Hurricane Ian

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

There is likely significant damage there with the 100-125mph wind gusts...

Yeah I imagine the damage there is likely quite significant...not to mention no power. They probably couldn't even get a staff to open if they wanted too. 

[NavarreDon]

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[StantonParkHoya]

Here in north-central NC, the wind is already whipping from the pressure gradient w/ the high to our north and Ian to the south. Akin to a nor'easter approaching. Can't recall a tropical storm with temps in the 50s before, but here we are.

[KPITSnow]

35 minutes ago, Wannabehippie said:

Not everyone is able to evacuate. 

In Cape Coral and ft myers? Most people can. 

[kvegas-wx]

15 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Here in north-central NC, the wind is already whipping from the pressure gradient w/ the high to our north and Ian to the south. Akin to a nor'easter approaching. Can't recall a tropical storm with temps in the 50s before, but here we are.

Flying into CLT in an hour.  Should be fun confirming your observation in real time.  Lol.

Happy to see the rainfall forecast continues to decline this weekend across the piedmont and foothills of NC.  Need rain, not floods. 

[StantonParkHoya]

3 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said:

Flying into CLT in an hour.  Should be fun confirming your observation in real time.  Lol.

Happy to see the rainfall forecast continues to decline this weekend across the piedmont and foothills of NC.  Need rain, not floods. 

That is a bright spot, we've been in a borderline drought this fall, so we can handle a good amount of rain.

[clskinsfan]

I saw a lot of tweets about people evacuating from the Tampa area to the Fort Myers area when Tampa was in the bullseye. Some of these surge and flood images are from 12 miles inland from the coast. Just a horrific situation in south Florida today. 

[HKY_WX]

NC piedmont will definitely have some good gusts tomorrow afternoon/evenining. The trends continued to push it further east up the coastline. Combining this with the HP will make for a tight pressure gradient up here. Should be an interesting day tomorrow.

[Baltimorewx]

Checked in with some friends who live in Cape Coral...no power or internet obviously but they live far enough off the river I guess that their canal did not flood the street. They live on SE Tenth Ave. Carport is destroyed though which probably led to some car damage but they are alive and well so thankful for that

[StantonParkHoya]

3 minutes ago, HKY_WX said:

NC piedmont will definitely have some good gusts tomorrow afternoon/evenining. The trends continued to push it further east up the coastline. Combining this with the HP will make for a tight pressure gradient up here. Should be an interesting day tomorrow.

Looks like most models have consolidated around a Charleston hit.

 

[hawkeye_wx]

It turned out that some of those early worst-case Euro runs from days ago, which showed Ian turning up into sw Florida, exiting into the Atlantic, then phasing with the tail end of the eastern US trough and moving into the Carolinas as a strong system, were totally correct.

[Bubbler86]

3 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Looks like most models have consolidated around a Charleston hit.

 

 

Some show a Cat Two when using MB as the gauge. 

[MattPetrulli]

Parts of NE Florida have been in tropical storm conditions since the evening last night. Think the damage up there will be more than we anticipated. Reminds me of Matthew's NE Florida impacts.

[StantonParkHoya]

1 minute ago, hawkeye_wx said:

It turned out that some of those early worst-case Euro runs from days ago, which showed Ian turning up into sw Florida, exiting into the Atlantic, then phasing with the tail end of the eastern US trough and moving into the Carolinas as a strong system, were totally correct.

I'm sorry, are you from the future?

[clskinsfan]

Some of the images in Charlotte County of Mobile Home parks remind me of Andrew. Absolute destruction. So many retired folks have lost everything.

[TradeWinds]

2 hours ago, Clyde said:

East of Orlando here, yard flooded, water 6 inches to a foot deep everywhere, septic backed up. I don’t live in a flood zone so can’t imagine what it looks like in those places. We got 11 inches of rain with Irma and had no standing water so this is quite something. Oh, no wind damage to note and didn’t lose power which is a minor miracle since I typically do for pretty much anything stronger than a deer fart.


.

Orlando got hit hard. I received 14.13", almost 6" just in that band last night between midnight and 3 AM. Had to help neighbors as water entered their homes. The flooding in Orlando is ridiculous. We are now pushing 12 hours of tropical storm force winds and gusts to 60. Ian was a beast in FL. 

[Jersey Andrew]

Has anyone heard from Fort Myers Beach?

[Santa Clause]

Lol just saying “hundreds dead” was pretty stupid and irresponsible to the extreme.

[Santa Clause]

Just now, Jersey Andrew said:

Has anyone heard from Fort Myers Beach?

Yeah pretty bad damage, much worse than Fort Myers itself(which was still significant).

[NeffsvilleWx]

Just want to share the NWS 5 day path archive because it perfectly captures just how "good" the NHC was with Ian's track. The actual landfall point was in the cone from day 1. Anyone that wants to blame the NWS/NHC for their lack of preparedness is just looking for a scapegoat.

 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2022/IAN_graphics.php?product=5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

 

[clskinsfan]

 

[dan11295]

12 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Some of the images in Charlotte County of Mobile Home parks remind me of Andrew. Absolute destruction. So many retired folks have lost everything.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zkMiG8BIeso

Any pics/video links? I saw this drone video of Port Charlotte, there certainly is some wind damage, especially to mobile homes, but none completely destroyed. Well built homes held up well it looks. Lots of standing water. I am pretty sure they had worse winds in Charley. I am also sure there of some areas with worse wind damage than this.

[paweather5]

 

[CampergirlFL]

Reporting in from Plant City area. No power, windy night. Camper still dry and unharmed in the driveway, likely due to the house blocking the worst winds. Weather station on the back fence logging max peak gust of 43.2. Very, very lucky.


.

[StormChazer]

7 minutes ago, NeffsvilleWx said:

Just want to share the NWS 5 day path archive because it perfectly captures just how "good" the NHC was with Ian's track. The actual landfall point was in the cone from day 1.

 

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2022/IAN_graphics.php?product=5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

 

Honestly, the very first advisory they issued was really.....spot on..like, almost to the exact point of landfall.

[Lady Di]

Here's the link for the Fox news local station (pic above) for anyone wanting to watch their coverage.

 

https://www.fox4now.com/live

[MattPetrulli]

 

[StormChazer]

I mean give credit where credit is due. I know this path susequently moved around after this, but this was spot on right here.

[MANDA]

1 hour ago, jbenedet said:

Wow - Daytona Beach is getting slammed. Sustained 53, gusting to 72. I doubt that area was prepped for this.

 

National Weather Service : Observed Weather for past 3 Days : Daytona Beach International Airport

Whats is left of the NW eye wall still not disappointing.

[Baltimorewx]

3 minutes ago, StormChazer said:

I mean give credit where credit is due. I know this path susequently moved around after this, but this was spot on right here.

It was, wish the modeling would have held. I think some people got a sense of security when the track supposedly shifted north into the big bend area. Unfortately thats just how it goes with forecasting.