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Hurricane Ian


Scott747
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14 minutes ago, Wannabehippie said:

My guess is most of Tampa Bay is under water, either from tidal flooding, or from tremendous rainfall. All that rain has no where to go, leaving streets flooded, even away from the shore.

 

Any NOAA link with precipitation totals from stations available?
Thanks.

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10 minutes ago, Hotair said:

Ian took a wobble East on radar that should help keep the strongest winds away from the coastal areas North of Port Charlotte  (Sarasota and places North of it). Tampa Bay sure dodged a bullet with Ian 

This is not necessarily important for GA/SC yet, but the farther eastward it goes, the faster it gets back over water and the more time it would have over water before the next landfall.

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18z GFS has Ian back over water by 0z on Friday. Going to be a long night tonight, in to tomorrow for central, northern Florida in terms of rain and wind as Ian moves across. South east Florida should start to see improving conditions overnight tonight.

A bit east of Orlando here. We’ve had rain nearly non-stop since around 10 last night, very heavy in the last two hours. Wind gusts are infrequent but we’ve had enough to bring a few branches down.


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19 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Really curious to know what’s going on in Tampa Bay Area right now. Have to imagine some severe coastal flooding all along the e south sections of the bay with the persistent northerly fetch.

Not surprisingly, levels are running below there as well...Though a bit less than other sites in the bay area.

The generally NE wind has been running nearly parallel to the length of the bay blowing out. This isn't really a situation where the water is going to stack up or has nowhere to go, as it is just existing into the Gulf.

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1 hour ago, Wannabehippie said:

Other states will be sending down staff soon as well. 

Power will be out for weeks or longer in some spots.  Damage will be over a very wide area with major infrastructure destroyed in spots.  Suspect some barrier islands will be uninhabitable for a while.

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Awhile ago Cape Coral Yauht Club 106 sustained gusting to 140mph.  That would be on the backside with a north wind I would guess.  That yacht club is right across from Ft Myers.   The damage that is occurring in the Punta Gorda and Ft Myers on the backside must be catastrophic.

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That NW eye wall is just unforgiving - hence the strong gusts over 120 mph still coming in.  NW of the center is where you are going to see the worst wind damage.  Southeast of and near the center is where storm surge damage will dominate.  Not going to be pretty when dawn breaks tomorrow.

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39 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Really curious to know what’s going on in Tampa Bay Area right now. Have to imagine some severe coastal flooding all along the e south sections of the bay with the persistent northerly fetch.

I left my home in South Tampa and evacuated to Lakeland. The cam videos of my home do not show more than gusty wind and light rain all afternoon. no flooding.  

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