Hurricane Ian

[Clyde]

East of Orlando here, yard flooded, water 6 inches to a foot deep everywhere, septic backed up. I don’t live in a flood zone so can’t imagine what it looks like in those places. We got 11 inches of rain with Irma and had no standing water so this is quite something. Oh, no wind damage to note and didn’t lose power which is a minor miracle since I typically do for pretty much anything stronger than a deer fart.


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[Santa Clause]

13 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

How does the sheriff know that before rescue crews even go out? Some people really need to learn to think before they open their mouth. 

Agreed he probably shouldn’t have just guessed that

[StantonParkHoya]

2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Center is moving offshore now near Port Canaveral. Will be interesting to see how quickly Ian reorganizes over still very warm SST for next 24 hours.

DP of 46 here this morning. Be interesting to see when it goes post tropical 

[Clyde]

East of Orlando here, yard flooded, water 6 inches to a foot deep everywhere, septic backed up. I don’t live in a flood zone so can’t imagine what it looks like in those places. We got 11 inches of rain with Irma and had no standing water so this is quite something. Oh, no wind damage to note and didn’t lose power which is a minor miracle since I typically do for pretty much anything stronger than a deer fart.


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Annnnddd there went my power


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[SnoSki14]

7 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Center is moving offshore now near Port Canaveral. Will be interesting to see how quickly Ian reorganizes over still very warm SST for next 24 hours.

Not enough to really intensify as the core is completely gone. 

It's still structurally sound and could get a baroclinic assist but anything beyond a high end TS or low end Cat 1 will be impossible 

[NeffsvilleWx]

Recorded a low pressure IMBY of 984 at 5:46 am. Tracked pretty close to us.

max recorded wind here last night was 30 - though it was probably a bit more because of nonideal siting. 4.5” of rain from Ian.

 

have some sticks and palm fronds to clean up but nothing else. Made it through rather unscathed.

[Mikeymac5306]

17 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

How does the sheriff know that before rescue crews even go out? Some people really need to learn to think before they open their mouth. 

Easy. They have a list of places they evacuated and a list of those who stayed in those evacuated places. 

[jm1220]

Just now, Mikeymac5306 said:

Easy. They have a list of places they evacuated and a list of those who stayed in those evacuated places. 

Doubt if they know for sure they stayed or if they got out at the last minute. No one knows for sure how high the death tolls are right now, hopefully it’s a significant overestimate. Too early to speculate on something like that and I’m sure crews are out doing rescues, but it wouldn’t be surprising if many did decide to stay that there’s a high death toll. Hundreds of thousands of people live in that area. 

[olafminesaw]

HAFS makes landfall near Charleston as a borderline cat 1

[SchaumburgStormer]

1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

Doubt if they know for sure they stayed or if they got out at the last minute. No one knows for sure how high the death tolls are right now, hopefully it’s a significant overestimate. Too early to speculate on something like that and I’m sure crews are out doing rescues, but it wouldn’t be surprising if many did decide to stay that there’s a high death toll. Hundreds of thousands of people live in that area. 

Very high population density and popular with retirees. I imagine we will see significant fatalities, but hopefully “hundreds” is an overestimate 

[MANDA]

7 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Not enough to really intensify as the core is completely gone. 

It's still structurally sound and could get a baroclinic assist but anything beyond a high end TS or low end Cat 1 will be impossible 

Totally agree and much of the wind will be generated by gradient between big high to the north and leftovers from Ian to the south.  Only thing that will aid in surge and coastal flooding along GA/SC is fact that flow has been strong onshore last 24 hours + so water has already been piling up along the coast.  Agree though, not much left core wise to organize.  Combine that with shear and low DP air to the west.  Gradient and some baroclinic assist is all we've got.

 

[NavarreDon]

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[NotSureWeather]

1 minute ago, NavarreDon said:

 

 

 

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Pretty irresponsible for him to just make that up.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, nycsnow said:

 

I figured that to be the case when hearing so many had stayed. I was saying on social media that this would rival Katrina...even if it hadn't intensified IMO.

[WxWatcher007]

 

[Crocodile23]

Why this is off? https://water.weather.gov/precip/

Anyone knows of a good alternative with precipitation from Ian from weather stations?

[NavarreDon]

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[mfgmfg]

23 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

Here's the hydrograph that tweet is referring to:

https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=mlb&gage=lwaf1

[HKY_WX]

34 minutes ago, NavarreDon said:

 

 

 

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I'm assuming this might be based on the amount of rescue calls they were getting in yesterday and couldn't respond to. Let's hope those people figured out a way to stay alive. 

[weatherwiz]

Wow...looks like RSW is now closed through Oct. 7 (with some exceptions). 

[FPizz]

8 minutes ago, HKY_WX said:

I'm assuming this might be based on the amount of rescue calls they were getting in yesterday and couldn't respond to. Let's hope those people figured out a way to stay alive. 

Yes, they said that is what it was based on but hope they are wrong.

[Wannabehippie]

1 hour ago, MANDA said:

Horrible if true and avoidable if people would just follow evacuation orders.  I hope this is not true. 

Not everyone is able to evacuate. 

[CoastalWx]

I hope the Sheriff is wrong, but that is a densely populated county. I saw people posting pictures of lots of people staying...having a margarita etc and waiting the storm out. Who knows.

[AmericanWxFreak]

4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Wow...looks like RSW is now closed through Oct. 7 (with some exceptions). 

Source?

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, AmericanWxFreak said:

Source?

https://nasstatus.faa.gov/

 

[smokeybandit]

5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

https://nasstatus.faa.gov/

 

That site shows DAB as being closed for a week, too. 

 

I wonder if that's just some default end date they put when the airport hasn't yet announced when it's reopening.

[weatherwiz]

Just now, smokeybandit said:

That site shows DAB as being closed for a week, too. 

 

I wonder if that's just some default end date they put when the airport hasn't yet announced when it's reopening.

I don't think so. It updated not long ago with the extension to the 7th. It was scheduled to re-open tomorrow at noon I think. 

[Lady Di]

There will be fatalities on Sanibel.  Especially if the causeway failed early there was no way for anyone to get out or to survive that surge.  I heard the water was up to roofs. Watched the Gov. presser and he said he knows of 2 deaths but didn't say where.  He tried to walk back what Lee county sheriff said, but Gov said the first responders went out before they were suppose to, so that statement was a bit telling.  It's going to be a very long and sad day,  I fear.

[jbenedet]

Wow - Daytona Beach is getting slammed. Sustained 53, gusting to 72. I doubt that area was prepped for this.

 

National Weather Service : Observed Weather for past 3 Days : Daytona Beach International Airport

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

I don't think so. It updated not long ago with the extension to the 7th. It was scheduled to re-open tomorrow at noon I think. 

There is likely significant damage there with the 100-125mph wind gusts...