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Hurricane Ian


Scott747
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8 minutes ago, Chambana said:

Pine Island will be inhabitable.. Punta Gorda getting absolutely destroyed. 

Punta Gorda was destroyed by Charley in 2004.  It is all brand new construction to latest building codes but seems it’s now under water.  It’s gonna take a lot of flood insurance money to get those residents rebuilding yet again 

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Not too surprising the western side was strongest. Even since the weekend the models indicated the strongest winds were going to be on the west side. Obviously something that may helped too is the eye was so big that while the eastern eye wall was moving onshore the system was able to remain steady-state (or slightly intensify) as it was able to continue feeding in warm/moist air. 

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14 minutes ago, Chambana said:

Pine Island will be inhabitable.. Punta Gorda getting absolutely destroyed. 

Access will be an issue but per the person I know on pine right now, their images don't show anything like the devastation elsewhere. They benefited from missing the storm surge further south and then by the time the western eyewall passed through, it was weaker with the worst winds further north. The guy is an idiot for staying there, but from what I saw so far, if there's a lucky way to be bullseyed by a hurricane, then that's it. Much better than being on the northern end of the eye or in the storm surge peak.

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2 minutes ago, Hotair said:

Punta Gorda was destroyed by Charley in 2004.  It is all brand new construction to latest building codes but seems it’s now under water.  It’s gonna take a lot of flood insurance money to get those residents rebuilding yet again 

Having to do it once is bad enough but twice you have to be a special kind of person.  I personally could not imagine it.  Having lived through Sandy up here was bad enough and that was nothing compared to this in my area away from the shore.  Just froze in the dark for 9 days and I was about ready to lose my mind.

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Hurricane Ian Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092022
700 PM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022

...7 PM EDT HURRICANE IAN POSITION UPDATE...
...IAN BATTERING THE FLORIDA PENINSULA WITH CATASTROPHIC STORM 
SURGE, WINDS, AND FLOODING...

A NOAA National Ocean Service station near Ft. Myers recently 
reported a water level greater than 7 ft (2.1 m) Mean Higher High 
Water (MHHW).  

A University of Florida Coastal Monitoring Program wind tower 
recently reported sustained winds of 64 mph (103 km/h) with a wind 
gust of 104 mph (167 km/h).

A private weather station near Port Charlotte reported a sustained 
wind of 115 mph (185 km/h) with a wind gust of 132 mph (212 km/h) 
as Ian made landfall on the mainland Florida peninsula a little 
more than 2 hours ago.
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24 minutes ago, Hotair said:

Punta Gorda was destroyed by Charley in 2004.  It is all brand new construction to latest building codes but seems it’s now under water.  It’s gonna take a lot of flood insurance money to get those residents rebuilding yet again 

I don't see any evidence of Punta Gorda underwater based on live video throughout the event.  The winds have not aligned to push water up Charlotte Harbor.

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1 minute ago, bobbutts said:

I don't see any evidence of Punta Gorda underwater based on live video throughout the event.  The winds have not aligned to push water up Charlotte Harbor.

Charlotte Harbor lucked out. Maybe the eastern shore got hit with surge as the eye pulled away but the big surge looks to be from Naples up to Sanibel. The major impact for Punta Gorda was wind, and I’m sure they got rocked. I wonder if it was worse than Charley. Probably lasted longer. 

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11 minutes ago, bobbutts said:

I don't see any evidence of Punta Gorda underwater based on live video throughout the event.  The winds have not aligned to push water up Charlotte Harbor.

You are correct. I shouldn’t have said underwater.  They’ve been crushed with high winds but the storm surge is not what fort Myers is experiencing 

 

edit:  this is the video I had based my statement on.  It claimed to be from punta gorda 

https://twitter.com/YaCelacanto/status/1575247806889136143?s=20&t=10p9wRsEoX2GAPuBpEq5IQ

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6 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Charlotte Harbor lucked out. Maybe the eastern shore got hit with surge as the eye pulled away but the big surge looks to be from Naples up to Sanibel. The major impact for Punta Gorda was wind, and I’m sure they got rocked. I wonder if it was worse than Charley. Probably lasted longer. 

They did luck out as far as surge.  As "JM 1220" said the wind never aligned to push water up into the Harbor / Bay.  So surge for that area was on the manageable side.  Wind on the other hand was unrelenting as they were in the eye wall (NW eye wall especially) for a prolonged period.  Like you said worse surge was from Boca Grande, Captiva, Sanibel on south to Fort Myers and Naples area.  Big surge there.

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1 hour ago, jbenedet said:

Really curious to know what’s going on in Tampa Bay Area right now. Have to imagine some severe coastal flooding all along the e south sections of the bay with the persistent northerly fetch.

 

1 hour ago, jbenedet said:

I believe the biggest story will be rainfall. But the Tampa Bay Area is going to be right on the cut off for the heaviest. South/east sections get hit hard, north/west not bad at all.

Primary impacts will likely be downed trees and power outages.  50K offline so far in city of Tampa, more across Hillsborough.

37 minutes ago, Hotair said:

I left my home in South Tampa and evacuated to Lakeland. The cam videos of my home do not show more than gusty wind and light rain all afternoon. no flooding.  

Good decision to get out.  Our webcams went off line and power is out in our South Tampa home.

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