Rtd208 Posted September 27, 2022 Share Posted September 27, 2022 The decline into winter continues. What will October bring? Post your discussions and observations here. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 On 9/27/2022 at 4:05 PM, Rtd208 said: The decline into winter continues. What will October bring? Post your discussions and observations here. Ahh, I see weenie tagging season beginning early..... 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Oh yeah this is for october 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 This looks like a good rain event for the areas that need it the most 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 ukie 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Rgem came way north 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Please pin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 5 hours ago, Allsnow said: This looks like a good rain event for the areas that need it the most Widespread 2-3" would be great. Crappy timing but it is what it is 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 11 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Widespread 2-3" would be great. Crappy timing but it is what it is Good football watching weather on Sunday 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 12 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Oh yeah this is for october This would be awesome during the winter too..... with snow of course 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Euro has lows in the upper 30’s next weekend. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Gfs has periods of rain through Tuesday . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 It looks like October will be starting out with a much cooler pattern than recent years. Last October was the warmest on record and 2019 featured the all-time warmest monthly high. So we have a good chance at avoiding another 60°+ October. La Ninas like this year are typically pretty warm here in October. So maybe this means that we see another winter with competing influences that can push back against the typical Niña pattern at times. Typical warm La Nina warm October since 2000 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of OctClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Mean Avg Temperature Missing Count 1 2021 64.4 0 2 2017 63.8 0 3 2007 63.5 0 4 1971 63.1 0 5 1990 62.4 0 6 1984 62.2 0 7 1949 61.6 0 8 1963 61.2 0 9 1995 61.0 0 - 1947 61.0 0 10 2019 60.4 0 - 1954 60.4 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of OctClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Highest Max Temperature Missing Count 1 2019 96 0 2 1941 93 0 3 1949 92 0 4 1959 91 0 5 1939 90 0 - 1938 90 0 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Coldest temps of the season arrives for many next weekend on the gfs 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Where was this in July? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 21 minutes ago, LoboLeader1 said: Where was this in July? Hopefully it’s right but I don’t count rain for the parched areas until it’s in the bucket. Conditions are favorable for a soaking if it comes together, but it could also be a bunch of light showery stuff if the coastal development doesn’t happen or happens too far offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 19 minutes ago, qg_omega said: just a few weeks ago the consensus was a warm end to Sept and start of October....lots of talk of the WAR building back in and ridging over the top which did not happen. Maybe Fiona and Ian had something to do with it ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 The last day of September is averaging 59degs.(54/65) or -5. Month to date is 70.0[+0.6]. September will end at 69.7[+0.5]. The first 10 days of October are averaging 57degs.(50/64) or about -5. Reached 68 here yesterday. Today: 63-67, wind e., m. cloudy, 56 tomorrow AM. The first 24 hours from 8pm yesterday have nothing: 55*(74%RH) here at 7am. 56* at 9am. 62* at Noon. 64* at 2pm. Reached 65* at 2:30pm. 62* at 4pm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 12z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 looks like offshore convection is going to rob us 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Stinks that the good stuff will likely be offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Most of us still get 1-3 inches of rain unless you guys think that's overdone? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 7 hours ago, CIK62 said: The last day of September is averaging 59degs.(54/65) or -5. Month to date is 70.0[+0.6]. September will end at 69.7[+0.5]. The first 10 days of October are averaging 57degs.(50/64) or about -5. Reached 68 here yesterday. Today: 63-67, wind e., m. cloudy, 56 tomorrow AM. The first 24 hours from 8pm yesterday have nothing: 55*(74%RH) here at 7am. 56* at 9am. 62* at Noon. 64* at 2pm. Looks too familiar from up here in Poughkeepsie. Flashbacks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: looks like offshore convection is going to rob us Hopefully not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 this isn't as bad as the 12z run but it still worries me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: Most of us still get 1-3 inches of rain unless you guys think that's overdone? Going with overdone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 18 minutes ago, BxEngine said: Going with overdone. plz be wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 24 minutes ago, forkyfork said: plz be wrong Well we’ve been burned the other way all summer. I don’t buy any models output at this point. Just wait until it happens/doesn’t happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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