H2O Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 What the hell happened in the main thread? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 31 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: People screaming no. Birds are like, "We got this. We're actually having fun. We worry for YOU." hehe 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 10 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: What the hell happened in the main thread? Oh the usual. One post that ruffles feathers and then all hell breaks loose 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 31 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Seems like midday modeling is leaving energy behind ian and developing a low early next week...Ocean City could have a very long period of onshore flow there, might be a lot of flooding. post more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 12z NAM north this run, takes IAN into Myrtle Beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 When Charley went thru ft. Myers in 2004 my wife had the unfortunate luck to be visiting her parents at the time. With our 3 month old daughter in tow. They made out fine but couldn’t get back to DC for 10 days or so and were miserable in the heat. She brought me back a “I survived Hurricane Charley” t-shirt, which I put away and then uncovered this spring when I was cleaning out old clothes. So I’ve been wearing the hell out of that shirt this summer. Since it was in good condition from all those years at the bottom of a drawer. Will have to put it away now because a)wearing it is probably bad form and b) it’s, frankly, been rendered obsolete by Ian. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: What the hell happened in the main thread? Glad I slept through whatever mess went on in there, lol Sounds like those folks make us sound normal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Jesus the Euro hangs a damn low off the coast thru Wednesday. The shore is potentially going to get a very long period of onshore winds. Can we get this setup in winter? haha 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 8 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said: Jesus the Euro hangs a damn low off the coast thru Wednesday. The shore is potentially going to get a very long period of onshore winds. Can we get this setup in winter? haha Problem is if you did, the column would find a way to torch to 36° 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 27 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Problem is if you did, the column would find a way to torch to 36° Yeah but we got a nice high to the north tho If this verifies...time to harp on JB2's atmospheric memory, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 18z nam sucks. Hope it’s wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 13 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: 18z nam sucks. Hope it’s wrong. You sure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 18z nam sucks. Hope it’s wrong.Wouldn’t have guessed that most of the heavy rain would miss us to the west. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
understudyhero Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 45 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: Wouldn’t have guessed that most of the heavy rain would miss us to the west. . What is considered west in this case? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 What is considered west in this case?Looks like southwestern WV is bullseye for most precipitation. Models had most of MD With 3 to 4 inches of rain a few days ago. Now looking like 1.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 I've noticed over the past year or two the Euro tends to be too high with QPF in the warm season beyond D4. When it's on an island with higher totals and D4 or further out, don't take it at face value. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Mediocrates says meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 22 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: I've noticed over the past year or two the Euro tends to be too high with QPF in the warm season beyond D4. When it's on an island with higher totals and D4 or further out, don't take it at face value. It wasn’t on an island at all. Rest of the globals supported it and gfs was on the island. Looks like gfs will win now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 1 hour ago, Imgoinhungry said: Wouldn’t have guessed that most of the heavy rain would miss us to the west. . or the east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Looks like high clouds from Ian will give us a nice sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 or the east?Most tropical systems stay out to sea and stay well east, no? Pretty rare track for this to go to WV/KY border.. I think?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 10 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: Most tropical systems stay out to sea and stay well east, no? Pretty rare track for this to go to WV/KY border.. I think? . We have epic blocking setting up. Winter is gonna be lit 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 26 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: Most tropical systems stay out to sea and stay well east, no? Pretty rare track for this to go to WV/KY border.. I think? . Well, that wasn't the point exactly. Your post was wrt the 18z NAM precip distribution. The reality is as the tropical remnants move NW and interact with a front/encounter the cool/dry HP pushing in from Canada, there will probably be more than one associated disturbance impacting the region. The actual remnant low may result in a precip max to the SW of the DCA-BWI corridor, and then as the flow shunts everything eastward, there looks to be a developing coastal low resulting in heavy rains along the coast later in the weekend/early next week, thus another precip max to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 53 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Looks like high clouds from Ian will give us a nice sunset. It was amazing out here in the Winchester area. Stunning. Sat on the deck and felt a little chilly for the first time this year. Man I love the fall. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 3 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: 18z nam sucks. Hope it’s wrong. Who gets excited for rain, let alone on a weekend? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 37 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Who gets excited for rain, let alone on a weekend? Weather people be starved for any action other than warm, sunny days. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Ian gaining more strength would not be surprising. More than expected that is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: We have epic blocking setting up. Winter is gonna be lit Can't wait for 33 and rain to wash away six inches of sleet while there are three loaves of carrot cake baking on top of the woodstove! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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