CIK62 Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 The next 8 days are averaging 58degs.(52/64) or Normal. Month to date is 57.3[-4.1]. Should be 57.6[-2.5] by the 21st. Reached 65 here yesterday. Today: 66-68, wind s. to se., cloudy, rain by 2pm., 58 tomorrow AM. Maybe 0.5"-1.0". 62*(98%RH) at 7am. 65* at 10am. 66* at Noon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 Radar looks awful. Definitely going to skip a good amount of our location Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Radar looks awful. Definitely going to skip a good amount of our location On the plus side hopefully the Yankees game won't be rained out. It can rain all it wants on days when the Yankees aren't playing at home. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 55 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: On the plus side hopefully the Yankees game won't be rained out. It can rain all it wants on days when the Yankees aren't playing at home. Yanks moved to tomorrow at 1:07 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, uofmiami said: Yanks moved to tomorrow at 1:07 pm I bet they could have played. MLB needs to consult Americanwx 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 34 minutes ago, uofmiami said: Yanks moved to tomorrow at 1:07 pm Thanks it would have been nice for YES to announce it. No one has said anything lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 49 minutes ago, tdp146 said: I bet they could have played. MLB needs to consult Americanwx should have moved the Houston game to 7:30 and Yankees to 4:30 but that's tough for fans on late notice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 models keying on a late development here-well east of NYC looks to be the winner - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 19 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: models keying on a late development here-well east of NYC looks to be the winner - The disturbance that will feed into this feature is moving up along the VA/MD coast currently. Interesting to watch the radar and watch this all evolve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 13 minutes ago, Tatamy said: The disturbance that will feed into this feature is moving up along the VA/MD coast currently. Interesting to watch the radar and watch this all evolve. Models have been mostly focused on two bands of heavier precip with this event. One over eastern PA and the other over at least parts of LI and CT. I am up to 0.37 on the day with the former. 12z Euro looks good for LI and CT with the later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 1 hour ago, Tatamy said: Models have been mostly focused on two bands of heavier precip with this event. One over eastern PA and the other over at least parts of LI and CT. I am up to 0.37 on the day with the former. 12z Euro looks good for LI and CT with the later. Been pouring here during the past couple of hours. Now at 1.04” for the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 2 hours ago, Tatamy said: Models have been mostly focused on two bands of heavier precip with this event. One over eastern PA and the other over at least parts of LI and CT. I am up to 0.37 on the day with the former. 12z Euro looks good for LI and CT with the later. looking at radar off the DE/MD coast it seems like that batch could slip even further east just eyeballing it... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 i think the metro will get bands of .5-1" while the 2" stuff is just to the east of rjay 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyrangers1022 Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 Just got back from Resorts Catskills in Monticello. Decent rain there earlier. Got home, looked like hasn't rained at all here. Foliage looked nice up there. Luckily I broke even earlier today after last night, took me a 3 card straight flush, 5 card straight and a 5 card flush to get me back to even Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 nice downpour in the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 These dews feel good. It hasn't even been that long nor is the humidity especially high but I’ve missed it. 0.01” so far today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 34 minutes ago, forkyfork said: i think the metro will get bands of .5-1" while the 2" stuff is just to the east of rjay Forky, it does look like the forks are forked. see what I did Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 Crazy banding with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 Looks like CLI will have to wait for the good stuff. Wantagh Pkwy say to WFP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 2.02” on the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 Decent rains here, south wind, No Thunder/Lightning: Also, the GFS is down 15 degrees+ after the 22nd., from what it showed 24 hours ago: But EURO still roasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 17 minutes ago, Tatamy said: 2.02” on the day. Just picked up another 0.50” in the past 15 minutes so I am up to 2.52” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 Over an inch of rain here thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 You can see the split screw happening for NYC and most of us-E Suffolk should get it pretty good. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 13 minutes ago, jm1220 said: You can see the split screw happening for NYC and most of us-E Suffolk should get it pretty good. Oh well. Riverhead is the place to be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 After perhaps some early showers, sunshine will return tomorrow. It will remain mild. The mild weather will continue into the weekend. However, more cold air could begin to arrive late in the weekend or just afterward. Early next week could turn much cooler. Since 1950, 15/21 (71%) of cases with an ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly of -0.75°C or below were warmer than normal in the Middle Atlantic region, including Philadelphia and New York City. 48% were 1° or more above average in New York City and 62% were 1° or more above average in Philadelphia. Just 14% were 1° or more below normal in New York City while 24% were 1° or more below normal in Philadelphia. One-third of cases in both cities saw a monthly mean temperature of 60° or above. Overall, such ENSO conditions also favored warmth in the Central and Northern Plains, along with dry conditions in the Plains States. October 1988 was the coldest exception. The closing week of September saw the coldest Region 1+2 anomaly since September 1988. That development has increased the probability of a cooler outcome this month. A cooler than normal October is the base case. October 2022 is well on track for a colder than normal outcome. For example, 26/29 (89.7%) cases that saw October 1-10 wind up with a mean temperature of 56.5° or below in New York City, had a monthly mean temperature below the current normal average of 57.9°. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.8°C for the week centered around October 5. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.07°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.87°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the fall. The SOI was +22.11 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.968 today. On October 11 the MJO was in Phase 6 at an amplitude of 1.619 (RMM). The October 10-adjusted amplitude was 1.332 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 74% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.0° (1.9° below normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted October 13, 2022 Share Posted October 13, 2022 Pretty good event. Digital storm totals from multiple radars looks too low. My ambient has 1.8 probably closer to 1.6 here in Wantage but attached are some climate site data... More to come overnight as this does not end til near dawn Friday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 Daily total here up to 2.90” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 Nothing much here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted October 14, 2022 Share Posted October 14, 2022 Pouring for the last 2 hours here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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