Modfan2 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 4 minutes ago, Weather Mike said: The latest Euro, CMC and GFS looked like it came a little North. Looking on radar like it’s heading to Venice/Bradenton area 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He looks pretty good. Considering what it was last night, I’m surprised it made it to cat 4. Figured it would be steady state. Completely agree. That is what I expected, though I knew this was possible. Yikes. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Holy cold tops 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Unreal intensification going on right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Wow does Ian make a run at Cat 5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazy4Wx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Unreal intensification going on right nowGoing to make a run at Cat 5. Might run out of time. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Several instantaneous winds measured in the 130s and 140s in both north and south eyewall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazy4Wx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 At this angle of approach, Ft. Myers’s to Port Charlotte would get hammered with surge and Tampa Bay might get the western eye wall. Doesn’t look good for Tampa Bay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Never seen such violent motion with convection on infrared loops before. Wild ass hurricane man. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 13 minutes ago, Nibor said: Holy cold tops Clover leaf appearance in the eye. Meso vortices gonna meso vortices 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Lot of lightning all over the eyewall in the last hour. Truly a stunning scene on satellite and radar. We’re on a terrible run right now of Gulf storms intensifying before landfall. Prayers for SW Florida. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Radar showing the eye close to closing off at least temporarily anyways. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Great point here by Brian. Though Ian's intensity and track leading up to landfall is very similar to Charley, Ian is much larger than Charley! This will lead to a higher storm surge and much larger area impacted by destructive storm surge and winds. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazy4Wx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 High end Cat 4. Closing in on Cat 5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 1 minute ago, jconsor said: Great point here by Brian. Though Ian's intensity and track leading up to landfall is very similar to Charley, Ian is much larger than Charley! This will lead to a higher storm surge and much larger area impacted by destructive storm surge and winds. My family road through Charley in 2004 in Punta Gorda (when they thought it was going to Tampa), they actually were able to go out in the eye... they were spared the storm surge that some feared. I'm very very concerned this time for the region. No longer have family ties to the area, but it's a beautiful place up and down that coast. I really hope people are prepared for this... Ian looks like it will be the new storm that sets the bar for this region, and Charley was already devestating. Prayers to everyone in SWFL. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Lot of lightning all over the eyewall in the last hour. Truly a stunning scene on satellite and radar. We’re on a terrible run right now of Gulf storms intensifying before landfall. Prayers for SW Florida. Water temps in the high 80s will do that. It’s a new era. Allot of the it’s Florida we know hurricanes crowd is in for a big surprise . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 1 minute ago, Crazy4Wx said: High end Cat 4. Closing in on Cat 5 . I pulled it and thought it was current but according to the time that would of been like 4:57am….unless I’m going stir crazy. I deleted the post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Looks like the eye may have closed off, even if only temporarily. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Water temps in the high 80s will do that. It’s a new era. Allot of the it’s Florida we know hurricanes crowd is in for a big surprise . The temps are 85. The same they were in 1985. Please stay on topic. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Oh 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Well…..blending the Flight Level and SFMR data this yields surface winds of 155mph 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Yeah... not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 137 kts SFMR in the west quad ("weak" side)..... major yikes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 At a loss for words. 101130 2551N 08312W 7509 02191 9665 +146 +137 013124 129 120 052 00 101200 2551N 08310W 7516 02153 9628 +144 +138 015135 139 126 044 00 101230 2551N 08309W 7521 02107 9592 +147 +142 016136 140 133 046 00 101300 2551N 08307W 7518 02082 9557 +151 +145 022148 160 137 042 00 101330 2551N 08306W 7558 02024 9534 +155 +149 022150 158 137 042 00 101400 2551N 08304W 7573 01993 9516 +160 +155 026143 149 134 037 00 101430 2550N 08303W 7553 02000 9493 +166 +153 027133 143 134 031 00 101500 2550N 08301W 7516 01999 9461 +175 +156 028111 130 131 027 00 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazy4Wx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 137 kts SFMR in the west quad ("weak" side)..... major yikes.Cat 5, and still strengthening . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Just now, Superstorm93 said: At a loss for words. 101130 2551N 08312W 7509 02191 9665 +146 +137 013124 129 120 052 00 101200 2551N 08310W 7516 02153 9628 +144 +138 015135 139 126 044 00 101230 2551N 08309W 7521 02107 9592 +147 +142 016136 140 133 046 00 101300 2551N 08307W 7518 02082 9557 +151 +145 022148 160 137 042 00 101330 2551N 08306W 7558 02024 9534 +155 +149 022150 158 137 042 00 101400 2551N 08304W 7573 01993 9516 +160 +155 026143 149 134 037 00 101430 2550N 08303W 7553 02000 9493 +166 +153 027133 143 134 031 00 101500 2550N 08301W 7516 01999 9461 +175 +156 028111 130 131 027 00 Unbelievable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 We starting to get close to the time where minor jogs will depend who gets the SE eyewall. Looking at Sanibel and Cape Coral in particular. Regardless though, Ian has a large core and it going to effect a large area of populated real estate. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 The other plane just found 130 kts flight level, 111 kts SFMR on the "strong" east side, so the west side is stronger at the moment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazy4Wx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 We starting to get close to the time where minor jogs will depend who gets the SE eyewall. Looking at Sanibel and Cape Coral in particular. Regardless though, Ian has a large core and it going to effect a large area of populated real estate.On current trajectory it would be more like Venice to Bradenton. Tampa Bay gets Western eye (which is bad with 155 mph winds) and Port Charlotte gets surge.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now