wncsnow Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, GaWx said: Weird. That means that the LLC turned sharply left and moved ~25 mph since 2 hours ago, when it was near the 41004 buoy 50 miles away! It did turn left sharply. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Josh just said he found the center inland near Awendaw on Twitter. 985mb currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Any info on how things are on Hilton Head Island? Got some family there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Josh just said he found the center inland near Awendaw on Twitter. 985mb currently A later tweet by him has a new center reading of 983 mb. As Dr. Knabb pointed out, the wind direction at Georgetown would shift upon the actual landfall. We’ll wait for the NHC’s verdict. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 5 ft storm surge verified for the Myrtle Beach area: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Just now, gymengineer said: A later tweet by him has a new center reading of 983 mb. As Dr. Knabb pointed out, the wind direction at Georgetown would shift upon the actual landfall. We’ll wait for the NHC’s verdict. With the shape of SC coast, it won’t shift to E until it’s somewhat inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 23 minutes ago, wncsnow said: It did turn left sharply. 15 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Josh just said he found the center inland on Twitter If the main center really came inland like Dr. Knabb said, just SW of McClellanville, which is ~25 miles SW of Georgetown, why are the winds at Georgetown still strong from the north? A low to its SW would be giving G'town SE to E winds, not N winds. Also, the SLP is still falling rapidly there at 29.10" as of 1:35 PM. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.php?sid=kgge 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Watching some chasers in Charleston trying to help some stalled cars and there is surge going on. They are near the Savannah Highway/bridge and water is coming up out of the man holes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamblinRed Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 21 confirmed deaths in FL so far (no official deaths in yet from Lee County). Keep in mind that Lee County is by far the largest of the counties mentioned with close to 800,000 residents. Charlotte County is around 200,000. Polk is around 700,000, though it is inland. Collier County about 400,000. As of Friday morning, there were 12 deaths in Charlotte County believed to be tied with the hurricane; eight in Collier County and one in Polk County, according to state officials. Officials, however, did not speculate the possible number of fatalities in badly-hit Lee County, The state, aided by federal and local responders, has performed more than 700 rescues thus far and made contact with 3,000 people who sheltered in place throughout the massive storm In one particularly grim incident, a rescue diver in an unspecified county encountered a home with water over its rooftop. Inside, there appeared to be “human remains” but officials won’t be able to confirm anything until the flood waters reside, Florida Division of Emergency Management Director Kevin Guthrie said Friday. One of the state’s top priorities as of Friday is working with federal and local officials to repair the water main break in Lee County, DeSantis said. The water main damage means that no water is currently getting to the county and its 750,000-plus residents. Hardee County is almost completely powerless while Charlotte and Lee counties are facing outages of roughly 85 percent. About 80 percent of customers are without power in DeSoto County while Sarasota, Collier and Manatee counties have about 50 percent of their electricity in operation. Schools in Lee, Charlotte and Collier counties could be closed even longer. Officials in Lee County are even unable to update the school district website due to outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
floridapirate Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 55 minutes ago, Hoosier said: I think it's a stretch to suggest there are no tropical characteristics remaining whatsoever. If that were the case, I don't think it would weaken over land as quickly as what's being progged. Does it matter if it has tropical characteristics? If it has hurricane winds, its a hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamblinRed Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 According to NHC not quite on land yet. BULLETIN Hurricane Ian Intermediate Advisory Number 32A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 200 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022 ...THE CENTER OF IAN IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING WINDS AND FLASH FLOODING LASHING THE CAROLINAS... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.2N 79.1W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM ENE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 0 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Savannah River to Cape Fear North Carolina * Neuse River North Carolina * St. Johns River Florida A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Savannah River to Cape Fear North Carolina A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Altamaha Sound Georgia to Savannah River * Cape Fear to Duck North Carolina * Pamlico Sound A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * North of Cape Fear to Duck North Carolina * Pamlico River * Cape Fear River A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * East of Cape Fear to Surf City North Carolina A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ian was located near latitude 33.2 North, longitude 79.1 West. Ian is moving toward the north near 15 mph (24 km/h). Ian is forecast to turn toward the north-northwest by tonight and will move inland across eastern South Carolina and central North Carolina tonight and Saturday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Ian should weaken rapidly after landfall soon and transition into a post-tropical cyclone overnight. Ian should dissipate over western North Carolina or Virginia late Saturday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km). A WeatherFlow station at Morris Island Lighthouse recently reported sustained winds of 75 mph (120 km/h) with a gust to 82 mph (131 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches) based on Air Force dropsonde data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Winds are now strong from the NW at Georgetown with SLP falling even more rapidly. It doesn't jibe with what Josh and Dr Knabb said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 20 minutes ago, GaWx said: If the main center really came inland like Dr. Knabb said, just SW of McClellanville, which is ~25 miles SW of Georgetown, why are the winds at Georgetown still strong from the north? A low to its SW would be giving G'town SE to E winds, not N winds. Also, the SLP is still falling rapidly there at 29.10" as of 1:35 PM. https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.php?sid=kgge That’s a break for Georgetown then. Their high tide was at 1pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 1 minute ago, RamblinRed said: According to NHC not quite on land yet. BULLETIN Hurricane Ian Intermediate Advisory Number 32A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 200 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2022 ...THE CENTER OF IAN IS ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL... ...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING WINDS AND FLASH FLOODING LASHING THE CAROLINAS... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.2N 79.1W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM ENE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 0 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for... * Savannah River to Cape Fear North Carolina * Neuse River North Carolina * St. Johns River Florida A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Savannah River to Cape Fear North Carolina A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Altamaha Sound Georgia to Savannah River * Cape Fear to Duck North Carolina * Pamlico Sound A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * North of Cape Fear to Duck North Carolina * Pamlico River * Cape Fear River A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * East of Cape Fear to Surf City North Carolina A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ian was located near latitude 33.2 North, longitude 79.1 West. Ian is moving toward the north near 15 mph (24 km/h). Ian is forecast to turn toward the north-northwest by tonight and will move inland across eastern South Carolina and central North Carolina tonight and Saturday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Ian should weaken rapidly after landfall soon and transition into a post-tropical cyclone overnight. Ian should dissipate over western North Carolina or Virginia late Saturday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km). A WeatherFlow station at Morris Island Lighthouse recently reported sustained winds of 75 mph (120 km/h) with a gust to 82 mph (131 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 977 mb (28.85 inches) based on Air Force dropsonde data. 977 so now a Cat 2 mb gauge wise. That was called impossible yesterday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 1 minute ago, GaWx said: Winds are now strong from the NW at Georgetown with SLP falling even more rapidly. It doesn't jibe with what Josh and Dr Knabb said. I didn’t hear Dr. Knabb say what the poster claimed he said and I’ve had the channel on nonstop. He was saying landfall could be any moment, not that Ian had made landfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 977 so now a Cat 2 mb gauge wise. That was called impossible yesterday. That’s because it’s not purely tropical. This is no where near a cat 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 1 minute ago, gymengineer said: I didn’t hear Dr. Knabb say what the poster claimed he said and I’ve had the channel on nonstop. He was saying landfall could be any moment, not that Ian had made landfall. He walked it back after the initial comment when the host asked him if it had made landfall and he said yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 1 minute ago, gymengineer said: I didn’t hear Dr. Knabb say what the poster claimed he said and I’ve had the channel on nonstop. He was saying landfall could be any moment, not that Ian had made landfall. Thanks for the clarification. And now the NHC just said that it is hours from landfall. Makes much more sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 6 minutes ago, GaWx said: Thanks for the clarification. And now the NHC just said that it is hours from landfall. Makes much more sense. Can you post where they say hours? I see where they say it is about to make landfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Winds are from the E at Myrtle Beach so the center must be close by. Maybe in between Georgetown and there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 At first thought winds were unimpressive vs yesterday with the wind field. However, a lot of damage reports are coming in and North Charleston is sustained at 51 gusting to 68. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 NHC just called it. Georgetown sc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 10 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: That’s because it’s not purely tropical. This is no where near a cat 2. Using mb to gauge it is now a low end Cat 2. I agree that officially it will not be called that but it is a mid to high end Cat 1 by any gauge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattPetrulli Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said: At first thought winds were unimpressive vs yesterday with the wind field. However, a lot of damage reports are coming in and North Charleston is sustained at 51 gusting to 68. Just saw this too A WeatherFlow station at Morris Island Lighthouse recently reported sustained winds of 75 mph (120 km/h) with a gust to 82 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 25 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: NHC just called it. Georgetown sc Georgetown makes much more sense as opposed to McClellanville. I did misquote the NHC's 2 PM update in my prior post saying hours til landfall when it had not quite made landfall. Apologies for that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 18 minutes ago, gymengineer said: I didn’t hear Dr. Knabb say what the poster claimed he said and I’ve had the channel on nonstop. He was saying landfall could be any moment, not that Ian had made landfall. because it hadn't made landfall until just now. near Georgetown. People need to be careful what they're posting. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Getting numerous gusts over hurricane force in South Carolina now 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 Serious surge flooding in ocean isle North Carolina right now. A buddy’s ring cam had water halfway up their first story door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted September 30, 2022 Share Posted September 30, 2022 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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