Jebman Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 16 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Let's go out with a bang this summer. Be very, very careful what you wish for. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 3 minutes ago, Jebman said: Be very, very careful what you wish for. I know what I like. 3 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: It’s not even that. Way less than other guidance. It pushes the remnant low well south with that high pressing in more and suppressing it. Looks like Euro has a similar look to 12Z - the secondary swath may have just started to pump. But the low looks different. I think we have a lot of adjustments coming over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 1 minute ago, midatlanticweather said: Looks like Euro has a similar look to 12Z - the secondary swath may have just started to pump. Never doubt nina suppression...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Heard 18z EURO was north of other guidance. Anyone have a link to view? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 44 minutes ago, Snowmadness said: Heard 18z EURO was north of other guidance. Anyone have a link to view? Tropicaltidbits or polarwx are good sites. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Seems on Satellite passes, Ian is heading NE (Not NNE) and Should exit off Florida at a lower latitude then what models are forecasting. If so, that could have implications in our area possibly taking storm further out in Atlantic before the “left bend” takes place. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Even with all the big storms of this century so far, our very own Isabel still leads the pack in terms of Integrated Kinetic Energy (IKE): Isabel 173 Sandy 141 Katrina 121 Wilma 103 Frances 93 Ivan 81 Flo 49 Ian 47 (tentative?) Ida 47 Dennis 40 Laura 21 Andrew 20 Charley 7 Other storms of note: Opal 120, Hugo 94, Andrew 20 (from Jeff Masters' site: yaleclimateconnections.org) Don't ask me why I'm posting this at 4 AM. I thought I could go at least one year without worrying about our house down near Beaufort, SC, on an island. That's not the whole reason for my insomnia, but a bit of it. ETA: Another site had Irma with about 50 IKE and Michael with about 25. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Looks like everyone gets in on some rain from the initial surge northward late tomorrow and Saturday. Possible development/redevelopment of low pressure along the MA coast as the remnants shift eastward is the feature to watch for additional rain/wind for late Sunday-Tuesday period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 33 minutes ago, CAPE said: Looks like everyone gets in on some rain from the initial surge northward late tomorrow and Saturday. Possible development/redevelopment of low pressure along the MA coast as the remnants shift eastward is the feature to watch for additional rain/wind for late Sunday-Tuesday period. Other guidance trended more toward the GFS solution than anything else overnight with that second round pushed south and diminished. That part is still a wild card. First round of rain looks basically locked in . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Other guidance trended more toward the GFS solution than anything else overnight with that second round pushed south and diminished. That part is still a wild card. First round of rain looks basically locked in . Yeah, have to see how that part trends today. 0z Euro still looks decent, but latest guidance suggests it would mostly impact coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Realistic rainfall amounts? Landscapers did a poor job reconfiguring draining off our house and until it’s fixed we have a basement to keep an eye on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 41 minutes ago, mappy said: Realistic rainfall amounts? Landscapers did a poor job reconfiguring draining off our house and until it’s fixed we have a basement to keep an eye on 1.-2.5” probably? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 1 hour ago, mappy said: Realistic rainfall amounts? Landscapers did a poor job reconfiguring draining off our house and until it’s fixed we have a basement to keep an eye on Do you have a good sump pump? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 39 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 1.-2.5” probably? Thank you! 17 minutes ago, Stormfly said: Do you have a good sump pump? We do, thankfully. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 No much mention here surprisingly about the storm just sitting over bath water again. Radar just off shore of looks rather ominous imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Feels like this one just is still so uncertain as far as actual impacts that its hard to really trust any one model. Especially when they differ by so much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 I'm talking precip. track is a lock mostly. Intensity might still be the biggest Q 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Circulation looks pretty good as it emerges into the Atlantic. Would not be surprised to see some reorganization. How much ? That’s the million dollar question. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowmadness Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 6z RGEM looks good for rain totals here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 WB 6Z EURO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 the claw returns 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 6z NAM for part 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 38 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: the claw returns Yep! Nina still active, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 13 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: Never doubt nina suppression...lol 11 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Yep! Nina still active, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VelociChicken Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 Is there much of a chance for winds >30mph? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 11 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: Never doubt nina suppression...lol Never doubt the claw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 What happened to my 6-7 inch totals? This feels like winter already where our digital snow gets taken away every time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 17 minutes ago, KAOS said: Never doubt the claw. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted September 29, 2022 Share Posted September 29, 2022 31 minutes ago, CAPE said: Sorry, sorry...I'm workin' on it, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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