s2sailorlis Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 surprised we got 1.75" of rain. Fairfield, CT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 48 minutes ago, wdrag said: Drought diminishing - we'll see it in next Thursdays 10/20 post. Here are prelim 1 day CoCoRaHs maps, and a 2 day total from the NYS mesonet. Some spots only 0.4" but many 1-3". Wantage NJ my Ambient 2.52 but two stratus official CocoRaHs stations 2.39" which I think is more accurate (I am not a CoCoRaHs observer). I'll get two day totals up around 9A via CoCoRahs. More coming this coming Monday the 17th. Whether we will see iso 4" two event totals, probably not but still tbd. Later, Walt Walt, got the JFK totals? The nearest totals to me in those maps were east or north of me, based on that looks like around 1.5" inches here or maybe slightly more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 on RadarScope I checked the accumulated rainfall IMBY with the KDIX, KOKX, KENX and KBGM and none were even close to the 1.15" I recorded. As has been stated many time before, those radar accumulation maps are less than accurate for many, if not all, locations. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 We lucked out in Nassau/W Suffolk in how the second offshore batch of rain came about due north vs more east. According to radar (which might be low) I had about 0.9”. Places east of me clearly had more. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 .54" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 2.24” . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 32 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: on RadarScope I checked the accumulated rainfall IMBY with the KDIX, KOKX, KENX and KBGM and none were even close to the 1.15" I recorded. As has been stated many time before, those radar accumulation maps are less than accurate for many, if not all, locations. Sometimes, but often I think they are much closer to reality than this past event. My guess NWS does too, since they use this info to initiate FFW/FLW's for basins and sub basins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 35 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Walt, got the JFK totals? The nearest totals to me in those maps were east or north of me, based on that looks like around 1.5" inches here or maybe slightly more. JFK 1.22. CP 0.99. Others will contribute more and please click the CoCoRaHs map for more detail. Will post the two day in 5 min. Thanks, Walt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 40 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: The question is why? algorithms. Someone from NWS should reply if they have an answer. I've been gone 4 years so am out of touch on details. Thanks. Walt 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 37 minutes ago, jm1220 said: We lucked out in Nassau/W Suffolk in how the second offshore batch of rain came about due north vs more east. According to radar (which might be low) I had about 0.9”. Places east of me clearly had more. Yea we had a nice firehouse park in western Suffolk for a 2-3 hours last night, probably 5 miles east of you. Nice training 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 CoCoRaHs two day totals. Click for more detail. May see iso 4" two event total by 12z Tue the 18th but unlikely. Most ensembles are 1/4-1/2" for next Monday. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 1 hour ago, gravitylover said: That last map is too vague, it's more than a half inch high where I am. I agree: Mesonet is sparsely populated compared to CoCoRaHs... try that. This event had tow or three big bands. Largest nest the De River, a secondary NJ Coast one into w CT, then something I think e LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 58degs.(52/64) or Normal. Month to date is 57.6[-3.6]. Should be 57.8[-2.2] by the 22nd. Going another 8 days on, the average is 62degs.(55/70) or about +6. This would make us almost Normal for the month, with just a few days to go at that time. Reached 66 here yesterday. Today: 66-69, wind n. to nw., clearing skies, 55 tomorrow AM. 54*(90%RH) here at 7am. 56* at 9am. 57* at 10am. 59* at Noon. 61* at 1pm. 64* at 2pm. 66* at 3pm. 67* at 3:30pm. Reached 70* at 5pm. 64* at 8pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 0.39 in the bucket here. Last of the clouds will likely come through the area east in the next 1 to two hours as we dry out. Gorgeous weekend on tap. sun , dry upper 60s / low 70s. Monday (10/17) front comes through doesnt look like much rain. Chill arrives Tue (10/18) - Thu (10/20) before moderating on Fri (10/22). Ridge builds into the easy but low my get traped under the ridge and we may be overall warm but could turn wet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 1 hour ago, wdrag said: Sometimes, but often I think they are much closer to reality than this past event. My guess NWS does too, since they use this info to initiate FFW/FLW's for basins and sub basins. I've seen them be closer but I haven't really started looking at them again until recently. These maps will definitely be on my radar again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 1 hour ago, wdrag said: JFK 1.22. CP 0.99. Others will contribute more and please click the CoCoRaHs map for more detail. Will post the two day in 5 min. Thanks, Walt Thanks looks like about an inch and a half sounds about right for me, being 5 miles east of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 1 hour ago, wdrag said: JFK 1.22. CP 0.99. Others will contribute more and please click the CoCoRaHs map for more detail. Will post the two day in 5 min. Thanks, Walt LGA around 1.75" Walt (based on the maps)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 Only 0.37 here, but not too disappointed since we got plenty of rain in recent weeks. Three chilly days next week before it warms back up. Hopefully we can avoid the frost so the growing season can continue. It's going to be close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 2 hours ago, jm1220 said: We lucked out in Nassau/W Suffolk in how the second offshore batch of rain came about due north vs more east. According to radar (which might be low) I had about 0.9”. Places east of me clearly had more. I had 0.65" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 Sun out now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scootmandu Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 3 hours ago, IrishRob17 said: on RadarScope I checked the accumulated rainfall IMBY with the KDIX, KOKX, KENX and KBGM and none were even close to the 1.15" I recorded. As has been stated many time before, those radar accumulation maps are less than accurate for many, if not all, locations. We got 2.25" here in NW Suffolk.. The radar accumulation totals were way off. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scootmandu Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 The storm gave us 2.25" of rain. 1.23" before midnight and 1.02" afterwards. Radar was showing a continuous line of rain training over our area after midnight. It was a relatively narrow band over Eastern Nassau and Western Suffolk. I know my totals are fairly accurate, because my neighbor has a reporting station and his rainfall total was even slightly higher than mine. I decided to experiment yesterday with storm forecasting totals. I used 2 weather apps predictions, and combined them with 5 weather models forecasts, whose localised rainfall forecast I got by going to Windy.com, using their map to pinpoint my exact location, and then went through the 5 models they have posted, which will show you the predicted precipitation amount, specifically for your area. These were the 24-hour predicted totals as of 6 PM last night (before our rain began later that hour): Predicted totals ECMWF 1.63 GFS 1.02 HRRR 1.03 NAM 0.99 ICON 0.24 And from the apps: Weather Underground 0.86 Dark Sky 1.73 They were all off by at least a half-inch, some much more than that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 Another picture perfect afternoon. Get them all while we can until a depressing dark gloom sets in for 4 months 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 40 minutes ago, nyrangers1022 said: Another picture perfect afternoon. Get them all while we can until a depressing dark gloom sets in for 4 months Yep! DST ends in a few weeks...4:30 sunsets 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 14 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Yep! DST ends in a few weeks...4:30 sunsets Terrible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 next year we will have 8:17 sunrise in late december awful.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 22 minutes ago, nycwinter said: next year we will have 8:17 sunrise in late december awful.. Why is that? Did they pass the bill to keep DST all year round? Have not heard much about it since it was proposed. That 8:17 sunrise does not sound appealing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 No more moving clocks in the U.S. The measure passed by unanimous consent in the Senate…. This is the closest Congress has ever been to actually making this happen.”Mar 17, 2022 the house has yet to even discuss the bill but i am sure in the lame duck session after the elections it will pass.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 18 minutes ago, nycwinter said: No more moving clocks in the U.S. The measure passed by unanimous consent in the Senate…. This is the closest Congress has ever been to actually making this happen.”Mar 17, 2022 the house has yet to even discuss the bill but i am sure in the lame duck session after the elections it will pass.. Will be interesting to see what happens. Thanks for the info. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 3 hours ago, nyrangers1022 said: Terrible. Weather should stay warm though. Looks pretty mild after a 3-4 day cool down next week. Mostly 60s and even a few 70s...indian summer galore. This weekend also looks fantastic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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