediate ≠ metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Immediate ≠ metro orange and darker is immediate imo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 There is metro, and not metro. Thats it guys lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, BxEngine said: There is metro, and not metro. Thats it guys lol big difference in UHI between queens and nyack 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Expecting a freeze tonight. No reason why cold won't over perform with light winds, clear skies & dry air mass. You certainly could be right, but I'm hoping the forecast of mid 30s ends up being correct. I'd like to see the growing season continue. I've always noticed that my tomatoes and peppers in the garden are ok as long as the temp stays a couple degrees above freezing. Hopefully we can get through the next couple nights, because the long range pattern looks nice and warm. We can probably extend the growing season until early november if we can avoid a freeze the next couple nights. It's going to be close though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 14 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: You certainly could be right, but I'm hoping the forecast of mid 30s ends up being correct. I'd like to see the growing season continue. I've always noticed that my tomatoes and peppers in the garden are ok as long as the temp stays a couple degrees above freezing. Hopefully we can get through the next couple nights, because the long range pattern looks nice and warm. We can probably extend the growing season until early november if we can avoid a freeze the next couple nights. It's going to be close though. Forecast low is 34 to 36 for our area so I think we just miss a freeze. SMQ will be 23 lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 3 hours ago, LibertyBell said: They should have played through the rain, that was not enough rain to cancel a baseball game lol I was at that debacle last night. I was constantly monitoring the radar and while it was certainly a tricky call earlier in the evening, it was clear that by 830 the rain would last for at least another hour. It should have been called then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: big difference in UHI between queens and nyack Of course. Theres also a big difference in every day weather between manhattan college parkway and beach 35th street. But that doesnt change definitions. If people are discussing the city and urban NE nj, say that. Im closer to central park than all of suffolk county. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted October 18, 2022 Share Posted October 18, 2022 46 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: You certainly could be right, but I'm hoping the forecast of mid 30s ends up being correct. I'd like to see the growing season continue. I've always noticed that my tomatoes and peppers in the garden are ok as long as the temp stays a couple degrees above freezing. Hopefully we can get through the next couple nights, because the long range pattern looks nice and warm. We can probably extend the growing season until early november if we can avoid a freeze the next couple nights. It's going to be close though. Yup. Cold right now is really just using heating oil unnecessarily and killing the last fresh veggies out of the garden. I'd be fine with it if it didn't get much below 40 until it's about to snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now