jm1220 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Just now, MANDA said: Looks like Englewood, Murdock, Port Charlotte, Punta Gorda and Lake Suzy are primed to get into the western and NW eye wall over next 30-90 minutes. Going to be bad. Fort Myers area in prime surge area they are getting lambasted by onshore flow and will continue to be for a while longer. Surge still rising there. They’re in for huge surge in Ft Myers for hours still. When the eye passes, wind will turn west which is still right into the bay. And that’s when the big surge into Charlotte Harbor will start (not as bad as Ft Myers/Cape Coral). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
biodhokie Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 1 minute ago, floridapirate said: I dont know why reporters think we need to see them standing in 100 MPH winds. Its just plain stupid. One: Ratings and Two: People don't react to colors on a screen, they react to actual conditions. James Spann is of this train of thought, people don't react to radar. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Based on radar at 3:00 center of the eye looks to be right over northern end of Pine Island - near Pineland / Bokeelia on the northern end of the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
floridapirate Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 1 minute ago, biodhokie said: One: Ratings and Two: People don't react to colors on a screen, they react to actual conditions. James Spann is of this train of thought, people don't react to radar. I agree with #1. As for #2, by the time people react to pictures on a TV, its far too late. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 000WTNT64 KNHC 281901TCUAT4Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone UpdateNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022300 PM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022...IAN ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA......CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE, WINDS, AND FLOODING INTHE FLORIDA PENINSULA ONGOING...A Weatherflow station at Tarpin point in Cape Coral reported sustained winds of 77 mph (124 km/h) with a gust up to 118 mph (190 km/h). A River, Estuary, and Coastal Network station at Redfish Pass, Florida, recently reported a pressure of 942 mb (27.81 inches).SUMMARY OF 300 PM EDT...1900 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...26.6N 82.2WABOUT 20 MI...30 KM W OF FT MYERS FLORIDAABOUT 20 MI...30 KM W OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES$$Forecaster Blake/Beven/Papin. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 1 minute ago, MANDA said: Based on radar at 3:00 center of the eye looks to be right over northern end of Pine Island - near Pineland / Bokeelia on the northern end of the island. I know someone on pine island, lives right on a canal. No idea why they are there still, setting up a Skylink in the eye. Not too bad so far, so they say, but that's because they are on the north end of the island and the surge is not on for them yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, NavarreDon said: 000 WTNT64 KNHC 281901 TCUAT4 Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 300 PM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022 ...IAN ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA... ...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE, WINDS, AND FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ONGOING... A Weatherflow station at Tarpin point in Cape Coral reported sustained winds of 77 mph (124 km/h) with a gust up to 118 mph (190 km/h). A River, Estuary, and Coastal Network station at Redfish Pass, Florida, recently reported a pressure of 942 mb (27.81 inches). SUMMARY OF 300 PM EDT...1900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.6N 82.2W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM W OF FT MYERS FLORIDA ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM W OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES $$ Forecaster Blake/Beven/Papin . Think TPC has a typo there. It can't be 20 miles west of both those locations. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Extreme Wind Warning. Damn. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 000WTNT64 KNHC 281910TCUAT4Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone UpdateNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022310 PM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE IAN MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...NOAA Doppler radar imagery indicates that the eye of Ian made landfall along the southwestern coast of Florida near Cayo Costa around 305 PM EDT (1905 UTC). Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that Ian's maximum sustained winds were estimated to be near 150 mph (240 km/h). The latest minimum central pressure estimated from reconnaissance data is 940 mb (27.75 inches).SUMMARY OF 310 PM EDT...1910 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...26.7N 82.2WABOUT 20 MI...30 KM WNW OF FT MYERS FLORIDAABOUT 20 MI...30 KM WSW OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.75 INCHES$$Forecaster Blake/Papin/Beven/Stevenson. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 150mph 940mb now. Don't think we saw a cat 5 landfall but it was real close 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 TPC should be declaring landfall shortly - happening now over Pine Island and shortly should be crossing onto mainland near Charlotte / Lee County border near Charlotte Harbor Preserve State Park. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Just now, MANDA said: TPC should be declaring landfall shortly - happening now over Pine Island and shortly should be crossing onto mainland near Charlotte / Lee County border near Charlotte Harbor Preserve State Park. Cayo Costa 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said: 150mph 940mb now. Don't think we saw a cat 5 landfall but it was real close Extremely close. They may upgrade that pre-landfall period on reanalysis, but it looked to me that Ian got right up to the line and maybe pulled back a bit based on the recon observations. No difference for the landfall zone, though. The damage there will be catastrophic. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Cantore is taking an absolute beating in Punta Gorda. Some of the highest live tv wind I have ever seen. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Extremely close. They may upgrade that pre-landfall period on reanalysis, but it looked to me that Ian got right up to the line and maybe pulled back a bit based on the recon observations. No difference for the landfall zone, though. The damage there will be catastrophic. Definitely. Impacts are the same whether it was cat 4 or 5. Absolutely devastating 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Just now, MattPetrulli said: Cantore is taking an absolute beating in Punta Gorda. Some of the highest live tv wind I have ever seen. I was just about to post. One of the wildest live shots I’ve ever seen. They had to call him in lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: Cantore is taking an absolute beating in Punta Gorda. Some of the highest live tv wind I have ever seen. He about got taken out by a big tree branch. Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hotair Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 The combination of 150 mph winds, storm surge and the fact Ian is taking it’s sweet time sightseeing at 9 mph means the people along the track will be sitting in 5+ hours of hurricane strength winds. Loss of life is unfortunately a high possibility with this one, especially given the older population and stubbornness against evacuation. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 KPGD 281921Z AUTO 09067G94KT 1/4SM +RA FG 24/24 RMK AO2 PK WND 08095/1910 LTG DSNT NE AND E RAB1812B1836B1849B1854B03B07 TSB1802E1847E09 P0056 T02390239 $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Ft Myers/Cape Coral getting into the SE eyewall. May start to see some real surge into actual Ft Myers now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 I can't get over the idiots playing in the surge in Fort Myers Beach around midday...wow. Anyone have a good RAD shot at point of landfall? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Looks like the equipment outside is gone as we're still getting pressure readings from the console inside. I was posting that data earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geddyweather Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Fort Myers GoM Tidal Gauge starting to really climb now with storm surge. This is located well behind the barrier islands in downtown, just northeast of the Caloosahatchee Bridge. https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=tbw&gage=fmrf1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 G108KT at Punta Gorda. KPGD 281935Z AUTO 10065G108KT 1/2SM RA FG OVC011 24/24 RMK AO2 PK WND 100108/1927 RAB1812B1836B1849B1854B03B07 TSB1802E1847E09 P0064 T02390239 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Looks like a storm weakening over land and not at all due to wind shear. I'm guessing the stationary front over NE FL has something to do with it's shear resistance since it's an unusual feature. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Is it correct that the surge for Punta Gorda is still inbound once the winds shift with the other side of the eye wall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sojitodd Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 4 minutes ago, geddyweather said: Fort Myers GoM Tidal Gauge starting to really climb now with storm surge. This is located well behind the barrier islands in downtown, just northeast of the Caloosahatchee Bridge. https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=tbw&gage=fmrf1 And that was nearly 45 minutes ago and way upstream from most of Cape Coral. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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