Allsnow Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 23 minutes ago, MJO812 said: And will be until tomorrow I might get to 5 if everything pans out today. Cut off low not going anywhere, so it’s definitely a possibility 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 1.38 since midnight here, 2.78 since Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 14 minutes ago, Allsnow said: I might get to 5 if everything pans out today. Cut off low not going anywhere, so it’s definitely a possibility Most likely you will Bad flooding on the NJ shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 .62” in the bucket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 Rain was very heavy overnight here in the UWS, woke me up a few timed starting at 330 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 The big question is how long this cooler October +PNA pattern can last? We haven’t had a colder October since the modoki El Niño in 2009. So it will be interesting to see if the North Pacific warm pool can continue the more Nino-like pattern or the milder La Niña eventually returns. Newark October temperature departures 2021…..+6.9 2020….+1.5 2019…..+3.8 2018…..+0.8 2017…..+7.2 2016…+2.3 2015….+0.6 2014….+2.7 2013….+3.0 2012…..+2.2 2011……+1.5 2010……+1.9 2009…..-0.8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kat5hurricane Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 14 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: We used to get these cool October days years ago but lately its been in the 80s and 90s with record warm Octobers The cool stretch is even more notable given how dry/hot the summer has been. But it's more of an anomalous cool pocket in an otherwise warm regime. The moment the calendar turned to fall, so did the weather. We've gotten so accustomed to September and October being an extension of summer that this cooler weather feels....odd, almost the way it should be in early fall. I didn't start wearing a pullover or jacket until late October last year, it was late September this year. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 34 more hours to go. About 86 inches of rain here, 4.17 total (so far) since Friday night. Clouds holding tough, plane ticket to Palm Springs in hand. Sun pokes through in time for sunset Wed, not so sure anymore. Mets triple header Thursday? Sunnier , drier and warmer Thu (10/6) and Fri (10/7) before front (looks dry) comes through for the weekend. Inland / burbs 30s Sat night / Sun night. Moderate by Tue (10/11) or Wed (10/12) and remaining overall dry through then. We'll see if the PNW Ridge pushes east for the second half of the month for a warmer note. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 Good to see those 3.00” totals near the South Shore since Sunday. But Central NJ gets another jackpot. Some spots recorded 10.00”+. NJ-OC-105 Barnegat Twp 2.6 ESE Lat: 39.7553762321453 Lon: -74.230699170895 * indicates Multi-Day Accumulation Report Station NJ-OC-105 Date Precip in. 10/01/2022 1.27 10/02/2022 0.73 10/03/2022 5.90 10/04/2022 2.30 Totals : 10.20 in. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, bluewave said: Good to see those 3.00” totals near the South Shore since Sunday. But Central NJ gets another jackpot. Some spots recorded 10.00”+. NJ-OC-105 Barnegat Twp 2.6 ESE Lat: 39.7553762321453 Lon: -74.230699170895 * indicates Multi-Day Accumulation Report Station NJ-OC-105 Date Precip in. 10/01/2022 1.27 10/02/2022 0.73 10/03/2022 5.90 10/04/2022 2.30 Totals : 10.20 in. Thanks for sharing. Closing in on 5 here. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 Another trash day. Gloomy, wet, depressing. Give me the sun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 Winds picking up here-but very little rain going back to Friday. About .50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 1.48" last 24 hours (8am to 8am) and a four day total of 1.94". Cold out this morning with temperature of 41. So glad the south shore L.I. finally got what they needed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 we needed this so badly 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 59degs.(51/68) or about -3. Reached 52 here yesterday. Today: 54-58, wind ne.-breezy, cloudy, Rain All Day., 55 tomorrow AM. EURO still has 4" more starting last night to Wed. PM., other models are about 1". 46*(99%RH)-rain at 7am. 48* at 9am. 52* at Noon. 55*at 4pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 Not a total drought buster for the south shore but finally a good soaking. And even better since it rained slowly vs all at once. Desperately needed. Hopefully there can be some more. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 Growing season will last another month For the coast, so this rain definitely will help green things up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 3.84 inches and counting for the storm total here on the south shore of Staten Island 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 20 minutes ago, psv88 said: Growing season will last another month For the coast, so this rain definitely will help green things up It did that here once we got the rains post Labor day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 HRRR & radar suggest rain becomes more scattered soon and I think we're done with the heaviest stuff. But I think we can scrape another half inch before everything ends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 20 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: HRRR & radar suggest rain becomes more scattered soon and I think we're done with the heaviest stuff. But I think we can scrape another half inch before everything ends Nam agrees but euro has heavy stuff tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 2 hours ago, bluewave said: The big question is how long this cooler October +PNA pattern can last? We haven’t had a colder October since the modoki El Niño in 2009. So it will be interesting to see if the North Pacific warm pool can continue the more Nino-like pattern or the milder La Niña eventually returns. Newark October temperature departures 2021…..+6.9 2020….+1.5 2019…..+3.8 2018…..+0.8 2017…..+7.2 2016…+2.3 2015….+0.6 2014….+2.7 2013….+3.0 2012…..+2.2 2011……+1.5 2010……+1.9 2009…..-0.8 +6.9, +7.2… oof! Yeah I distinctly remember wearing shorts through most Octobers the past ten years, makes sense lol. I do hope we’re not wasting our shot at +PNA this season, but I’m fully expecting and interesting winter regardless. Hopefully it’s memorable for the right reasons! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 13 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said: +6.9, +7.2… oof! Yeah I distinctly remember wearing shorts through most Octobers the past ten years, makes sense lol. I do hope we’re not wasting our shot at +PNA this season, but I’m fully expecting and interesting winter regardless. Hopefully it’s memorable for the right reasons! The first 3 days of October are about 12° cooler than the entire month was last year. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of OctClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 2022 52.5 28 2021 64.4 0 2020 58.1 0 2019 60.4 0 2018 57.4 0 2017 63.8 0 2016 58.9 0 2015 57.2 0 2014 59.3 0 2013 59.6 0 2012 58.8 0 2011 58.1 0 2010 58.3 0 2009 55.6 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of OctClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 2021 64.4 0 2 2017 63.8 0 3 2007 63.5 0 4 1971 63.1 0 5 1990 62.4 0 6 1984 62.2 0 7 1949 61.6 0 8 1963 61.2 0 9 1995 61.0 0 - 1947 61.0 0 10 2019 60.4 0 - 1954 60.4 0 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 17 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Nam agrees but euro has heavy stuff tonight 6z Euro has 3"+ near my area through tomorrow, 12z NAM 0.3". Winter is going to fun! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 3 minutes ago, FPizz said: 6z Euro has 3"+ near my area through tomorrow, 12z NAM 0.3". Winter is going to fun! Nam has been way too light with the totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: Not a total drought buster for the south shore but finally a good soaking. And even better since it rained slowly vs all at once. Desperately needed. Hopefully there can be some more. The drought monitor will probably remove every shade next week 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 Last October was so ridiculously warm as have the last several Octobers that this cool period really stands out Ensembles not showing any big warm periods either due to Pacific based blocking. Early thinking is it'll be close to 2018/2015 as 2009 seems a bit of a stretch. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 8 hours ago, LibertyBell said: At this time of the year it doesn't matter-- we're well into fall and nothing is growing here right now. Also the reservoirs are fine, so any rainfall deficit doesn't really matter. Not every year has to be way above normal, we've had plenty (too many!) years with too much rain, it's time for things to balance out now. Also, if you want to water something, you can do so. Lawns are a waste of space and a waste of resources, so I was done with those years ago. It was a significant short lived dry spell here, and perhaps one of the most significant for how little rain fell here, and the data backs this up. Reservoirs never got down too low because those areas saw more rain. I don't mind a dry period to even things out. I don't worry too much about a lawn, but many trees here were stressed from the drought. When the trees become stressed, it's clear indication of an intense dry spell. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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