Ottawa Blizzard Posted October 19, 2022 Share Posted October 19, 2022 6 hours ago, weatherbo said: Looks like a nice, warm weekend and with ground temps still above freezing, I have to think that most if not all the snow will melt. I'm hoping so. Not quite ready for the snow to stick around as I still have some Fall projects to wrap up. Over the Summer I converted my woodshed into a chx coop, so had to build another shed for the wood, and thankfully just finished getting it all split and stacked right before the storm. I wouldn't even be disappointed if winter snow held off another month. Storm total map. Appears the bullseye was up here in my neck of the woods. Snow has compacted quite a bit already. Last night when deeper forcing/moisture moved out, the temp actually warmed to 35 and even rained a bit before falling to 29 for the low. I have about a foot of dense snow otg. This sounds like a storm worthy of mention in an updated version of the book "So Cold a Sky: Upper Michigan Weather Stories". Great book, by the way, if you're able to find a copy. I got it through abe books. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 43 minutes ago, Ottawa Blizzard said: This sounds like a storm worthy of mention in an updated version of the book "So Cold a Sky: Upper Michigan Weather Stories". Great book, by the way, if you're able to find a copy. I got it through abe books. In 2016 I went to the Kaufman Auditorium in Marquette and saw the author, Karl Bohnak (who at the time was our longtime chief met here in the UP), do a live picture presentation of the book and actually got a signed copy....definitely a good read. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 I remember back in early June 89', I was driving home on leave from my base in NJ. Cruising I-80 across OHIO, ran into svr stms. CB was lit with chatter from the rigs. They were having a hard time keeping them on the road. Either straight line winds, or possibly a nearby tornado, not sure as it was in the middle of the night. Wind hit the car (Ford Maverick), and pushed me into the shoulder almost instantly. Heavy rain, very humid. Decided to head up through MI, and take the scenic way home. Crossed the Mackinaw Bridge very early (around sunrise), after a 3 hr nap, as I had been driving for a quite a few hours already. Loved that, but a little creepy up that high. Needed gas, so stopped in a little town somewhere on the other side. Was in shorts and T-shirt when I stepped out to gas up. WOW, 45 feels rather brisk after hot, humid just a few hours earlier. Was already that way in NJ, too. But the smell, and look of home there was awesome. And the sky looked much closer to the ground, and was so clear, and crisp looking. After funky air at sea level for many months, this was great. Still a few more hours to home though. I shivered most nights partying with friends, as I was accustomed to the hot, humid weather already. Took leave late Dec 90', and I drove home in an Olds (model escapes me). Coming across PA on I-80, doing 55, I saw the traffic halted at the bottom of the big hill I was on. Started to put on the brakes, when the car started to slide. BLACK ICE. OH SHIT OH SHIT!! My heart started pounding. I'm racing towards the backend of a semi. Gently tapping brakes, and moving over to the right lane slowly, as there was another rig length of distance. Just barely was able to make it to the right shoulder, and get a grip on the snow. Heart, in my throat, I slowly moved ahead, and got in line. But when we were able to start moving, I just slid over into the left lane, then that shoulder, were I could get a grip again. Until we got to the sanded area, it was very slow going. After that, all good the rest of the way past Chicago, then northward. The night the Desert Storm op started, was at the hunting shack with my dad drinking, and having venison steaks. Heard it over the radio. Never got orders to go there, so felt rather fortunate. But was really nervous about it, and so were my parents. Air war did the job, tho. I-80 is tough man LOL 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 It's official. The first freeze of the season has happened tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 weekend for the ages coming up, beautiful warm temps, great fall colors, don't blow it & soak it up friends 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 47 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: weekend for the ages coming up, beautiful warm temps, great fall colors, don't blow it & soak it up friends Absolutely. Colors are really exploding here. I bought the new iPhone 14 pro, which lets you shoot 48mp in proraw, I’m hitting the park this weekend with my AirPods. Always a peaceful and relaxing time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 let it ride Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 20, 2022 Author Share Posted October 20, 2022 Maybe we can get some good fires this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 18 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Maybe we can get some good fires this weekend. If you expand that out to the entire US, it looks pretty dry nearly coast to coast across the south with no drought in the Mid Atlantic and Northeast. Hopefully that isn't a harbinger of things to come this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 What a difference a week makes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 20, 2022 Author Share Posted October 20, 2022 18 minutes ago, WestMichigan said: If you expand that out to the entire US, it looks pretty dry nearly coast to coast across the south with no drought in the Mid Atlantic and Northeast. Hopefully that isn't a harbinger of things to come this winter. 82% of the CONUS is D0 or worse, so yeah, pretty dry. 2020-21 was a pretty dry winter in the region for a Nina winter. Last winter had more of the classical look that you see on Nina composites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 3 hours ago, Hoosier said: Maybe we can get some good fires this weekend. only guy on the board that drought and fire chases. Sicko. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 20, 2022 Author Share Posted October 20, 2022 You work with what you're given. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 25 minutes ago, Baum said: only guy on the board that drought and fire chases. Sicko. i enjoy drought when it could potentially lead to hotter temps (late spring/summer/early fall). drought at this time of year does nothing for me though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 First trace of snow of the season today. The wet snow left 0.02" liquid, bringing the monthly total to just 0.26". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 Nice rebound from 25 early this morning to 65 this afternoon. Felt pretty warm after the cold stretch. MLI made it all the way to 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 24 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: First trace of snow of the season today. The wet snow left 0.02" liquid, bringing the monthly total to just 0.26". Looks like you caught a ghoul hitchhiking in that pic lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 20, 2022 Share Posted October 20, 2022 1 hour ago, cyclone77 said: Looks like you caught a ghoul hitchhiking in that pic lol Yes lol. My neighbors Halloween decoration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 21, 2022 Author Share Posted October 21, 2022 May be within a couple degrees of record highs on Sat out in the western sub Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted October 21, 2022 Share Posted October 21, 2022 really going to enjoy the next three days. Guessing last prolonged warm spell until December. Might even take down the Christmas lights. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted October 21, 2022 Share Posted October 21, 2022 22 hours ago, Hoosier said: Maybe we can get some good fires this weekend. Yesterday's drought monitor (valid 10/18) shows the least amount of the U.S. not in some drought designation (D0-D4) since they've been producing the drought monitor (back to 1/4/2000). Only 17.77% of the U.S. was not in one of the drought categories. The previous record was 18.22% the prior week (10/11/2022). Third place is 7/17/2012, when only 19.24% was not designated in a drought category. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 21, 2022 Share Posted October 21, 2022 23 hours ago, Hoosier said: Maybe we can get some good fires this weekend. Well, that escalated quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted October 21, 2022 Share Posted October 21, 2022 Very nice. 60's for the next 4 days, then rain/stms over to more average temps next week. Feels rather warm after that strong cold shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 21, 2022 Share Posted October 21, 2022 Today, the first warm day, was expected to reach the upper 70s, but Cedar Rapids has made it to 83º. Three mornings ago CR had a record low of 16º. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 21, 2022 Author Share Posted October 21, 2022 8 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: Today, the first warm day, was expected to reach the upper 70s, but Cedar Rapids has made it to 83º. Three mornings ago CR had a record low of 16º. Some 80 degree readings into western IL, which is even a little warmer than the warm guidance like the HRRR. These early/late season airmasses seem to have a way of overperforming, especially when it's dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 21, 2022 Share Posted October 21, 2022 1 minute ago, Hoosier said: Some 80 degree readings into western IL, which is even a little warmer than the warm guidance like the HRRR. These early/late season airmasses seem to have a way of overperforming, especially when it's dry. The Euro often under-forecasts highs on strong warm advection days, but this morning's run (74º) was way off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 21, 2022 Author Share Posted October 21, 2022 Will be interesting to see if ORD can reach 80 tomorrow. It should be close either way. Only 15 out of 150 years on record have had an 80+ degree reading occur after Oct 20, with the last one in 2007. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 21, 2022 Share Posted October 21, 2022 Coat in the morning, shorts in the afternoon. MLI started the day at 35 with scattered frost, and made it to 81 this afternoon. Our low for Mon morning is forecast at 64 degrees. Our high last Monday was 42 degrees. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 22, 2022 Share Posted October 22, 2022 4 hours ago, Hoosier said: Some 80 degree readings into western IL, which is even a little warmer than the warm guidance like the HRRR. These early/late season airmasses seem to have a way of overperforming, especially when it's dry. As dry as it is, forecasters would be wise to lean toward the higher end of guidance for highs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted October 22, 2022 Share Posted October 22, 2022 I'm going to my cousin's wedding tomorrow. It's an outdoor ceremony and all year we were preparing to need coats and/or raingear. They picked one heckuva weekend. Love, temps in the 70's and an open bar. What more can you ask for? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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