Radtechwxman Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Prolific lightning right now in west to sw eyewall. One of the craziest I seen 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Normandy Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 I am guessing by the flight pattern recon wants to taste that new convective burst. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 I'm not sure why there are comments on the radar appearance. Looks to me like Ian is about to close off its eye again and the band heading north east looks formidable. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Not sure what recons doing. Flying north against the wind. That's not the way back to the eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AnthonyEC Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, Nibor said: I'm not sure why there are comments on the radar appearance. Looks to me like Ian is about to close off its eye again and the band heading north east looks formidable. Is it just me or is it heading just west of north? It has been a long day and I may be seeing things. may be just directly north over the entire radar presentation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Big eye starting to pop out on visible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Definitely in beast mode now. IR is going to take a while to catch up to radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, Nibor said: I'm not sure why there are comments on the radar appearance. Looks to me like Ian is about to close off its eye again and the band heading north east looks formidable. My comment is based on the dry slot just east of the inner core, the lack of anything on the backside, and the restricted outflow on satellite. I am by no means saying Ian is weakening, but these are all signs of the storm having peaked or being near peak. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 4 minutes ago, Nibor said: I'm not sure why there are comments on the radar appearance. Looks to me like Ian is about to close off its eye again and the band heading north east looks formidable. This is one of the healthiest looking eyewalls I have seen on Radar in quite some time. In fact, this may rank up there as one of the better ones I have seen on radar period. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Just now, AnthonyEC said: Is it just me or is it heading just west of north? It has been a long day and I may be seeing things. may be just directly north over the entire radar presentation. Its wobbling back and forth, which TC's typically do as their tracks are not smooth 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Recon is departing and heading home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Looks like not only is the eye clearing but there are what appears to be mesovortices rotating around inside the center which is giving that ragged appearance on IR. It almost appears like the eye might be a pinwheel eye 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 I agree its questionable whether the winds will ramp up much, but I don't think it really matters, unfortunately. That surge is going to be devastating. The wobble north may be good news for Fort Myers, anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Gusting 40-60 mph here as spiral band moves in… Aqua green/blue flashes of transformers exploding in the distance. 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I agree its questionable whether the winds will ramp up much, but I don't think it really matters, unfortunately. That surge is going to be devastating. The wobble north may be good news for Fort Myers, anyway. The winds definitely ramped up based on radar presentation. Probably can confirm higher velocities on radar scope compared to 2 hrs ago. Clearly making a run at cat4 with a large eye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 18 minutes ago, AnthonyEC said: Is it just me or is it heading just west of north? It has been a long day and I may be seeing things. may be just directly north over the entire radar presentation. The 1AM NHC position actually ticked west by 0.1 vs the prior updates. After being at 83.0 at 9PM, it was at 82.9 10 PM-12:30 AM and then the 1AM had it back at 83.0. So, no eastward component of motion each of the last 3 hours and no net east component of motion in four hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 CDO keeps rebounding rounder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MNstorms Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Gnarly cell coming out of the radar site. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 BULLETIN Hurricane Ian Intermediate Advisory Number 21A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 200 AM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022 ...IAN MOVING CLOSER TO THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA... ...EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS AND FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.2N 83.0W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SW OF NAPLES FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.14 INCHES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Is it just me or did the euro just initialize a full degree south and 8mb weaker than current position and strength? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 IR appearance has rapidly improved in the last 30 mins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 2AM NHC is at 83.0 W again. So, no net east move in longitude in 5 hours as it was at 83.0 at 9PM. May be pretty meaningless due to wobbling and thus may make up for this over the next few hours, but I still find it interesting. It has moved only at about 7 mph the last 3 hours fwiw. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 30 minutes ago, shaggy said: Is it just me or did the euro just initialize a full degree south and 8mb weaker than current position and strength? The Euro initialized at 8PM (0Z) near the right latitude (just south of Key West's latitude) but at 18 mb weaker than actual strength at 8PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 7 minutes ago, Nibor said: Channeling Charley 2004...but much larger. 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 29 minutes ago, Floydbuster said: Channeling Charley 2004...but much larger. A good analog would be Katrina/Camille both took very similar tracks and had some different impacts due to the size difference. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxSynopsisDavid Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Eye has contracted and is tightening up. Deep convection firing in the N/NE eyewall right now. At 2:00am the eye was over 30mi wide. Now at 3:25am the eye is about 22-23mi wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 1 minute ago, WxSynopsisDavid said: Eye has contracted and is tightening up. Deep convection firing in the N/NE eyewall right now. At 2:00am the eye was over 30mi wide. Now at 3:25am the eye is about 22-23mi wide. Bound to have been some RI due to conservation of angular momentum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted September 28, 2022 Share Posted September 28, 2022 Latest NHC update is about how tropical storm force winds are now reaching both SE and SW Florida, and indeed that is the case here. We just got a spiral band and winds were gusting to tropical storm force, especially right before the band hit, followed by absolutely torrential rain. Whiteout conditions like a blizzard. Also notably, Ian is back to moving NorthEast. It was apparent on radar but NHC confirmed it. Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 300 AM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022 ...3 AM EDT HURRICANE IAN POSITION UPDATE... ...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS REACHING THE COASTS OF SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA... Near the southeastern coast of Florida, a WeatherFlow station at Biscayne Bay Light recently measured a sustained wind of 39 mph (63 km/h) and a wind gust to 60 mph (96 km/h). On the southwestern coast of Florida, a WeatherFlow station near Sanibel Island recently measured a sustained wind of 35 mph (56 km/h) and a wind gust to 47 mph (76 km/h). SUMMARY OF 300 AM EDT...0700 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.3N 82.9W ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SW OF NAPLES FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB...28.14 INCHES 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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